A-L-E-K Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 looks like a lasagna weekend looking forward to some garden variety action tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Thinking at least some graupel and rain showers will be possible Saturday if nothing else, with 850mb's this low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Well that will be interesting to see how far south the snow makes it this weekend! Skilling dropped his high down to 46° for Saturday. Thinking frost is a good bet now. Just so long as the weather puts an end to the hyper-aggressive Yellow Jackets that seem to be all over the place behind my house. They have been awful this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 LOT going with 1-2" which would be a nice soaker after a mini dry spell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Just so long as the weather puts an end to the hyper-aggressive Yellow Jackets that seem to be all over the place behind my house. They have been awful this fall. Yeah no kidding they've been bad! At work it's almost impossible to eat outside on the nice days because they pester you so much! --- NAM has a nice squall line developing east of the Mississippi River late today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 strong/severe convection chances looking slim to none at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 strong/severe convection chances looking slim to none at this point Been watching the radar... the rain shield seems to be dissipating as it comes north. Some cells getting going down by Danville, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 calm before the storm. cloudy, but upper 50's outside with almost no wind at all. actually feels very nice out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Who is going to see flakes Saturday? Bo is nearly a lock, Gaylord has snow in the forecast. Will anyone else get in on it. Se Michigan record was set Oct 12th 2006 as the earliest snow. That winter sucked too..... I think it's completely random though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Who is going to see flakes Saturday? Bo is nearly a lock, Gaylord has snow in the forecast. Will anyone else get in on it. Se Michigan record was set Oct 12th 2006 as the earliest snow. That winter sucked too..... I think it's completely random though. I think DLL has a chance at it, it precipitation can make it in early enough in the day. --- Rain has now moved into the area. Made it to about 72°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 System has been pretty lame so far for this area. Was expecting a big soaking today/tonight. Maybe things will come together a little better this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 System has been pretty lame so far for this area. Was expecting a big soaking today/tonight. Maybe things will come together a little better this evening. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 NAM showing around 2" of snowfall around MSP for tomorrow night into Saturday morning. MPX feels confident that at the very least rain/snow mix will occur. Talking minor accums on grassy surfaces. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Point has 37 with scattered showers tomorrow night. Can't rule out a rogue flake or pellet if a heavier shower passes through given the profiles forecast for the area. Looks like it would be predawn though, so won't be seeing that if it happens. Pretty cool to be seeing the first flake ops already around the MW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Hoping the rain comes together a bit. Looks to be weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Michael Skipper has no qualms with using the s word: .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)ISSUED AT 355 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL BE RACING EAST ACROSS THE AREA AT THESTART OF THE PERIOD FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROF LIFTSNORTHEAST. HAVE ADJUSTED THE TIMING OF SHOWERS BASED ON THE LATESTGFS AND NAM TO COINCIDE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THESE SYSTEMS...WITH THEBEST CHANCE FOR RAIN EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT OVER NORTHERN AREAS. VERYCOLD AIR WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY. GIVEN 850MB TEMPS AS COLD AS -5C AND 925 MB TEMPS BELOW 0C...CONCERN FOR APOSSIBLE RAIN/SNOW MIX EARLY IN THE DAY. FOR NOW...KEPT THE MENTIONOF SNOW OUT GIVEN UNCERTAINTY...AND GIVEN THE FIRST MENTION THISSEASON. ADDED SOME PATCHY FROST SATURDAY NIGHT OVER MAINLY SOUTHWESTAREAS WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME CLEARING WITH LOWS DIPPING WITHIN AFEW DEGREES OF FREEZING. LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHTUESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW/UPPER TROF REMAINS OVER THE REGION.TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL BY NEXT THURSDAY AS THEUPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Pouring the last few hours... thought i was hydroplaning on the interstate.. leaves are slowly changing, probably still a week off peak. Warm this afternoon and a little humid...rain didn't start until later in the day. This was Tues evening...a few trees have some color.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Point has 37 with scattered showers tomorrow night. Can't rule out a rogue flake or pellet if a heavier shower passes through given the profiles forecast for the area. Looks like it would be predawn though, so won't be seeing that if it happens. Pretty cool to be seeing the first flake ops already around the MW. You know it's interesting, in recent years we have seen first snowfall opportunities in the Midwest in September, but it's pretty early for the likes of MSP to be talking possible accumulating snow. The end of September was too benign to yield any snow in the region, but I know the Dakotas have had September snows in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Who is going to see flakes Saturday? Bo is nearly a lock, Gaylord has snow in the forecast. Will anyone else get in on it. Se Michigan record was set Oct 12th 2006 as the earliest snow. That winter sucked too..... I think it's completely random though. I think I have a decent chance with at least seeing some mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Who is going to see flakes Saturday? Bo is nearly a lock, Gaylord has snow in the forecast. Will anyone else get in on it. Se Michigan record was set Oct 12th 2006 as the earliest snow. That winter sucked too..... I think it's completely random though. The earliest measurable snow for Detroit was Oct 12, 2006, however the earliest flakes were Oct 1, 1974. 5 earliest dates for snowflakes in Detroit - since 1880 Oct 1, 1974 - T Oct 2, 1987 - T (sleet) Oct 3, 1935 - T Oct 6, 1964 - T Oct 6, 1991 - T 5 earliest measurable snowfalls in Detroit - since 1880 Oct 12, 2006 - 0.2" Oct 13, 1909 - 0.4" Oct 16, 1943 - 0.1" Oct 17, 1943 - 0.9" Oct 18, 1880 - 0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 0z NAM gets the DBQ area down to the mid 20's Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I say bring on the chance of flakes. At least it would be interesting to see. Big model bust in terms of rainfall predicted today. Think I got 0.02" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 0.10" from this system. Some more rain finally moving back in but shouldn't be much more than 1/3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Almost an inch and a half here...more then i expect i can tell you that. Winds are going to be crazy tomorrow by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 0.10" from this system. Some more rain finally moving back in but shouldn't be much more than 1/3". Ha, spoke too soon. These showers are putting out some good rates with the higher PWs. Up to almost 0.40" now. Rain shield is starting to expand a bit now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Strat rains came toegether...gonna see 2"+. No thunder though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 2.67" at LAF since yesterday morning. Close to a normal October's total monthly rainfall of 2.89". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Sharp cutoff of rainfall across Northern IN overnight. 0.20" locally, but 2"-3" amounts being reported in the northwest quarter of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 getting some nice gusts with this defo band like feature...cheap umbrella was just trashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Very impressive last minute surge in precip really dumped on us. Picked up 1.38" after midnight for a total of 1.77". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.