weatherMA Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Now it's time to worry about the high...Let's hope it doesn't rise at all...if it doesn't rise above 54F, and the wind is 15kts-19kts, I'll take first. Hoping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Disappointing week 2 for me here. Day 5 was an unmitigated disaster, yesterday was decent, but today looks like it's headed down the disastrous road as I missed the low by 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Let's hope it doesn't rise at all...if it doesn't rise above 54F, and the wind is 15kts-19kts, I'll take first. Hoping... Sorry, I'm on upper-50s bandwagon... Although I may have underestimated that flow of moisture/clouds coming in from Pacific so you're in a good shape for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Once the wind kicks up, downsloping will kick in and the clouds will probably clear to some degree. The high temperature is directly coupled to the winds right now. It only stays in the low 50's if the winds stay down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Once the wind kicks up, downsloping will kick in and the clouds will probably clear to some degree. The high temperature is directly coupled to the winds right now. It only stays in the low 50's if the winds stay down. yeah, its true. It looks like that's starting to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Once the wind kicks up, downsloping will kick in and the clouds will probably clear to some degree. The high temperature is directly coupled to the winds right now. It only stays in the low 50's if the winds stay down. Phil we both got screwed going cold on the low last night...you think there's any hope of a miracle 06z low tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Anything above my forecast of 58/37/22 will slingshot me all the way up to Top 5 in Category from 200th place and around a point behind from winning a trophy. Let's hope Butte's downsloping do the magic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Anything above my forecast of 58/37/22 will slingshot me all the way up to Top 5 in Category from 200th place and around a point behind from winning a trophy. Let's hope Butte's downsloping do the magic... If Butte downslopes I probably will get my 24 knots of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Phil we both got screwed going cold on the low last night...you think there's any hope of a miracle 06z low tonight? Probably not... winds will need to rapidly drop off and they probably won't be quick enough. Then again if the winds never come up who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Probably not... winds will need to rapidly drop off and they probably won't be quick enough. Then again if the winds never come up who knows... Winds are running 40-45 knots at 700mb. You would think they would come up if they mix past that level right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 58F now so around 60 looks good for a high. Winds still underwhelming though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 58F now so around 60 looks good for a high. Winds still underwhelming though. I think just about all of us need the wind to pick up in some shape or form. I will be shocked if we don't get at least a short period of high winds. It was around this time the winds were supposed to start ramping up for the area, so I guess we'll see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I think just about all of us need the wind to pick up in some shape or form. I will be shocked if we don't get at least a short period of high winds. It was around this time the winds were supposed to start ramping up for the area, so I guess we'll see how it plays out.I definitely think we'll see them pick up over the next couple hours as we start mixing better due to warmer temps. Question is do they peak at like 13 knots of 20+, and I really don't know haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I am surprised the winds have not picked up yet .. I mean it is up to 58 so they must be mixing close to 700 mb now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I really need the wind to be close to 19 kts. Tomorrow looks like another nervewracking day no matter what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I am surprised the winds have not picked up yet .. I mean it is up to 58 so they must be mixing close to 700 mb now? Last hour KDLN was at 59F with a 9 knot southerly wind. This hour they're at 60 with SW winds at 13 knots gusting to 21. I think Butte is close to mixing down those stronger winds, they might just need to warm another degree or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Still no wind and back to 57. Butte's playing games with us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I think 22 knots isn't happening, but I'll be happy with 16-20 knots. Deer Lodge just 10 miles to NW seems to be doing well: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=mso&sid=38S9&num=72&raw=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I hate this city Still a couple hours to get warmer but that last ob is discouraging. If we get a high of 60 the wind isn't as important to me but that's iffy looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wind up to 14 knots, gusts to 20 knots as of 5:12 pm EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wind up to 14 knots, gusts to 20 knots as of 5:12 pm EDT. I'm confused. I don't see a special ob anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm confused. I don't see a special ob anywhere. I nerded out big time to quench my thirst for wind data so I called the ASOS at (406-494-1870). It reads out the real-time metar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I nerded out big time to quench my thirst for wind data so I called the ASOS at (406-494-1870). It reads out the real-time metar. LMAO. Ok I'll be interested only if its 20 knots sustained or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I nerded out big time to quench my thirst for wind data so I called the ASOS at (406-494-1870). It reads out the real-time metar. The line is busy right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 LMAO. Ok I'll be interested only if its 20 knots sustained or better. Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm 3 for 3 this week on bad forecasts. Today I was expecting enough clearing in the morning for the temperature to be in the mid-upper 30s by 8-9 AM, so it would have been more difficult for them to mix out of that inversion and get to the upper 50s. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm 3 for 3 this week on bad forecasts. Today I was expecting enough clearing in the morning for the temperature to be in the mid-upper 30s by 8-9 AM, so it would have been more difficult for them to mix out of that inversion and get to the upper 50s. Oh well. I've stayed relatively afloat. Just need tomorrow to be under 4 error and I'll probably get a -3 or better city score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Per climo, the numbers for today as of 22z are: 59/39/15/0 Slight chance they get another knot out of the wind, but I wouldn't count on it. That will put me 3rd in cat 3 and 1.4 points away from a trophy. Not impossible, but I need a nice tidy day 8 for it to happen. Lows tomorrow look like the trickiest variable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Fighting my way back. After day 1 I was number 1300 even. After today I will be in the low 200s. Another solid day tomorrow and I will feel good about this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Climate report has the low at 42...so I guess that 39 occurred between 11:53 PM and midnight yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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