weathafella Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 26 hour fast commencing now. My fears are I didn't load up enough...was just not so hungry. Over and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 So much for the big pattern change that was talked about. Going from above normal and dry to above normal and slightly wetter. Certainly no below normal wx anywhere in sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 lol wutEven BOX talks about it in afd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 So much for the big pattern change that was talked about. Going from above normal and dry to above normal and slightly wetter. Certainly no below normal wx anywhere in sight It never really looked cold through next week. Sunday night will be chilly, but we moderate pretty quickly Mon/Tue. Hopefully we can get that front south of us for you on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Isn't this the 35th anni of the BDL tor?yep, Windsor Locks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 It never really looked cold through next week. Sunday night will be chilly, but we moderate pretty quickly Mon/Tue. Hopefully we can get that front south of us for you on Saturday. Well I never thought it would be overly cold..but there was def some chatter on here about a regime change to cooler. Every day next week looks like 70+ in the valleys and warm spots and mid 60's at least in the hills. Only Sunday looks like a relatively cool day with upper 50's and wind in hills . I think the typhoons not recurving are part of the problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 3, 2014 Author Share Posted October 3, 2014 Beautiful in Andover. Wouldn't even guess it was that crappy south and east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Even BOX talks about it in afdI read it,not zero, lock it upWHILE THE SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PARAMETER IS NEGLIGIBLE. INDICATIONS OF A HIGH SHEAR LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT ARE AT 5-PERCENT INTO S NEW ENGLAND. MEANWHILE CIPS ANALOGS OFF THE 12Z NAM ILLICIT A SIMILAR LOW PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER AS NEARLY ALL OF THE ANALOGS SHOW NO OUTCOMES. SO THINKING IS THAT THERE LITTLE IF ANY SUPPORT THAT S NEW ENGLAND WILL SEE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER...YET THE CHANCE IS NOT NILL. THERE EXISTS A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY. SO WITH THE LINE OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. A LOT OF FORCING ALONG THE FRONT...ENOUGH TO LIKELY ERODE THE MARITIME CAP...THERE IS THE THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS OF STRONG POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 40 MPH AND THE POTENTIAL /THOUGH VERY LOW/ BRIEF SPIN-UP OF A TORNADO. THE LIKELIHOOD OF A TORNADO SEEMS A LONG WAY OFF...NEVERTHELESS AS MENTIONED EARLIER THE CHANCE IS NOT ZERO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Even BOX talks about it in afd Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Well I never thought it would be overly cold..but there was def some chatter on here about a regime change to cooler. Every day next week looks like 70+ in the valleys and warm spots and mid 60's at least in the hills. Only Sunday looks like a relatively cool day with upper 50's and wind in hills . I think the typhoons not recurving are part of the problem Even three days ago it looked meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 THERE IS THE THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMSOF STRONG POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 40 MPH Those strong, damaging 30mph gusts sound scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Even three days ago it looked meh. Northern plains looks chilly next two weeks...lots of WSW flow though into this area will modify that. Looks like a fairly stable pattern over the next 10 days, but definitely a turn towards more wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 3, 2014 Author Share Posted October 3, 2014 We have downslope days with higher gusts. What a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 There is almost a triple-point low over SNE. I don't see much support for thunder other than a rumble maybe over the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Northern plains looks chilly next two weeks...lots of WSW flow though into this area will modify that. Looks like a fairly stable pattern over the next 10 days, but definitely a turn towards more wet. Yeah...ens were banging the trough axis in the midwest/western Lakes idea for awhile. We get sloppy second cooldowns while the coolest departures remain to our west. I'm just happy it's looking more stormy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I think the typhoons not recurving are part of the problemHave you looked at any Typhoon modeling, serious question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Have you looked at any Typhoon modeling, serious question? Only what's on twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Only what's on twitter. Geezus, could not be any more wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Yeah...ens were banging the trough axis in the midwest/western Lakes idea for awhile. We get sloppy second cooldowns while the coolest departures remain to our west. I'm just happy it's looking more stormy. I think it would be a fun pattern in the winter...run the risk of the trough axis too far west, but that weak Atlantic ridging and Midwest trough would slingshot storms right up the coast or through our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Have you looked at any Typhoon modeling, serious question? He goes fishing with those comments like once a day...he knows you'll bite any recurving typhoon comment lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 No sign of real cold weather but not a torch either. Pretty much normal weather. As long as signs still look good for the LR, that's all that matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 The typhoons are not curving in an area we need them to I guess is my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Yeah...ens were banging the trough axis in the midwest/western Lakes idea for awhile. We get sloppy second cooldowns while the coolest departures remain to our west. I'm just happy it's looking more stormy.Is there more ensemble support for the front getting south of us by the 11th, or more twds the GFS of a humid , rainy screaming soueaster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Is there more ensemble support for the front getting south of us by the 11th, or more twds the GFS of a humid , rainy screaming soueaster? ecens try to build a high in after a fropa. That GFS storm develops from the remnants of Simon. You can track that potent vort from west of Baja right up to New England. The Euro doesn't do much with it. Odds are probably against it, but I guess stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Here comes the inversion marine taint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Solid mist falling at the moment in the greater Raynham metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 dates to watch if a coastal forms AA/NOS/CO-OPS Disclaimer: These data are based upon the latest information available as of the date of your request, and may differ from the published tide tables. Daily Tide Prediction StationName: BOSTON State: MA Stationid: 8443970 Prediction Type: Harmonic From: 20141009 12:00AM - 20141010 11:59PM Units: Feet Time Zone: LST/LDT Datum: MLLW Interval Type: High/Low Tide Predictions Date Day Time Pred High/Low 2014/10/09 Thu 06:03 AM -1.14 L 2014/10/09 Thu 12:17 PM 11.88 H 2014/10/09 Thu 06:33 PM -1.64 L 2014/10/10 Fri 12:48 AM 11.18 H 2014/10/10 Fri 06:52 AM -0.91 L 2014/10/10 Fri 01:05 PM 11.78 H 2014/10/10 Fri 07:23 PM -1.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Haven't seen the sun here in BOS since Monday it seems like. Chance of light rain/drizzle tomorrow? Sun on Sunday hopefully. Figures. SUNday. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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