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October Discussion


TalcottWx

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Frost advisories up with dews In the 40's currently and lots of low level moisture. Seems like a reach

Weird. I thought they didn't issue them once a zone has passed its average first frost date (OKX doesn't - we go some years without ever having a frost or freeze advisory/warning), and with the exception of GON and BDR, Connecticut is past its average first frost date.

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Weird. I though they didn't issue them once a zone has passed its average first frost date (OKX doesn't - we go some years without ever having a frost or freeze advisory/warning), and with the exception of GON and BDR, Connecticut is past its average first frost date.

 

I believe policy is that NWS offices stop 2 weeks past first average frost date or when they declare the growing season over due to a hard freeze.

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This sounds like a mid-late  August disco.. What a wild week coming up..Kind of looking forward to it in a  weird way..AWT Babcock was too cool by at least 10 degrees yesterday's disco with forecast of mid -upper 60's

 

THERE IS STILL THE

POSSIBILITY OF REACHING THE 80-DEGREE MARK TO WHICH MAY PUT HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS ON TUESDAY /AROUND 80-81 DEGREES/ IN JEOPARDY.
THEN AGAIN CLOUDS WOULD IMPEDE THAT POSSIBILITY. A SUB-TROPICAL AIR-
MASS ROUNDING THE OFFSHORE HIGH N WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND THE MID-60S
COULD CONDENSE OUT AS LOW CLOUDS / FOG OVER THE INTERIOR BENEATH THE
DRY-SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND / OR UPPER-LEVEL BAROCLINIC LEAF. A
CHALLENGING AND COMPLICATED FORECAST WITH A LOT OF INTANGIBLES. WILL
KEEP IT MILD UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS.

APPEARING WET THURSDAY-FRIDAY PER THE EC/CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN.
MAIN CLOSED LOW SYSTEM LIFTING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. IMMEDIATELY
AHEAD OF THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT...EXPECTING STRONG LOW-LEVEL S-
WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ADVECTING HIGH PWAT AIR OF UP TO 2-INCHES AND
SURFACE DEWPOINTS TO NEAR 70-DEGREES N ACROSS S NEW ENGLAND. HIGH
CONFIDENCE OF A HEAVY RAIN THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.
AS TO SEVERE WEATHER...A HIGH SHEAR LOW INSTABILITY ENVIRONMENT IS
PLAUSIBLE. WILL GO SO FAR TO STATE THAT A STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND
THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS POSSIBLE.

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I believe policy is that NWS offices stop 2 weeks past first average frost date or when they declare the growing season over due to a hard freeze.

 

Or when people no longer give a hoot.

 

This sounds like a mid-late  August disco.. What a wild week coming up..Kind of looking forward to it in a  weird way..AWT Babcock was too cool by at least 10 degrees yesterday's disco with forecast of mid -upper 60's

 

THERE IS STILL THE

POSSIBILITY OF REACHING THE 80-DEGREE MARK TO WHICH MAY PUT HIGH

TEMPERATURE RECORDS ON TUESDAY /AROUND 80-81 DEGREES/ IN JEOPARDY.

THEN AGAIN CLOUDS WOULD IMPEDE THAT POSSIBILITY. A SUB-TROPICAL AIR-

MASS ROUNDING THE OFFSHORE HIGH N WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND THE MID-60S

COULD CONDENSE OUT AS LOW CLOUDS / FOG OVER THE INTERIOR BENEATH THE

DRY-SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND / OR UPPER-LEVEL BAROCLINIC LEAF. A

CHALLENGING AND COMPLICATED FORECAST WITH A LOT OF INTANGIBLES. WILL

KEEP IT MILD UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS.

APPEARING WET THURSDAY-FRIDAY PER THE EC/CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN.

MAIN CLOSED LOW SYSTEM LIFTING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. IMMEDIATELY

AHEAD OF THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT...EXPECTING STRONG LOW-LEVEL S-

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ADVECTING HIGH PWAT AIR OF UP TO 2-INCHES AND

SURFACE DEWPOINTS TO NEAR 70-DEGREES N ACROSS S NEW ENGLAND. HIGH

CONFIDENCE OF A HEAVY RAIN THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

AS TO SEVERE WEATHER...A HIGH SHEAR LOW INSTABILITY ENVIRONMENT IS

PLAUSIBLE. WILL GO SO FAR TO STATE THAT A STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND

THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS POSSIBLE.

 

The turn-around on rains demonstrates how 99.9% of the time it is ridiculous to worry about drought in NE.  "I haven't had to mow my lawn....", "they won't let me wash my car on Tuesdays....".  Meh

 

Ours are short-lived with no long-lasting impact on lifestyle or economy.  Wet weather has a bigger hit on those things in New England than any drought.

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Capitulation, heat on, 57 in house, 34 outside

Don't understand some of you guys. Why wait until its uncomfortably cold in the house to turn on heat? My thermostat is set on 70 during the day and 66 after bedtime. If my wife is cold, she is not getting out of bed this morning to make blueberry pancakes  and hash browns. Makes no sense to me, especially since nat. gas/ oil prices are way down and the summer electric bills were less than normal. You work hard for a living. At the very least, you should eat well and have your family comfortable in your home. 57 is around what I keep my place up in Lake George when I'm not there in winter so the pipes don't freeze in the basement.

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Here's a first..heading out to Farmington shortly for all day soccer tourney..There's frost on my truck..totally frozen..yet the air temp is 40 as is the dew and that's the low temp for the day. WTF?

Vehicles can radiate like mad. I've had lows near 40F and ice on the truck before too.
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Don't understand some of you guys. Why wait until its uncomfortably cold in the house to turn on heat? My thermostat is set on 70 during the day and 66 after bedtime. If my wife is cold, she is not getting out of bed this morning to make blueberry pancakes  and hash browns. Makes no sense to me, especially since nat. gas/ oil prices are way down and the summer electric bills were less than normal. You work hard for a living. At the very least, you should eat well and have your family comfortable in your home. 57 is around what I keep my place up in Lake George when I'm not there in winter so the pipes don't freeze in the basement.

I haven't had the heat on either. It's 60F inside right now...not too bad.
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