Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Im wishing i went 8 knots now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Already 36. If anything they'll end up colder than 35 by a degree or two by 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 I'll be in the top 25 if they can drop another degree or two. Unfortunately, I'm going to be away from Internet/cell phone coverage all day tomorrow so I'm currently making my forecast for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 KBTM 160553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC060 03/M01 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP144 60000 T00331011 10094 20017 51026 Winner winner chicken dinner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 ...and the temp inexplicably jumps back to 38?!?! [edit...looks like clouds moved in] At least it dropped to 35 first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Look like I'm rooting on 6z low once again to get that 28... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Look like I'm rooting on 6z low once again to get that 28... I still think there's a chance this morning...they should clear out again well before sunrise (at least I think haha), and with winds pretty much decoupled and dews near 30 I don't see why they can't fall into the upper 20's this morning if they do manage to clear. But we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Better chance at that tomorrow night with lower dews. I went 29 so I'm rooting for it either way. If only I went higher on the high I would have had a great day 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWOhioWX Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 It is still really bugging me that the Climo for both Day 1 and Day 2 are wrong on the WxChallenge site... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Why is it taking so long to update winds for day 1 and now 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Why is it taking so long to update winds for day 1 and now 2? It's really ticking me off. I know I'm close to the top instead of fighting consensus, but I don't know exactly where I am and I can't use hyp. verification either until scoring is fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 It's fixed now. I'm actually doing pretty well after all that. This has been a very crazy city and it's only day 3. Good luck to everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 It's fixed now. I'm actually doing pretty well after all that. This has been a very crazy city and it's only day 3. Good luck to everyone GFS and NAM MOS at bottom of team pages are still set for Wilmington, so it's little more work for us when it come to comparing MOS performance to USL. On personal note, hopefully Butte can squeeze out couple more knots and for the low to rock-drop to 20s in time for 6z (12z USL today got 30 at 6z and 28 at 7z). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 I'll be in first with 54/29 for day 3 temps. Going to be a close one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 For those who follows college sports, y'all may be aware that Mississippi State is #1 right now in football. However, the coolest thing is the fact their head coach, Dan Mullen, used Mississippi State's WxChallenge national championship trophy as an inspiration to others that Mississippi State is capable of doing the same in football. Pretty neat, huh? http://www.si.com/college-football/2014/10/14/mississippi-state-dan-mullen-inside-read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 For those who follows college sports, y'all may be aware that Mississippi State is #1 right now in football. However, the coolest thing is the fact their head coach, Dan Mullen, used Mississippi State's WxChallenge national championship trophy as an inspiration to others that Mississippi State is capable of doing the same in football. Pretty neat, huh? http://www.si.com/college-football/2014/10/14/mississippi-state-dan-mullen-inside-read Yeah, that is pretty cool! Now (if Oregon doesn't win out), I'll be rooting for Mississippi State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Looks like those clouds really stopped the warming ugh. Hope it gets to 52F at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Forecasting early again today. I really have no confidence with temps after last night and this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 If the low gets to 28 by 6z tonight, I won't be too angry about the high. Looks like the clouds will clear around sundown, and with dews in the low-mid 20's hopefully that lets things drop pretty hard this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 If the low gets to 28 by 6z tonight, I won't be too angry about the high. Looks like the clouds will clear around sundown, and with dews in the low-mid 20's hopefully that lets things drop pretty hard this evening. If it gets down to 28F or lower AND we keep the high at or below 51F, I can greatly improve my position, even with a crappy wind forecast. I've had not the greatest fist two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 If it gets down to 28F or lower AND we keep the high at or below 51F, I can greatly improve my position, even with a crappy wind forecast. I've had not the greatest fist two days. If we get the cold low I'll let you have the cold high haha The "good" thing about cities like this is if you rip off a good forecast or two, you can gain a lot of points on the rest of the field. I had a horrible day 1 forecast, like one of the worst human forecasts in the country, but then I got lucky on the wind yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 58/24/8/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 61/21/8/0 Go bold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 59/25/9/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 62/21/9... do feel a bit better about these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I feel good about the low, not the high...wind so so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted October 17, 2014 Author Share Posted October 17, 2014 59/24/7/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 59/21/8/0. originally had 61 but wasn't sure about mixing heights, etc .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 62/21/9... do feel a bit better about these. Of course you are going to follow your 27 low, but if it isn't 27 and it's warmer than that 21 is not going to happen either. Besides the dew is about 4F+ than October 3rd, which had a low of 21F. Nothing I would be confident about. That low is actually quite bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Of course you are going to follow your 27 low, but if it isn't 27 and it's warmer than that 21 is not going to happen either. Besides the dew is about 4F+ than October 3rd, which had a low of 21F. Nothing I would be confident about. That low is actually quite bullish. I am working under the assumption that the dew points will be 20-21, and that they shouldn't have any problem getting to their dew points on a mostly clear, mostly calm night. I didn't say I'm confident, I'm certainly not... but I feel like I actually have reason to be there, where the previous three days I just put a number in and hoped for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.