Jurg Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 Just curious who all is competing in this year's WxChallenge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 Forecast submitted! (nimbus at psu) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 Welcome back! I'm joejoe at Washington. Ready for another exciting season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 LaFor4 again this year. Will be reppin' CMU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 81/63/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Went with 82/64/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 81/64/12/0.00 negNAO at Valpo... again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Meanwhile... what's up with Climo? Climo report for today had the normal high/low as 80/61. But it looks like people who climo'd got 73/40/15/0.05 put in. (Ironically, 80/61 is not a bad guess for tomorrow.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 82 / 62 / 9 / 0 excited for a new wxchallenge year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 OHUJMS at Ohio U once again 83/65/12/0 The high was a bit of a gamble, but everything else should be ok I think. We'll see Edit: Didn't realize it was already 67 (I have to forecast a few hours early on Mondays, grr)...but with dew points in the mid 60's advecting in on the very light NNE winds and clouds all night I personally don't see lower 60's. But hey it wouldn't be fun if the first forecast was a slam dunk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 noel15 at UNCA. 80/65/11/0, but I had to forecast few hours earlier as well. Was hoping clouds would slow down temperature drop tonight, but it's already at 65. *sigh* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Ya, not sure why the dew point dropped to 61... all areas to the north have much higher dew points and the ground is wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DXRWX5 for Western Connecticut State University For tomorrow, 81/63/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Well, as of 4z ILM is back up to 66/65, which is good for those of us who went with warmer lows. I think I might be a degree overzealous with my 65, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 63 it is for the low. Winds are sustained at 9 knots so that should bode well for anyone with 10+ knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted September 30, 2014 Author Share Posted September 30, 2014 I'm anxious for another year! Find me at nmjurg from UNL. Went 82/63/9/0. Not looking likely for my high today but there's still a bit of time. Edit: Scratch that. Phew!KILM 301853Z 02008KT 340V040 10SM BKN035 28/18 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP100 T02780183 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Boom, 82! Iffy start with the low, but the winds were sustained at 11 knots on an hourly this morning (so good chance at 12 knots in there somewhere) and the high is working out for me. Not a horrible first forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 I had 83/64/12/0 for today. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Man, thought the NE wind would help me out a little with the high, but I'm crushing everything else 80/63/12/0. Can't complain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Climo report has 82/63/12/0...still 82 for the 21z ob but I think at this point they've probably maxed out. Better first forecast than I had for most cities last year regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted September 30, 2014 Author Share Posted September 30, 2014 Climo report has 82/63/12/0...still 82 for the 21z ob but I think at this point they've probably maxed out. Better first forecast than I had for most cities last year regardless. If that stands, I'll gladly take a 1.5 point first day of the competition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 I'd say 50/50 we still end up at 83F today. The climo was only through 4PM, so we've had more than an hour at 82F since then. Quite possible we spiked up between hourlies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 just saw the schedule. no, i'm not competing, but I have to admit I am curious about the contest every year because of how it did give me a bit of a start in the forecasting side of meteorology. and take advantage of all the places if you get a chance, as here's the time to try different forecast methods and see what's most comfortable to you. but to the schedule itself, looks interesting. I see some of the sites are placed beautifully timingwise. but some clues for those in there, hope you know your coastal interaction and your ocean water temps for your current site in ILM. for butte, watch your upslope/downslope as well as your wind funneling caribou, not much to say abilene, if it's not upslope from the gulf, then don't worry much about precip sault ste marie, keep an eye on the lake ice, and remember, the site you're predicting is ANJ, but the site with the manned cloud cover and obs is CYAM, and the canadian radar up at Montreal River has a better view of squalls coming in that part of the lake than MQT or APX. one last thing: some of the guidance is based off the old SSM site, not ANJ. PHX should be nice and comfy with the temps SPI, anything and everything is possible, esp ice Long Beach, I think that's during the rainy season if I remember correctly MGM, ice or rain for precip, but get a decent gulf surge, and they are the right latitude for an outbreak that time of year with the right synoptic setup. now even though I will give those general hints from past experience, what I won't give is day by day forecast guesses and specifics, more just watching the chatter and stuff. good luck to all of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Went 83/61/11/0 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Went 84/62/12/0. Final high from day 1 was 82 if I know how to read METARs properly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 83 / 62 / 10 / 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted October 1, 2014 Author Share Posted October 1, 2014 83/63/10/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 83/62/9/0.00 Thought about going higher on high and wind, but decided to play it conservative. It wouldn't surprise me if wind get to 10+ knots, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 83/62/9/0 I'm taking a gamble with the wind there. I have a feeling it'll be higher at one point, but everyone going double digits, so I'm being a little bullish (or sheepish if you want to get technical) and hoping it pays off. Watch it be 11 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 84/61/10/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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