Roger Smith Posted September 26, 2014 Share Posted September 26, 2014 Looking at the September provisional scoring, the contest could be tightening up for a dramatic finish as we enter the last quarter of the year. So it's the usual task of supplying anomalies (F deg) vs 1981-2010 normal values for these locations: DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ____ DEN __ PHX __ SEA good luck, western stations optional, deadline 06z Wed Oct 1st. Same relaxed time penalties as previous months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted September 28, 2014 Share Posted September 28, 2014 Would you allow us to like gift you something over Holidays. Prepaid card? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted September 28, 2014 Share Posted September 28, 2014 The heart of the U.S. will be cooler than normal...especially the upper midwest. The last two weeks of October could be really cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 28, 2014 Share Posted September 28, 2014 DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.6 BOS: +1.1 ORD: +0.7 ATL: +2.1 IAH: +1.8 DEN: -0.2 PHX: -0.8 SEA: -0.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 DCA- +1.0 NYC- +1.0 BOS- +1.0 ORD- -1.4 ATL- +0.3 IAH- -0.4 DEN- -0.5 PHX- +0.8 SEA- +0.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +0.9 ___+0.8 ____+0.6 ___ +0.2 ___+0.4 ____+0.8 _______-0.3 ____-0.2 ____+0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 DCA- +3.1 NYC- +2.3 BOS- +1.8 ORD- +2.9 ATL- +0.3 IAH- +0.5 DEN- -1.0 PHX- -0.5 SEA- -1.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 29, 2014 Share Posted September 29, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +0.9 ____+1.1 ____+0.7 ___ -1.8 ___+0.3 ____+0.3 _______+0.5 ____+1.5 ____+2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA- +2.4 NYC- +2.5 BOS- +2.0 ORD- +2.7 ATL- +1.1 IAH- +0.2 DEN- -1.4 PHX- -1.5 SEA- -1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH +1.5......+1.7.......+1.4..........-0.3.......-0.5.......-0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 Looking at the September provisional scoring, the contest could be tightening up for a dramatic finish as we enter the last quarter of the year. So it's the usual task of supplying anomalies (F deg) vs 1981-2010 normal values for these locations: DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ____ DEN __ PHX __ SEA good luck, western stations optional, deadline 06z Wed Oct 1st. Same relaxed time penalties as previous months. DCA:+0.5 NYC:0.0 BOS:-0.5 ORD:0.0 ATL:+1.0 IAH:+1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +1.3 ____+1.4 ____+1.1 ___ -2.8 ___+1.3 ____+0.9 _______+0.5 ____+1.5 ____+2.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +1.8 +1.3 +0.8 -0.7 +1.9 +2.1 +0.9 +0.8 +2.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA- -0.3 NYC- -1.0 BOS- -1.3 ORD- -1.9 ATL- -0.3 IAH- +0.5 DEN- +1.5 PHX- +1.8 SEA- +2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +0.8 ___+0.8 ____+0.7 ___ +0.2 ___+0.5 ____+0.3 _______+0.8 ____+0.9 ____+2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ____ DEN __ PHX __ SEA 1.0 0.5 0.5 -1.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ____ DEN __ PHX __ SEA 0.5 1.2 1.5 -3.0 0.6 -1.7 0.0 -0.8 1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +1.8 ___+1.0 ____+0.9 ___ +0.0 ___+0.7 ____+0.5 _______+0.0 ____+0.5 ____+1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted September 30, 2014 Author Share Posted September 30, 2014 Would you allow us to like gift you something over Holidays. Prepaid card? There are holidays? DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ___ DEN __ PHX __ SEA don't know yet ... hoping Gibbs has a clue for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksammut Posted September 30, 2014 Share Posted September 30, 2014 DCA____NYC____BOS___ORD____ATL___IAH____DEN____PHX____SEA +1.9 ____+1.4____-1.0____-3.8_____+1.9____-.8____-.9____-1.1____+.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted September 30, 2014 Author Share Posted September 30, 2014 I noticed somewhere on the site that there could be an interruption in service tonight. If so, may pause the penalty clock during that shutdown, and if you need a place to park a forecast during that down time, e-mail me if you wish. [email protected] Will record your time and post on the thread. Or wait for resumption of service and we'll go on the honor system with your stated attempted post time. Meanwhile, I can't wait for Gibbs to give me the scoop, so here's a wild guess ... DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ___ DEN __ PHX __ SEA -0.5 __ -0.7 __ -1.0 ___ -1.3 ___ -0.1 __ 0.0 ____ --0.3 __ +0.4 __ +1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA- +0.9 NYC- +0.8 BOS- +0.5 ORD- -1.5 ATL- +0.8 IAH- +0.5 DEN- +1.8 PHX- +1.9 SEA- +2.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA _____NYC____BOS____ORD____ATL_____IAH________DEN_____PHX_____SEA +0.8 +1.1 +1.3 -1.3 +0.4 +0.4 +0.5 +1.3 +2.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA: +1.0 NYC: +1.0 BOS: -0.9 ORD: -1.9 ATL: +0.2 IAH: +1.0 DEN:-1.5 PHX: +1.8 SEA: +1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA: +2.2 NYC: +2.4 BOS: +1.8 ORD-: +2.5 ATL: +1.3 IAH: +0.4 DEN: -1.6 PHX: -1.7 SEA: -1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA: +0.6 NYC: +0.8 BOS: 0.0 ORD: -1.5 ATL: +1.0 IAH: +0.6 DEN: -0.8 PHX: +1.0 SEA: +1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 DCA +1.4 NYC +1.2 BOS + 1.1 ORD+ 0.5 Atl +1.0 IAH +.8 Den -.7 PHX +.8 Sea 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 1, 2014 Author Share Posted October 1, 2014 Table of entries -- October 2014 FORECASTER ___________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA chaser25973 ____________________+3.1 _+2.3 _+1.8 ___+2.9 _+0.3 _+0.5 ____ --1.0 _--0.5 _--1.9 stebo __________________________+2.4 _+2.5 _+2.0 ___+2.7 _+1.1 _+0.2 ____ --1.4 _--1.5 _--1.2 Blazess556______________________+2.2 _+2.4 _+1.8 ___+2.5 _+1.3 _+0.4 ____ --1.6 _--1.7 _--1.1 ksammut _______________________+1.9 _+1.4 _--1.0 ___--3.8 _+1.9 _--0.8 ____ --0.9 _--1.1 _+0.9 wxallannj _______________________+1.8 _+1.3 _+0.8 ___--0.7 _+1.9 _+2.1 ____ +0.9 _+0.8 _+2.1 goobagooba ____________________ +1.8 _+1.0 _+0.9 ____ 0.0 _+0.7 _+0.5 _____ 0.0 _+0.5 _+1.5 Tom ___________________________+1.7 _+1.6 _+1.1 ___ +0.7 _+2.1 _+1.8 ___ --0.2 _--0.8 _--0.9 UncleW ________________________ +1.5 _+1.7 _+1.4 ___--0.3 _--0.5 _--0.5 cpick79 ________________________ +1.4 _+1.2 _+1.1 ___ +0.5 _+1.0 _+0.8 ____--0.7 _+0.8 __ 0.0 SACRUS ________________________+1.3 _+1.4 _+1.1 ___--2.8 _+1.3 _+0.9 ____+0.5 _+1.5 _+2.1 bkviking ________ (-7%) __________+1.1 _+1.2 _+0.8 ___+0.1 _+1.0 _+0.2 ____ --0.7 _+0.8 _+1.1 wxdude64 ______________________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 ___--1.4 _+0.3 _--0.4 ____ --0.5 _+0.8 _+0.9 Consensus ______________________+1.0 _+1.1 _+0.8 ___--1.3 _+0.7 _+0.5 ____ --0.2 _+0.8 _+1.5 metalicwx366 ___________________+1.0 _+1.0 _--0.9 ___--1.9 _+0.2 _+1.0 ____ --1.5 _+1.8 _+1.3 SD ____________________________+1.0 _+0.5 _+0.5 ___--1.5 _+1.0 _+0.5 ____ +1.5 _+2.0 _+1.5 Mallow _________________________+0.9 _+1.1 _+0.7 ___--1.8 _+0.3 _+0.3 ____ +0.5 _+1.5 _+2.5 hudsonvalley21 __________________+0.9 _+0.8 _+0.6 ___ +0.2 _+0.4 _+0.8 ____--0.3 _--0.2 _+0.3 Midlo Snow Maker _______________ +0.9 _+0.8 _+0.5 ___--1.5 _+0.8 _+0.5 ____ +1.8 _+1.9 _+2.2 Isotherm _______________________+0.8 _+1.1 _+1.3 ___--1.3 _+0.4 _+0.4 ____ +0.5 _+1.3 _+2.3 donsutherland.1 _________________+0.8 _+0.8 _+0.7 ___ +0.2 _+0.5 _+0.3 ____ +0.8 _+0.9 _+2.0 OHweather _____________________+0.6 _+0.8 __ 0.0 ___--1.5 _+1.0 _+0.6 ____ --0.8 _+1.0 _+1.5 RodneyS _______________________+0.5 _+1.2 _+1.5 ___--3.0 _+0.6 _--1.7 ______ 0.0 _--0.8 _+1.1 Tenman Johnson ________________ +0.5 __0.0 _--0.5 ____ 0.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 Normal ________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 _____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 Damage in Tolland _______________--0.3 _--1.0 _--1.3 ___ --1.9 _--0.3 _+0.5 ____ +1.5 _+1.8 _+2.0 Roger Smith ____________________--0.5 _--0.7 _--1.0 ___ --1.3 _--0.1 __0.0 ____ --0.3 _+0.4 _+1.7 ______________________________________________________ Have cut cpick79 and bkviking a break on penalties as the site was down for several hours early on Wed October 1st. First 5% removed from the usual deductions. With our full regular field having entered (welcome to Chaser25973) Consensus is now mean of 12th and 13th ranked (11th and 12th western). Normal is excluded from the calculation. 24 actual forecasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 DCA +1.1 NYC +1.2 BOS + 0.8 ORD+ 0.1 Atl +1.0 IAH +.2 Den -.7 PHX +.8 Sea +1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 6, 2014 Author Share Posted October 6, 2014 First look at the anomalies so far, after five days: ____________ DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH ____ DEN __ PHX __ SEA ___ 5d ______ +1.2 __ 0.0 __ --3.5 ___ --3.6 __ --0.2 __ 0.0 ____ --4.2 __ --0.2 __ +4.7 next update after 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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