powderfreak Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 9/30/2014 at 10:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Safe to Say HRRR is going to bust lolI just saw the HRRR is now an "official" model as of today:http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20140930_hrrr.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Got awoken by thunder. Can't say I expected that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 5:15 AM, Sn0waddict said: Got awoken by thunder. Can't say I expected that me too...LOL--tiny cell coming ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 What a soaker on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Classic inv trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Wagons west lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Euro went from cold shot to torch after the 10th. So did the ensembles.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro went from cold shot to torch after the 10th. So did the ensembles.. It's not a torch and looks similar to yesterday. I don't think anything changes from what I mentioned for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 RGEM rather pedestrian with rain it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:38 AM, CoastalWx said: RGEM rather pedestrian with rain it seems. Inv trough set up west.. Go figure. Weird setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:40 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Inv trough set up west.. Go figure. Weird setup That was modeled. This really isn't the trough yet. There will be another blob developing near CC and trying to push west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:43 AM, CoastalWx said: That was modeled. This really isn't the trough yet. There will be another blob developing near CC and trying to push west. Hi-res stuff definitely in agreement on that sort of evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:48 AM, OceanStWx said: Hi-res stuff definitely in agreement on that sort of evolution. Yeah it will be interesting to see how this evolves. Someone is going to get quite wet, while others might not see much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:50 AM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it will be interesting to see how this evolves. Someone is going to get quite wet, while others might not see much at all. I did enjoy the 00z NMM with over 6" for GON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro went from cold shot to torch after the 10th. So did the ensembles.. Winter deferred to November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 11:30 AM, weathafella said: Winter deferred to November? It's going to be a long winter when we start commenting on op runs daily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 11:31 AM, CoastalWx said: It's going to be a long winter when we start commenting on op runs daily. That's what we do. Gotta stay in shape by having a long pre season.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 11:41 AM, weathafella said: That's what we do. Gotta stay in shape by having a long pre season.. Sometimes season ending injuries happen on the practice field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 10:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro went from cold shot to torch after the 10th. So did the ensembles.. One of these days you'll learn model analysis. The ensembles look almost identical to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 5:19 AM, Brian5671 said: me too...LOL--tiny cell coming ashore. Lol I thought I was hearing things at first. May be the last time we hear thunder for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 11:59 AM, ORH_wxman said: One of these days you'll learn model analysis. The ensembles look almost identical to yesterday. I saw the Euro ens..and wasn't a cold look at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 This storm has weenie reminders of winter written all over it. I love seeing those bands move NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 12:10 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I saw the Euro ens..and wasn't a cold look at all They haven't really changed. Stop worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 12:11 PM, CoastalWx said: This storm has weenie reminders of winter written all over it. I love seeing those bands move NW.sure looks like a winter evolution, good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Look at the upslope areas from here up to ORH and west just sit under the rainbands. Kind of Morch 2013 like in a way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Euro Ens with a 1000mB low on the 5th is a pretty deep low for Ens mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 12:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Look at the upslope areas from here up to ORH and west just sit under the rainbands. Kind of Morch 2013 like in a way There is no upslope when heavier rains are in lowest elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 12:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Look at the upslope areas from here up to ORH and west just sit under the rainbands. Kind of Morch 2013 like in a wayHRRR is doing great with how this is evolvinghttp://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRRncep/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_ncep_jet:&runTime=2014100110&plotName=1ref_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20NCEP%20Parallel&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 On 10/1/2014 at 12:15 PM, CoastalWx said: There is no upslope when heavier rains are in lowest elevations.There wouldn't be any rain here currently if not for a bit of upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 Some of those meso models I mentioned yesterday are on the money for sctrl CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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