IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z 4k NAM rain totals. The wettest guidance currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 RGEM has over an inch of rain for just about all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Weird that we even have to give this reminder for a rain event that may bring a half inch to parts of SNE - but lets try to keep the banter in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 RGEM has that classic look of soaking CT before a drop gets to BOS and then weakens a tad. I actually could see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z GFS came SE somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z GFS came SE somewhat Congrats on a good drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Congrats on a good drink. To me that's now the 2nd shot across bow with the southeast shift. Let's see how the day unfolds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Still a good comma head. Not too much difference here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 To me that's now the 2nd shot across bow with the southeast shift. Let's see how the day unfolds Unless the bow was Lake Winni. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 We're talking a 24 hour forecast at this point...there's going to be decent rain into at least the southern half of SNE...and probably most of SNE. This isn't something that is going to trend 100 miles between now and tomorrow unless something is really screwed up with guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 the gfs is west of its hideous 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Turns into a fine sheet rain it seems tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Anyone have any ideas on start times? Hoping to get outside for a bit tomorrow, but not looking likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2014 Author Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 While obviously not a lock..this honestly looks like a pretty good map. ow.ly/BRt7D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 While obviously not a lock..this honestly looks like a pretty good map. ow.ly/BRt7D That's the 00z GFS. I don't buy the SW-NE look as is...I think a good thrust may push into CT and then weaken a bit as it moves east. Maybe more E-W? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 NAM and GFS fairly close-any movement 50 miles west or east makes a huge difference. Sharp cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 That's the 00z GFS. I don't buy the SW-NE look as is...I think a good thrust may push into CT and then weaken a bit as it moves east. What I could see happen is decent rains get up to NYC ..but not too much farther NW of there and even up into SW CT..but then the main shield of rains gets shunted east so that S RI and SE Mass get .75 -1.0..and by the time you get to BDL maybe like .10 or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 My call is for 0.6 for BOS and 1.8 for Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 LOL at this being a pinned thread. We really are in 'winter prep mode'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Love the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 LOL at this being a pinned thread. We really are in 'winter prep mode'. This, for lack of more brutal phrasing, is what one would call "a dry run." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 BOX only calling for 30% chance showers in NW MA, we'll see what 4pm update looks like. If this were winter Mike's QPF fears would be in full effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 My guess is .25-.50 south of the pike with mainly showers north. Might not be a huge deal, but will definitely offer crappy appeal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 24, 2014 Author Share Posted September 24, 2014 The 12z GEFS mean has the 0.50"+ contour just south of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 My guess is .25-.50 south of the pike with mainly showers north. Might not be a huge deal, but will definitely offer crappy appeal I'm pretty confident you exceed an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Nice slug of moisture over the mid-atlantic coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 How come no one posted GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 How come no one posted GGEM? Never even looked at it, but now that you mentioned it. It's LOL as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.