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October Discussion


TalcottWx

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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:26 PM, Nittany88 said:

Really? Wow.

We're a solid 4 degrees above here. 3 days of 70F+ and only one morning in the 30's through yesterday.

We'll skyrocket even higher above this week.

ORH PVD too, solid winter signal lol, another rainy Jan for PF while Dendrite is getting 4 per?
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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:45 PM, CoastalWx said:

I know. I gave my range as -.5 to +.8 leaning on the warmer side. Certainly no torch, but I thought it may be above. The AO can be as negative as it wants, but it's not a cool pattern given 500 pattern.

?AO drop IS day 6-10, 5h supports BN 6-10? 12z Euro Ens agree
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  On 10/13/2014 at 9:43 PM, Ginxy said:

ORH PVD too, solid winter signal lol, another rainy Jan for PF while Dendrite is getting 4 per?

lol you clown...;). I've only seen one month like that in 10 years in VT, and it was near record low. I think Tamarack was record low too over in Maine or close to it for January snowfall (I distinctly remember he had more inches of rain than snow through like half the month) haha.

Probably not seeing that again anytime soon...knock on wood, lol.

You know I have no problem with some warmer departures in the winter (to a point at least)...no matter how many stats are thrown at me about cold winters and snow at BTV, I don't need it to be -5 all through Dec/Jan/Feb to get snow like you down on the Banana Coast.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 6:47 PM, Ginxy said:

Brian said give it time.

Lots of low to mid 60s today...is that supposed to be cold? I never said sunny and warm today...just to give it time to get up to the forecast highs. You were wondering where the warmth was at 10:45am after a cold night behind a retreating high.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:05 PM, dendrite said:

Lots of low to mid 60s today...is that supposed to be cold? I never said sunny and warm today...just to give it time to get up to the forecast highs. You were wondering where the warmth was at 10:45am after a cold night behind a retreating high.

Yup got to 60F today after a 27F low.

SLK at 1,600ft got to 60F too after a chilly 21F min.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 9:19 PM, weathafella said:

Cool for good? In October? Uncommon to say the least!

It's like dealing with a 5 yr.old on vacation in the car. Are we there yet daddy? In the past few months it was dews as far as the eye can see from mid July through Aug. Of course, that didn't pan out until early September when he suddenly despised humidity. Then we get peppered with seasons in seasons, why isn't it cool even though it's still summer on the calendar until the end of September when the model God's deem the on-coming cool is here to stay. Now just a couple of weeks later, "many" very earnest men reading several models are concerned we torch through November. In short, emotional wishcasting based upon no intelligent reasoning.
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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:10 PM, West Mtn NY said:

It's like dealing with a 5 yr.old on vacation in the car. Are we there yet daddy? In the past few months it was dews as far as the eye can see from mid July through Aug. Of course, that didn't pan out until early September when he suddenly despised humidity. Then we get peppered with seasons in seasons, why isn't it cool even though it's still summer on the calendar until the end of September when the model God's deem the on-coming cool is here to stay. Now just a couple of weeks later, "many" very earnest men reading several models are concerned we torch through November. In short, emotional wishcasting based upon no intelligent reasoning.

I've noticed you've come in here and started quite a bit of trouble with several people during  the last few months. Especially odd when you aren't even in New England. 

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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:05 PM, dendrite said:

Lots of low to mid 60s today...is that supposed to be cold? I never said sunny and warm today...just to give it time to get up to the forecast highs. You were wondering where the warmth was at 10:45am after a cold night behind a retreating high.

It warmed up after my morning of work was done, you should have seen the media forecasts down here all weekend.
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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I've noticed you've come in here and started quite a bit of trouble with several people during  the last few months. Especially odd when you aren't even in New England. 

I work around Danbury does that count? And if discussing home heating with someone is starting problems, I'm guilty I guess. lol......Please show me the SEVERAL besides you. As we know, just because you say it does not make it true.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:27 PM, West Mtn NY said:

I work around Danbury does that count? And if discussing home heating with someone is starting problems, I'm guilty I guess. lol......Please show me the SEVERAL besides you. As we know, just because you say it does not make it true.

if you are referring to our exchange I thought it was amicable. I did turn the heat on this am to to take the chill out but just for about 10 mins,plenty warm now 65 in here
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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:32 PM, CoastalWx said:

Steve my point is current AO. It's not a cold pattern.

oh I thought when I said AO drop and you responded you were talking about next week. AO is barely negative right now but dropping next week again.That combined with a huge PNA rise gives credence to Euro Op it seems for next week
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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:56 PM, Ginxy said:

oh I thought when I said AO drop and you responded you were talking about next week. AO is barely negative right now but dropping next week again.That combined with a huge PNA rise gives credence to Euro Op it seems for next week

The AO was near -4 SD and we didn't have much to show for it. It doesn't really matter in the Fall when it can dump cold on the other side of the globe and/or quirky fall patterns don't give the outcome one might expect. I haven't looked at next week but sounds like euro op is too extreme.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 10:05 PM, dendrite said:

Lots of low to mid 60s today...is that supposed to be cold? I never said sunny and warm today...just to give it time to get up to the forecast highs. You were wondering where the warmth was at 10:45am after a cold night behind a retreating high.

 

I didn't get a chance to look at mesomaps or anything else on-line today.  The Pioneer Valley was chilly, where were the 60's?  Eastern and Central SNE?

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  On 10/14/2014 at 12:15 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I didn't get a chance to look at mesomaps or anything else on-line today.  The Pioneer Valley was chilly, where were the 60's?  Eastern and Central SNE?

TAN 67

PVD 66

PWM 65

HFD 64

BDL 64

BOS 63

ALB 63

CON 62

FIT 62

BTV 61

 

The CT river valley had trouble mixing out today.

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  On 10/14/2014 at 12:44 AM, dendrite said:

 

The CT river valley had trouble mixing out today.

 

Yup it sure did.  If it were Dec. with a snowpack we'd be talking one of our special 1/8 sm vis days.  Last night got down near freezing in the really low spots, whereas once you climbed up a few hundred feet it was more like 40.

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  On 10/14/2014 at 2:27 AM, powderfreak said:

Latest GFS showing 1.5-3.0" QPF from BTV to LEW to BOS to BDR. Pretty much everyone sees heavy rain except northern Maine on that solution.

Yeah it will be a good drink for all, but I think those areas I mentioned are probably under the gun. Pattern plus orographics.

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