HoarfrostHubb Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 40.1F. Better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 40.1F. Better Nice--maybe you'll get 30's. Bottomed out at 43.6 here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I prefer a dry pattern through Nov. then flip to wet. AN rainfall Oct/Nov is dreadful,.especially if we get into a rainy weekend pattern. I had nearly 70" of snow after almost 20" of rain in October 2005. If I remember correctly, that was on the heels of a dry summer which was one of the things that preventing the flooding from being worse than it was. Cooled off nicely last night. Looks like 42° out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 How many twitter mets do you follow? As many as possible. Best to get a bunch of different ideas..so you don't get trapped inside the box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 As many as possible. Best to get a bunch of different ideas and run with the most extreme option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Nice--maybe you'll get 30's. Bottomed out at 43.6 here so far.My cheapo thermo tickled 38.8F. Local meso site with a Davis only hit 42.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Bit cloudy to start the AM. Looks like cloud back backs W somewhat over the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 My cheapo thermo tickled 38.8F. Local meso site with a Davis only hit 42.0 Doesn't mean your cheapo was incorrect. Only got to 44F here. Sun trying to break out now. 46F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Was 44 when I left my house at 530. Cloudy, which probably kept the temp relatively moderated. Fall is in full swing here. Cool mornings and leaves,acorns, pine needles all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Looks like 51 for the low as clouds and NNE wind modified the area. This area is an interesting microclimate at times. Edit looks like 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Was 44 when I left my house at 530. Cloudy, which probably kept the temp relatively moderated. Fall is in full swing here. Cool mornings and leaves,acorns, pine needles all over the place Maybe I'm oblivious but I have not noticed the acorns like a lot here. I have quite a few scrub oaks around too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Sun angle having a hard time clearing low clouds. Summers over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Maybe between November and April, otherwise it's mostly clear blue skies and cool. September is awesome out there! Yeah love that area in the Summer & Early Fall! 70F... great running weather Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Sun angle having a hard time clearing low clouds. Summers over. Wow, was just thinking the same. Mid march sun angle now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 My cheapo thermo tickled 38.8F. Local meso site with a Davis only hit 42.0 There can be differences just in a short amount of space so I wouldn't discount it. On clear nights if I have to go into my other job I can see a 3-5° difference just going down the hill. I'm glad that I live in enough of a bowl to cool off most nights. Nice valley fog this morning. I wish I had time to drive around....I'm sure there are nice fog/foliage pictures to be had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 You could even say early March sun angle now. 2 weeks past the equinox would be like 3/6 or 3/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Deep sun all day here. Not a cloud in the sky. Round one of many many rounds of leaves the next 8-9 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 You could even say early March sun angle now. 2 weeks past the equinox would be like 3/6 or 3/7 That's more correct. Getting weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Doesn't mean your cheapo was incorrect. Only got to 44F here. Sun trying to break out now. 46F if it's unshielded it's probably too cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Raw and chilly out. Feels like deep October. Weeklies look like they want to end October on a warm note. Big trough develops over the coastline of western Canada and torch us to start November. It's week 4 so normal caveats apply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 if it's unshielded it's probably too cold.Yup. I always think it is too cold by a couple. But still fun to see. It is often close to the Davis a mile away. But not todayGFS brings snow to western Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 The ensembles seem to look cooler with more AK ridging and the Aleutian low sort of retrograding a bit. We'll see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I wonder if we see a forced line of low topped convection ahead of the front. Pretty strong dynamics associated with the front along with a few hundred J/KG of sfc-based instability along with some elevated CAPE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Probably another day in the 50s here. A good 6-9 cooler the last few days, compared to what the rip and read mets put up around here locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 That's more correct. Getting weak. it's funny though, it's weak now, but on 3/6 we're staying it's getting strong. Guess it depends on where you're going (stronger in March) weakening in October) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I wonder if we see a forced line of low topped convection ahead of the front. Pretty strong dynamics associated with the front along with a few hundred J/KG of sfc-based instability along with some elevated CAPE too. Reminds me of when you predicted a first place spot for the Red Sox before they promptly shat the bed one last time.... All good wiz...optimists may live longer and at least are happier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Reminds me of when you predicted a first place spot for the Red Sox before they promptly shat the bed one last time.... All good wiz...optimists may live longer and at least are happier. That was classic. I think I said they would go like 10-3 or something on that home stand and they went like 3-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I wonder if we see a forced line of low topped convection ahead of the front. Pretty strong dynamics associated with the front along with a few hundred J/KG of sfc-based instability along with some elevated CAPE too. Never give up ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 The rain still hasn't gotten the local river to flow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 That was classic. I think I said they would go like 10-3 or something on that home stand and they went like 3-8 3 and 10. You just had the numbers reversed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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