WxBlue Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Today was my first bad day and I've no confident in low/winds tomorrow after last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Whats wrong with the USL, mine is only updated for the 21st. Anyone else having problems with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 ok guess I'm not using it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Whats wrong with the USL, mine is only updated for the 21st. Anyone else having problems with it? So no USL today? Guess not. I've been puzzling over the low all afternoon so it would have been nice to see the USL's opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 56/33/15/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Thx Mallow, I didn't see that earlier when I scrolled up guess I missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 55/35/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 58/36/19/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 59/37/23/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I can't believe the NAM is going 27...don't see that happening at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 59/36/19/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 60/38/18/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 60/39/19/0 because why not. I was about to knock my high down to 58 or 59 but the deadline passed before I could do that, so we'll see. They mixed well on Tuesday ahead of a cold front with a pretty good overcast in place so maybe they will again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Another tricky low forecast... this time to figure out if the boundary layer will decouple. Normally its a guaranteed yes unless there is strong WAA. There is WAA forecast tonight, but I'm not sure if its strong enough to keep the boundary layer from at least trying to decouple. With the winds already dropping down to 3 knots before 00z, I feel confident we can go calm in at least brief intervals. Obviously the NAM MOS at 27 is too cold, but it wouldn't be surprising to see conditions go calm briefly and get some rapid temperature swings from hour to hour. I think anywhere in the 30-35 range is fair game. The dewpoint at 29F right now is only forecast to slowly recover. Tomorrow should be a more definitive downsloping day. Even though there will be more cloud cover, 700-hPa temps should be starting a good 5C warmer than yesterday at this time. Combine that with deeper mixing, I think we can crack 60. 61/34/19/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Graupel Flux Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 56/36/15/0 Thinking I went a bit too low on the high and winds. Shucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 57/37/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I took over your 1st place spot :-) Good luck tomorrow!!! And I'm up to 7th overall! Good luck in the last 2 days. For tomorrow I went: 55/37/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 58/37/21/0.00 I'm little nervous about the low being too high, though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Already down to 40...but the wind is going steady and clouds are trying to move in. I'm wishing I was a few degrees lower, but we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Down to 40F now. I think they'll level off and maybe even rise once the clouds move in in a couple of hours and as the SW winds probably stay up most of the night. Maybe not enough to save my 39F but I could still see upper 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 22z USL finally came up at 58/32/17/0 for Day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 57/35/24/0 Taking a shot at the wind tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Already down to 38... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Already down to 38... Several stations upstream bounced up a couple to few degrees as the clouds thickened up...we'll see if Butte does or not. A slightly stronger wind would help. My 39 is probably roasted but I really don't think they cool much more tonight (maybe a couple more degrees). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Several stations upstream bounced up a couple to few degrees as the clouds thickened up...we'll see if Butte does or not. A slightly stronger wind would help. My 39 is probably roasted but I really don't think they cool much more tonight (maybe a couple more degrees). I'm not sure my 37 will do well either, since dewpoint is still at 30. If the sky cleared for a hour, it'll drop few degrees to 34-35. As long as it stay above 34, I think I'll be okay score-wise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm not sure my 37 will do well either, since dewpoint is still at 30. If the sky cleared for a hour, it'll drop few degrees to 34-35. As long as it stay above 34, I think I'll be okay score-wise... I think they'll end up bouncing around a bit the rest of the night. I can see them briefly getting down to 35 or 36 but they should be pretty cloudy the rest of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 40 at 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 44F at 7z! (I really need to go to bed) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Looks like 39 is the low for today... I had 37 which will be the overnight min between 5-6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Now it's time to worry about the high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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