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October 2014


Rtd208

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nice rains this morning...nothing like last year when it was 86 on this date...The ao was a little lower today and is still forecast to drop to -4.00...That would be very significant for October and going forward...

 

That's for sure. I believe the only other -4 or lower daily AO reading in October was in 2002.

It's really nice to see the -AO flexing its muscles again after the last big drop in March into

April 2013.

 

 

 

 

 

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10 Lowest AO readings for October:

 

1. -5.098, 10/18/2002

2. -4.911, 10/17/2002

3. -4.850, 10/19/2002

4. -4.434, 10/16/2002

5. -4.350, 10/20/2002

6. -3.718, 10/15/2002

7. -3.516, 10/21/2002

8. -3.471, 10/8/1979

9. -3.415, 10/22/2009

10. -3.297, 10/15/2003

1979 had the earliest snowfall on record on 10/10...47/37 max/min...

2002 had some sleet and snow 10/29...36 on 10/24/02...

2003 was cold on 10/24...36 min...

2009 was cold on 10/15-16...37 min on 10/15-16-19...cold rain on 10/18...

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1979 had the earliest snowfall on record on 10/10...47/37 max/min...

2002 had some sleet and snow 10/29...36 on 10/24/02...

2003 was cold on 10/24...36 min...

2009 was cold on 10/15-16...37 min on 10/15-16-19...cold rain on 10/18...

I'm worried about the -4 AO in the first week of October. I hope it doesn't lead to early snowfall like 1979. :/
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Great game, that Michigan incompletion on 3rd and 8 late in the game was a terrible call. Sorry for the OT, 56 here and waiting for winter.

Lol oh yeah that was a catch, but that's the way it goes. I was shocked when I heard them say incompletion stands. That's a catch in the NFL

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Oct. 10-18 looks very wet with possible tropical involvement near the 16th on the 0Z GFS.   Weeklies are wet here too.   Last 10 days of month look more mundane with near normal  precip. and a little above on 2mT.s via same weekly series.

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EWR 80 1 more time ? Would be nice .

I also noticed that the Euro cooled down quite a bit compared to its previous runs in the medium range. It actually looks like what the GFS was showing days ago when the Euro was trying to pump up a ridge.

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