canderson Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 You really only had 10" last winter down there? Yes, MDT iirc had around 16" but I'm due NW and was dryslotted in about every storm. It's about the only time I can remember MDT ever having a higher winter total than myself. It was cold as balls though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 You really only had 10" last winter down there? no, he's cornfuzzled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Yes, MDT iirc had around 16" but I'm due NW and was dryslotted in about every storm. It's about the only time I can remember MDT ever having a higher winter total than myself. It was cold as balls though! On Feb 13, 2014 we had 10.25" alone edit- maybe you're thinking of 2011-12, my records show only 13.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I'd say judging by radar and Low pressure placement, this event is essentially over for the western 2/3rds of the state. Screen Shot 2014-12-09 at 7.31.25 AM.png HRRR shows banding in the eastern 1/3rd, so these areas may still see accumulating snow through the day (in cold enough places anyway). Certainly the part of it with the main slug of moisture lifting to our east and north into far eastern PA and upstate NY, but it remains to be seen how much backlash snows we get back into the central counties later tonight and tomorrow. Not that I'm overly excited about the prospects of it but I think there's the potential for some places in the central counties to at least see an inch or two. The European has generally been much more generous with how much precip was thrown back so we'll see what happens. Here was CTP's take this morning. IT`S STILL UNCLEAR HOW MUCH TOTAL PRECIP WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM AS THE MODELS DIFFER GREATLY ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POSSIBLE DEFORMATION ZONE. THE SOLUTION FALLS BETWEEN THE ECMWF THAT TARGETS MY NORTH-CENTRAL AND NWRN ZONES EVEN THROUGH WED INTO THURSDAY...TO THE GFS THAT SHOWS ALMOST NO PRECIP WRAPPING BACK. THE NAM AND SREF APPEAR LIKE FAIRLY GOOD COMPROMISES...DISPLAYING A WELL-DEFINED DRY SLOT SURGING NORTH THROUGH NJ AND FAR ERN PENN LATE TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY /WITH A LARGE AREA OF DEFORMATION LIGHT-MDT SNOW ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY AND SURROUND COUNTIES/. PAINTED A GENERAL 1-3 INCHES IN FOR THE CENTRAL AND NRN MTNS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MAINTAINED HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR MAINLY LIGHT QPF WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THE ACTIVITY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. LATER SHIFTS WILL ALSO HAVE TO CONSIDER WINTER WEATHER OR LES ADVISORIES FOR BOTH THE SYNOPTIC DEFORMATION SNOWS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PENN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND LAKE EFFECT/OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED SNOWS ACROSS THE NW MTNS AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS IN THE BROAD/DEEP AND MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW JUST TO THE WEST OF THE NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Certainly the part of it with the main slug of moisture lifting to our east and north into far eastern PA and upstate NY, but it remains to be seen how much backlash snows we get back into the central counties later tonight and tomorrow. Not that I'm overly excited about the prospects of it but I think there's the potential for some places in the central counties to at least see an inch or two. The European has generally been much more generous with how much precip was thrown back so we'll see what happens. Here was CTP's take this morning. Exactly. This was always our best chance for snow, IMO, out here. Still probably not more than an inch or two, as you say, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Yes, MDT iirc had around 16" but I'm due NW and was dryslotted in about every storm. It's about the only time I can remember MDT ever having a higher winter total than myself. It was cold as balls though! You surely must be talking about '12-13, MDT had 43" last season. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ctp/features/snowmaps/index.php?tab=norms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Yes, MDT iirc had around 16" but I'm due NW and was dryslotted in about every storm. It's about the only time I can remember MDT ever having a higher winter total than myself. It was cold as balls though! Out of curiosity found this CTP snow map, looks like a local minimum in your area. It's also a reminder of how York/Lancaster area did so damn well... http://www.weather.gov/images/ctp/features/season_snow2013-2014a.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 On Feb 13, 2014 we had 10.25" alone edit- maybe you're thinking of 2011-12, my records show only 13.25" Oh I think you're right! My bad. Yeah, that's right - last year I fell during that Feb storm. My bad, sorry for the date confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Oh I think you're right! My bad. Yeah, that's right - last year I fell during that Feb storm. My bad, sorry for the date confusion. lol. i had to go back and pull my notes, i started to wonder. i have 44" recorded for '13-'14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Oh I think you're right! My bad. Yeah, that's right - last year I fell during that Feb storm. My bad, sorry for the date confusion. Definitely threw me for a loop, HBG-area would have had to have a worse snow hole than my areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Here is the Nam & GFS be interesting to see where the banding sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Out of curiosity found this CTP snow map, looks like a local minimum in your area. It's also a reminder of how York/Lancaster area did so damn well... http://www.weather.gov/images/ctp/features/season_snow2013-2014a.png Thanks for sharing! Their official total of 68 is almost on top of my house. I seldom find official totals for my general spot in the boonies. Living in the forest on a very high hilltop has its advantages, but news coverage and snow reporting isn't one of them. That map reinforces how exceptionally crazy last winter was in this micro snow belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I had 60.5" last winter, over 33" of that fell in February. Harrisburg was consistently getting less than just southeast of there...but I knew it wasn't THAT much less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 but can the cold air get pulled in for northeast PA in time?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 If someone wants to start a new thread that's fine. Not much to report in Bellefonte. We had a coating of freezing rain, sleet, and grainy snow overnight that is now melting. Hopeing we can pull of an inch or two tonight or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 If someone wants to start a new thread that's fine. Not much to report in Bellefonte. We had a coating of freezing rain, sleet, and grainy snow overnight that is now melting. Hopeing we can pull of an inch or two tonight or tomorrow. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45096-central-pa-fringes-december-2014/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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