MillvilleWx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 60/24/9/0 Not really confident on the low, but the rest I'm fine with. I seem to be in line with a lot of others here, so that's good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I actually got scared a little and dropped my 26 to 25 for the low. Im working off the idea of a 3F diff in dew and low temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I actually got scared a little and dropped my 26 to 25 for the low. Im working off the idea of a 3F diff in dew and low temp. It's certainly possible. I'm wondering if maybe tonight is one of the bouncy-type nights. Maybe if I get lucky I'll get a several degree bounce down between hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 58/24/8/0 Same. Days are going a little better than before so hopefully that continues tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Lets hope. The winds scare me though. I don't know if its going to around 8 or 9 or jump up to 15kts one hour. Based on yesterdays scare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Graupel Flux Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 59/25/7/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Conservative forecast of 59/24/7/0. I didn't want to go lower because temperature haven't gone all the way down to dewpoint this week. I didn't want to go too far from USL after today's success, but I added one just in case we get another blowtorch day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I wish the GFS and NAM could take a page out of the USL's book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Went 61/22/9/0. If there aren't clouds tonight or too many during peak heating I'm not too concerned. If there are more clouds than I expect then obviously at least either the high or low would be off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Went 61/22/9/0. If there aren't clouds tonight or too many during peak heating I'm not too concerned. If there are more clouds than I expect then obviously at least either the high or low would be off. I hope you're on the right track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I hope you're on the right track Yeah, so do I If temps level off by 6z again we're in big trouble, although with fewer clouds than last night I hope that doesn't happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Yeah, so do I If temps level off by 6z again we're in big trouble, although with fewer clouds than last night I hope that doesn't happen again. with that dew not getting below 22F youre already in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 62/24/12 Decided to gamble on a SSE gap wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 with that dew not getting below 22F youre already in trouble. I'm pretty worried about not getting my 24 at this rate, as dew point is up to 26. I had a huge self-debate about going with 23 or 26, but decided to put it in middle with slight edge to USL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 with that dew not getting below 22F youre already in trouble. It's down a degree to 25F now. I don't see any reason for dews to go up any higher tonight, so as long as they maintain good radiating conditions tonight the dews should go down a few more degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Unless there's a stunner, look like 6z will hit around 28 which will be good for those in 27-29 crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Looks like a min of 29F before 6z. 30F at 6z. Clouds aren't an issue but winds have had trouble going calm thus far, which has me a bit worried for how cold we get later tonight. Dew is down a degree to 24, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Looks like a min of 29F before 6z. 30F at 6z. Clouds aren't an issue but winds have had trouble going calm thus far, which has me a bit worried for how cold we get later tonight. Dew is down a degree to 24, so we'll see.starting to wish I kept my original 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 starting to wish I kept my original 26. Me too. We'll see if winds dies out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 At 22 now......com'on 21! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 21F on the last hourly ob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 21F on the last hourly ob Alright! Now warm up rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I'm a bit perplexed... Max, why did you think the dew points wouldn't come down? Both MOS and the USL had them steadily dropping after 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 61/21/8/0 Go bold.Yeah I had 61/23/8/0...And that still wasn't cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Man I feel like I am willing the temp in Butte to get to 61 or greater. After day 1 I was number 1299 after just a miserable forecast. If we can get to 61 or better I will have worked my way back into the 400s and feel decent about myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I'm a bit perplexed... Max, why did you think the dew points wouldn't come down? Both MOS and the USL had them steadily dropping after 06z.I saw 22 for gfs and usl didnt believe lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Im hoping for 59 exact because getting under 20 for a week in a volatile place like this means a lot. Todays low was my first slip up with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Need some serious late game warning for a 61 and I can get 3rd for the week. (rpheve) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 59/21/7/0 for the day would move me to 5th among Category 4, although Top 3 will still be ahead of me by 4 error points. Being conservative got me to this point, but we'll see if I want to take a huge leap of faith on high/low like some of you guys did or stay conservative and pray guys ahead of me make a mistake. EDIT: Up to 56. Look like 61 is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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