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October Discussion


TalcottWx

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This time of the year is the true doldrums. Summer fun is gone, severe threat is gone, we've been waiting since last April for snow, cloudy cool and miserable out... and last but not least... that time of year when it is too warm for a jacket and too cold not to wear a jacket. 

 

Just sitting here looking at the euro ensembles and realized I don't even care what they show :lol:

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  On 10/13/2014 at 6:30 PM, sbos_wx said:

This time of the year is the true doldrums. Summer fun is gone, severe threat is gone, we've been waiting since last April for snow, cloudy cool and miserable out... and last but not least... that time of year when it is too warm for a jacket and too cold not to wear a jacket.

Just sitting here looking at the euro ensembles and realized I don't even care what they show :lol:

Since you asked... This is what they show.. An unmitigated disaster including a torch Helloween and beyond

https://twitter.com/capecodweather/status/521658253533409280

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  On 10/13/2014 at 7:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

You just take that look.. Look over Canada .. See no cold anywhere and a disaster in the GOA and extrapolate it carries well into and possibly thru Novemver

 

At less than this time frame, you were lamenting the HHH of the marathon.  How'd that play out come verification?

 

I hope the race was good.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:10 PM, Brian5671 said:

LOL at people panicking over warmth in October. Last October was an inferno.

people? Person. Poleward bound hurricanes reinforcing the block, analogs and CPC 6-14 day huge switch today. AO drop again, starting to think next week is polar opposite to this week.
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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:14 PM, Ginxy said:

people? Person. Poleward bound hurricanes reinforcing the block, analogs and CPC 6-14 day huge switch today. AO drop again, starting to think next week is polar opposite to this week.

Next week has always looked cool to cold. It's the last 7-10 days into NOV that many are very concerned about
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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:01 PM, Ginxy said:

Boston is below normal first half, second half starts above, we will see what the 4th quarter really brings.

 

Really? Wow.

 

We're a solid 4 degrees above here. 3 days of 70F+ and only one morning in the 30's through yesterday.

 

We'll skyrocket even higher above this week.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:01 PM, Ginxy said:

Boston is below normal first half, second half starts above, we will see what the 4th quarter really brings.

It's going to be above normal up here for sure.

BTV +4.0

MVL +3.4

MPV +1.5

Only reason MPV is always lower is the climo sheets think the climo is the same as MVL except the elevations are 500ft different so obviously MVL comes in warmer.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:26 PM, Nittany88 said:

Really? Wow.

We're a solid 4 degrees above here. 3 days of 70F+ and only one morning in the 30's through yesterday.

We'll skyrocket even higher above this week.

lol read my mind.

I still can't figure out how MVL and MPV have similar normals despite the 500ft elevation difference. It's hard to find months when the MVL has a lower departure than MPV. It's very difficult haha.

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  On 10/13/2014 at 8:01 PM, Ginxy said:

Boston is below normal first half, second half starts above, we will see what the 4th quarter really brings.

I know. I gave my range as -.5 to +.8 leaning on the warmer side. Certainly no torch, but I thought it may be above. The AO can be as negative as it wants, but it's not a cool pattern given 500 pattern.

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