IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Someone should probably make a thread for this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Yeah the gfs really amps up totals along the coast and potentially right over or just east of the city. With such a strong tropical fetch along with the relatively slow storm motion someone could really rake in the totals. Not sure how much role the cane plays if any but it would only enhance tropical moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 10:06 PM, IsentropicLift said: It should be in and out but very intense Ummm, oh never mind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Todays highs NYC: 76/63 (+13) EWR: 79/63 (+14) LGA: 76/64 (+11) JFK: 75/62 (+1 2) TTN: 79/63 (+16) New Brunswick: 80/62 (+15) PHL: 79/65 (+14) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 10:31 PM, IsentropicLift said: Someone should probably make a thread for this system too early considering all the busts we have had over the last few months IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I made it to 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 2:05 AM, winterwarlock said: I made it to 80As did my grandfather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 So easy to get multiple +10-15 departures compared to -10 to -15 departures. I think highs would have to be in the 40s with freezing lows to get a -14 this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Wow a low of 69 at LGA that has to be some kind of record. In fact, now that I checked almost everyone stayed around 70 for a low. That's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 10:21 AM, Sundog said: Wow a low of 69 at LGA that has to be some kind of record. In fact, now that I checked almost everyone stayed around 70 for a low. That's insane. Here are the record high min. FOR OCTOBER 15 BDR 65 - 1954 ISP 63 - 1985 LGA 65 - 1955 JFK 64 - 1985 NYC 66 - 1975 EWR 64 - 1985 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Upton being very cautious about issuing any flood watches - would rather pass the decision on to the next shift : http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fxus61.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The HRRR has the rain moving in very slowly, first batch arriving in Western sections around 22-00z and not in the city until 03z or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 1:37 PM, IsentropicLift said: The HRRR has the rain moving in very slowly, first batch arriving in Western sections around 22-00z and not in the city until 03z or so. You can tell by the radar motion there's almost no eastward movement yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 1:39 PM, Plfdwxdude said: You can tell by the radar motion there's almost no eastward movement yet Yeah the 12z NAM is very slow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Some breaks of sun here in CNJ and temp up to 76. Likely the warmest temps till next spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Looks like the rain will come in between 7 and 11 tonight. Heaviest overnight into early AM. Looks like the worst is through by late morning/early afternoon tomorrow. Wall of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 2:01 PM, SACRUS said: Looks like the rain will come in between 7 and 11 tonight. Heaviest overnight into early AM. Looks like the worst is through by late morning/early afternoon tomorrow. Wall of rain The 12z NAM has the worst of the weather crossing the area between 10z and 17z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The 4k NAM also indicates that an area of storms will fire out ahead of the main line this afternoon and affect western sections. Looks like that's currently happening just East of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The current breaks of sun should help create more instability so I wouldn't rule out some severe weather later today in the form of strong gusts at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 2:31 PM, SnoSki14 said: The current breaks of sun should help create more instability so I wouldn't rule out some severe weather later today in the form of strong gusts at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Record high min here this morning of 67 degrees...only up to 73 this afternoon with clouds and an e wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 On 10/15/2014 at 7:38 PM, doncat said: Record high min here this morning of 67 degrees...only up to 73 this afternoon with clouds and an e wind.If the rain comes in earlier than expected we might get below 67 for a low today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Todays highs NYC: 77 LGA: 78 JFK: EWR: 76 New Brunswick: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Could be seeing some widespread frost early next week away from the city and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 My AC is on tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 On 10/16/2014 at 2:11 AM, Allsnow said: My AC is on tonight Sunday night , you may have the heat on . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 33 at LGA and 45 at JFK? Does a perfectly timed cold front need to stall out to make this happen? Is that physically possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 On 10/16/2014 at 2:49 AM, Cfa said: 33 at LGA and 45 at JFK? Does a perfectly timed cold front need to stall out to make this happen? Is that physically possible? That product grossly overestimates the marine influence all the time. Does the same thing with high temps in the warm season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 On 10/16/2014 at 3:00 AM, Isotherm said: That product grossly overestimates the marine influence all the time. Does the same thing with high temps in the warm season. Tom , Are those not the soundings from JFK at this time shown on that Euro ? Is Maue`s map is wrong ? or the Euro ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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