dendrite Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 We've only had 1 20s at MVL which I'd think is pretty rare for that site in a good radiator environment. MVL is also +4.8 on the month so that probably has something to do with it lol. It's been a NNE torch month...no doubt. Especially with the mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Sneaky windexy rain squalls Sunday afternoon? Yeah looks similar to last Sun/Mon...WINDEX squalls carrying well downwind of the barriers and orographic showers with mountain snow. ___________________ As flow trends west/northwesterly aloft later tonight...freezing levels will drop to around 3000 feet or so with precipitation mixing with or changing to snow at the summit level or slightly below. Lows from the upper 30s to middle 40s below the 2000 feet level. Being of Continental origin...system will have only modest moisture to work with however so not looking at anything particularly heavy. By Sunday into Sunday evening we remain under the influence of the upper shortwave trough with cyclonic west to northwesterly flow aloft and plenty of clouds. Flow will become blocked over time such that shower coverage will become increasingly confined to the northern mountains where some light addl snowfall will remain possible above 2500 feet or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It's been a NNE torch month...no doubt. Especially with the mins.There aren't records for places like BML or HIE are there? I'd be curious how those big radiators are doing this month. Been a warm month nationally except for the Lakes region, but those departures have been warming recently as they were like -8 to -12 after the first part of the month. Locally NNE has been the torch spot like you said...from like BTV to Pittsburg especially. BDL looks warmest in SNE with +3.2, but the rest are around +2...about half of the NNE departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 There aren't records for places like BML or HIE are there? I'd be curious how those big radiators are doing this month. Been a warm month nationally except for the Lakes region, but those departures have been warming recently as they were like -8 to -12 after the first part of the month. Locally NNE has been the torch spot like you said...from like BTV to Pittsburg especially. BDL looks warmest in SNE with +3.2, but the rest are around +2...about half of the NNE departures. image.jpg We don't have an observer at HIE, but BML is 51.0 for the month so far and normal is 45.5 for October. So +5.5 to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Cold days > than cold nights The past three days have averaged slightly above normal though because of the warm mins. So AN isn't necessarily a bad thing if you are just looking for chilly daytime temps...can get the -5 high and +9 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 I'm going to keep track of my d7-10 snow total this year. LOL. Keep us posted. Competing signals for any possibility of weenie flakes next weekend: 1) my snowblower is getting tuned up on Tuesday (ain't gonna happen) 2) I'm heading to Blacksburg for the VT/BC game next weekend (the "I'm out of town" lock) Looks like a nice one on tap today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It really hasn't been a warm month. It's the nighttime lows that are killing us. If you asked folks..they wouldn't say this month has been a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 We don't have an observer at HIE, but BML is 51.0 for the month so far and normal is 45.5 for October. So +5.5 to date. Thanks, fits with the NVT stations...actually giving BTV (+5.4) a run for it's money in the torch department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It really hasn't been a warm month. It's the nighttime lows that are killing us. If you asked folks..they wouldn't say this month has been a torchThey would up here. Everyone is aware of the lack of cold, freezing mornings in a place that should be getting more frosts/freezes than not at this point.I can see where you don't notice it as you don't radiate at all, it makes sense as you're used to low diurnal temp ranges. And spots like Ginxy getting multiple 20s is probably feeling chilly-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 They would up here. Everyone is aware of the lack of cold, freezing mornings in a place that should be getting more frosts/freezes than not at this point. I can see where you don't notice it as you don't radiate at all, it makes sense as you're used to low diurnal temp ranges. And spots like Ginxy getting multiple 20s is probably feeling chilly-ish. Well even ORH hit 29 last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Word has it there is some ens support for the Euro Apps snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Thanks, fits with the NVT stations...actually giving BTV (+5.4) a run for it's money in the torch department. Oddly enough, they've had 5 mins 32 or colder this month (2 below 30) which is exactly average for BML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Well even ORH hit 29 last week. Yeah but does one cold morning make an entire month cold? Think back to earlier in the month when you were hating the warmth. You are letting the past week skew it a bit. Just 5-7 days ago you were hating it with a passion while +10 days rolled through, now using a 29F to show it's been cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Yeah but does one cold morning make an entire month cold? Think back to earlier in the month when you were hating the warmth. You are letting the past week skew it a bit. Just 5-7 days ago you were hating it with a passion while +10 days rolled through, now using a 29F to show it's been cold. It hasn't been cold. Noone said that. Just that it hasn't felt like a torch month unless you live at night and sleep all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Yeah but does one cold morning make an entire month cold? Think back to earlier in the month when you were hating the warmth. You are letting the past week skew it a bit. Just 5-7 days ago you were hating it with a passion while +10 days rolled through, now using a 29F to show it's been cold. PWM now with the latest freeze on record (still active streak too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It hasn't been cold. Noone said that. Just that it hasn't felt like a torch month unless you live at night and sleep all day Sometimes we do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Oddly enough, they've had 5 mins 32 or colder this month (2 below 30) which is exactly average for BML. Definitely been some cold mornings mixed in...we just got destroyed during that warm week. The 14th through the 18th was massive in NNE...like multiple +20 days. But that was record heat so not something we should see again anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It's been a pretty mild month. Fact not opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 It hasn't been cold. Noone said that. Just that it hasn't felt like a torch month unless you live at night and sleep all dayIt hasn't been a torch month where you are with +2 to +3. It has up here but no one was arguing torch for SNE.I don't care just playing devils advocate with you. The posts are all in this thread...go back a week and read your posts when it was 77/66 and your hatred of doing leaves when it's humid out. All I'm saying is the last week has tempered your thoughts, you seemed to have a different opinion on October 17th when you wanted to strangle kittens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Euro ensemble and GFS op a bit more interesting up this way, but this far out...I wouldn't lose sleep over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Euro ensemble and GFS op a bit more interesting up this way, but this far out...I wouldn't lose sleep over it.GEFS are most interesting,holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Euro ensemble and GFS op a bit more interesting up this way, but this far out...I wouldn't lose sleep over it. There's a decent number of euro ensemble members that have the SE us super cut off too. Odd solution Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 There's a decent number of euro ensemble members that have the SE us super cut off too. Odd solution Lol You can see how it does it at 500 with that bootleg ridge in ern Canada. Classic autumn style cutoff. Only 8 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 How far out did we start to see ensemble support for the Oct. 2011 storm? Wasn't it about 5-7 days out? I still remember a post from Will that said" Basically you have to forecast a major snowstorm for most of SNE" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 How far out did we start to see ensemble support for the Oct. 2011 storm? Wasn't it about 5-7 days out? I still remember a post from Will that said" Basically you have to forecast a major snowstorm for most of SNE" I doubt Will said that for a storm 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 How far out did we start to see ensemble support for the Oct. 2011 storm? Wasn't it about 5-7 days out? I still remember a post from Will that said" Basically you have to forecast a major snowstorm for most of SNE" Happy Birthday Kid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Don't forget Kevin there was another snow event before Roctober for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 I doubt Will said that for a storm 7 days out. He didn't and that's not what I said Did you wake up still drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Happy Birthday Kid If only..we could lalalalala lock that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 If only..we could lalalalala lock thatheres storm 2 Roctober first discussionhttp://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/28304-second-winter-storm-threat-oct-2930/# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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