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October Discussion


TalcottWx

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0.9" in the bucket here as the rain winds down. Although not as dry as SE areas, we still needed it as we've been dry the past couple of months too.

 

The foliage was probably at peak yesterday, but we may be slightly past now due to today's rain. However, many of the oaks are still mostly green. The maples and ashes are probably starting to go slightly past now.

 

Meanwhile, 27 years ago today: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/1987_Oct/Oct_4_1987.htm

 

Although I was only 5, I remember getting nearly an inch of snow near the shore in lower Fairfield County CT, where I was residing at the time. However, this event produced over a foot of cement with fully leafed trees in the Berkshires, Taconics, and Catskills. The resultant damage was comparable to the damage seen in the 10/29/11 storm in CT and the Pioneer Valley of MA. We dodged a bullet in that event despite getting a lot of snow in 10/29/11, since most of the leaves were down and the snow was somewhat drier.

 

I wonder what the return time is on something like 10/4/87. Once every 500 years? I'm guessing 10/29/11 is at least a one in 200 year event at least, but again, I'm conjecturing and don't really know for sure.

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0.9" in the bucket here as the rain winds down. Although not as dry as SE areas, we still needed it as we've been dry the past couple of months too.

 

The foliage was probably at peak yesterday, but we may be slightly past now due to today's rain. However, many of the oaks are still mostly green. The maples and ashes are probably starting to go slightly past now.

 

Meanwhile, 27 years ago today: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/1987_Oct/Oct_4_1987.htm

 

Although I was only 5, I remember getting nearly an inch of snow near the shore in lower Fairfield County CT, where I was residing at the time. However, this event produced over a foot of cement with fully leafed trees in the Berkshires, Taconics, and Catskills. The resultant damage was comparable to the damage seen in the 10/29/11 storm in CT and the Pioneer Valley of MA. We dodged a bullet in that event despite getting a lot of snow in 10/29/11, since most of the leaves were down and the snow was somewhat drier.

 

I wonder what the return time is on something like 10/4/87. Once every 500 years? I'm guessing 10/29/11 is at least a one in 200 year event at least, but again, I'm conjecturing and don't really know for sure.

Weenie obs

 

KSCH 041300Z 30016G26KT 5/16SM TSSN FG OVC005 00/M A2978 RMK LTG HIT TREE AE SLPNO T0000////

 

KALB 041300Z 31013KT 1/2SM SN FG OVC002 01/01 A2975 RMK TB37E52 SNOINCR TSTMS RPTD W OVR SCH SLP075 P0037 T00060006 510/1

 

KPSF 041200Z 32010G15KT 1/4SM SNPL OVC001 00/M A2962 RMK SLPNO T0000////

 

KMPV 042000Z 31005KT 1/8SM SN FG OVC002 00/00 A2969 RMK SNOINCR SLP064 T00000000 510/3

 

KPOU 040700Z 30012KT 1SM -SN FG OVC/// BKN006 OVC010 01/00 A2975 RMK SF3 RE19/ 33 2024 4 SLPNO 71078 T00060000 52010

 

KLEB 041800Z 34012KT 1SM -SN FG OVC008 01/01 A2961 RMK /23581 ONE SLP032 60181 T00110011

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LOL, 50% chance t-storms Tue night in my p/c forecast.

 

  • Tuesday A chance of showers. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Tuesday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Wednesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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LOL, 50% chance t-storms Tue night in my p/c forecast.

 

  • Tuesday A chance of showers. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Tuesday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
  • Wednesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

 

 

The NAM actually is a little interesting looking for Tuesday afternoon.  

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