SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 2:57 PM, winterwarlock said: Sorry its not...have to have a frost Sorry it's not in the 90s right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 3:41 PM, Sundog said: Most of us don't really see a frost anyway being in an urban setting and next to the coast. We've had frost twice here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 My coldest low has been 37F, and several nights in the low 40s. Most of NJ outside of the urban areas have seen upper 30s/low 40s, but no frost yet. Most areas outside of NYC average first 32F readings in the Oct 7th-25th period. Generally the Indian summer period occurs anywhere from late October through mid November when our temperatures surge back into the 60s/near 70F following a freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 If you live near LGA, your first frost will occur on the first snowfall, so yeah, no Indian summer likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 4:27 PM, Isotherm said: If you live near LGA, your first frost will occur on the first snowfall, so yeah, no Indian summer likely. Maybe not for NYC but if we break 80 up here today it will officially be an Indian Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 4:30 PM, IsentropicLift said: Maybe not for NYC but if we break 80 up here today it will officially be an Indian Summer There is no official Indian Summer definition..Generally its a 2 to 3 day warm period following the first frost or at least cold snap. I don't think you need to hit 80. Usually it occurs after the first frost, after the leaves have changed and started to fall and would need to be at least 2 warm days in a row (+10 above normal). That's why its generally late October to mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 4:34 PM, Plfdwxdude said: There is no official Indian Summer definition..Generally its a 2 to 3 day warm period following the first frost or at least cold snap. I don't think you need to hit 80. Usually it occurs after the first frost, after the leaves have changed and started to fall and would need to be at least 2 warm days in a row (+10 above normal). That's why its generally late October to mid November. Oh, I always considered it to be a high of 80 or above after the first frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 4:35 PM, IsentropicLift said: Oh, I always considered it to be a high of 80 or above after the first frost. In November the average highs are in the 50s and 80 is very rare but 70s can still be quite common. Usually the 11/1-15 period is the most likely to have a period of Indian Summer weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Too warm outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 4:47 PM, Snow88 said: Too warm outside At least there's a good breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Gorgeous out...enjoy ladies and others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Enjoy it. Its our last warm and sunny day for a while. Feels great out. Fall will make a return soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It's a bit too muggy to truly enjoy but am looking forward to the weather starting as early as Friday and especially starting Sunday. Some nice action though Wednesday into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The 12z GFS lost the big coastal for next week but the GGEM delivers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 That looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 5:58 PM, Snow88 said: That looks beautiful Also pure GGEM fantasy bs. Oh well a dead clock is right twice a day and there's some support for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Euro at 0z had the same depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It will still be very warm tomorrow and thursday looks low to mid 70s with sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 6:50 PM, winterwarlock said: It will still be very warm tomorrow and thursday looks low to mid 70s with sun The Euro has upper 60's at best for your location and lower 60's or upper 50's for NYC with rain until at least afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 6:50 PM, winterwarlock said: It will still be very warm tomorrow and thursday looks low to mid 70s with sun Thursday will not be warm, not with all that rain and cloudiness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 This weather is terrible. Short sleeves in October. fTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Made it to 77 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 7:00 PM, Snow88 said: This weather is terrible. Short sleeves in October. fTL Nothing wrong with that at all. You'll have plenty of cold come winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 77 here now off a high of 79. 3PM Roundup TEB: 76 NYC: 74 EWR: 76 LGA: 74 JFK: 74 ISP: 74 New Brunswick: 77 TTN: 77 ACY: 74 PHL: 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Honestly compared to October 2007, this current warmth is minuscule. Nobody even made it to 80F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 This is going to be a very wet NAM run thanks to a slight eastward shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Gfs back to a solid 2" but basically outta here before noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 9:52 PM, Plfdwxdude said: Gfs back to a solid 2" but basically outta here before noonIt should be in and out but very intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 9:52 PM, Plfdwxdude said: Gfs back to a solid 2" but basically outta here before noon Coastal NJ, CT and NYC east is over 3 inches. Should be an interesting event to see what kind of totals we can reel in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 On 10/14/2014 at 10:23 PM, Sundog said: Coastal NJ, CT and NYC east is over 3 inches. Should be an interesting event to see what kind of totals we can reel in.The GFS entrains some of the moisture from the cane, if that happens all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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