CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 When in doubt this year, go with Western Mass through the east slopes of SE VT up through Dendrites area for heavy rain, lol. No kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 When in doubt this year, go with Western Mass through the east slopes of SE VT up through Dendrites area for heavy rain, lol. Only at 2.60" on the month here, let's see if we can't double that this week. Gotta' fill up the beaver pond for winter skating. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Only at 2.60" on the month here, let's see if we can't double that this week. Gotta' fill up the beaver pond for winter skating. lol The axis or swatch is shown well on the 90-day precip totals...very obvious main axis. We've also been staying moist in the northern Greens, especially the east slopes, but outside orographics, the primary rain zone these past 3 months is quite evident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 That broken gauge at GON shows up well in that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Nice fantasy coastal on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Weeklies look mild through mid novie. Rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Might have to raise the SOS for later this week. Looks like big time rains cometh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Definitely agreement for that coastal too, based on what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Nice fantasy coastal on the euro. Would be snow for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 JBs idea of a mild autumn so far looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Too bad that cane is so far east...would have been a great pattern to suck it NNW to SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Nice few days coming up, enjoy the outdoors! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Far cry from 24h ago, 32F difference. Currently 63/60. Damp out there. Looks like a bit of a tropical connection for tomorrow/Thursdays rains. Could be prolific for some in the rain department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Far cry from 24h ago, 32F difference. Currently 63/60. Damp out there. Looks like a bit of a tropical connection for tomorrow/Thursdays rains. Could be prolific for some in the rain department. Yeah the GFS especially seems like it wants to tap into part of Gonzalvo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Yeah the GFS especially seems like it wants to tap into part of Gonzalvo. No severe thread upcoming for this one ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 I will also say that the end of the month certainly will not be torchy by any means..not with the trough in the east. The Plains will be warmer than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 No severe thread upcoming for this one ? I don't think so other than the typical embedded tstm perhaps. It seems like this is trending more amplified and winds backing more E-SE. That probably relegates most instability to being aloft. I suppose you can't rule out something...but when I look at this....severe doesn't come to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Yeah the GFS especially seems like it wants to tap into part of Gonzalvo. Won't take much of a connection too. Western areas will get the majority of the rains. Looks like a nice Spring cutoff low. Slow moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Congrats Hawaii. TSSN in the summits above 12,000ft and then Hurricane Ana approaches 5 days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Congrats Hawaii. TSSN in the summits above 12,000ft and then Hurricane Ana approaches 5 days later. How rare (or not) is it to have a hurricane threaten both Hawaii and Bermuda in the same week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 You wonder if the cane ends up trending closer and closer as the trough continues becoming more neg tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 How rare (or not) is it to have a hurricane threaten both Hawaii and Bermuda in the same week? Well it's rare in general for Hawaii to have a hurricane so I'd say pretty rare..lol. But, remember this could miss them too 5-6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Either way its going ots You wonder if the cane ends up trending closer and closer as the trough continues becoming more neg tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Either way its going ots Models show a more NNE recurve so now it looks like parts of NE Canada will be affected and perhaps Bermuda will be spared the worst of it with models a bit further west of Bermuda right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The axis or swatch is shown well on the 90-day precip totals...very obvious main axis. We've also been staying moist in the northern Greens, especially the east slopes, but outside orographics, the primary rain zone these past 3 months is quite evident. Last_90_days.png Looks like that zone will continue to get the bulk of the rains this week. Lucky us. I'm sure that precip zone will switch for the winter snows. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The coastal in the long range has been showing up last couple days. Gefs back it up too..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nate Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Question on Thursday if anyone can answer it. Having an outdoor field day event down in the Myles Standish Forest in South Plymouth from 9AM to 2PM. I took a look at the models and some seemed to pile up rain all day, whereas specifically the NAM showed showery rains during the day with a main heavy band at night. Showery rains can be dealt with, steady all-day heavy rain presents more of a problem. Wind could also pose a problem with tarps. I understand heavier showers mixing wind down, but will there be general wind all day or will that be primarily a problem in heavy showers? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 I don't think so other than the typical embedded tstm perhaps. It seems like this is trending more amplified and winds backing more E-SE. That probably relegates most instability to being aloft. I suppose you can't rule out something...but when I look at this....severe doesn't come to mind. Makes sense, it Hasn't been the year for severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Question on Thursday if anyone can answer it. Having an outdoor field day event down in the Myles Standish Forest in South Plymouth from 9AM to 2PM. I took a look at the models and some seemed to pile up rain all day, whereas specifically the NAM showed showery rains during the day with a main heavy band at night. Showery rains can be dealt with, steady all-day heavy rain presents more of a problem. Wind could also pose a problem with tarps. I understand heavier showers mixing wind down, but will there be general wind all day or will that be primarily a problem in heavy showers? Thanks!qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Nate, I'd wait a bit until the GFS and euro come out. My guess is Thursday especially before 2 could be dry or at least some sct showers down there. Wind may be another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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