Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2014 Share Posted November 6, 2014 Tropical Storm Conditions possible on Mount Washington: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.2702759660005&lon=-71.30332832999966&site=all&smap=1#.VFv4I8lW59g Lol, pretty much climo, what TS is that pic of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 6, 2014 Share Posted November 6, 2014 Don't let Chris see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 6, 2014 Share Posted November 6, 2014 32F at the picnic tables and it's started as snow… Excellent, the graphical point forecast for Mansfield shows a lot of flakes – I don't think any accumulations will have much trouble hanging around for a while with those temperatures: The point forecast sums to similar values suggested elsewhere for the higher elevations, so that seems in line with other products: Late Afternoon Rain and snow. High near 36. Southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tonight Snow before 7pm, then rain and snow between 7pm and 10pm, then snow after 10pm. Low around 28. Blustery, with an east wind 10 to 20 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Friday Snow. Temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Friday Night Snow likely before 11pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Wind chill values as low as zero. Windy, with a north wind 23 to 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2014 Share Posted November 6, 2014 MWN auto road temps... 6288ft 24.3F 5300ft 27.1F 4300ft 30.0F 4000ft 30.1F 3300ft 32.5F 2300ft 36.0F 1600ft 40.2F Looks like the RA/SN line is around 3k. Yeah that sounds about right. Personally I don't think we have any shot at all of accumulating snow down here at 750ft...or really anywhere below 1,000ft or 1,200ft. The CAA isn't that strong while the precipitation is occurring, and the best shot would come if there's any upslope response that has enough organization to give a more steady precip rather than just passing snow showers. I think there could be a couple inches at 1,500ft and then really not much below that...maybe a coating down to 1,000ft on the west slopes where cold air has an easier time invading down the Champlain Valley. Here on the east side its not going to come in so quick. Bulk of this event should be above 2,000ft with up to a half a foot above 3,000ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Hopefully the upper elevations are getting some decent snowfall... snow level still looks to be around 2,500ft based on temps. Bright banding circle going on around the BTV radar on the lower level scans...must be hitting some wet flakes not too far up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2014 Author Share Posted November 7, 2014 The international border from Jay Peak to Pittsburg to Jackman should get hit hard in the next 24 hours. Most certainly, Jackman and the NW border below there are my fav areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Man, it's been pouring out there PF, the rain is quite loud here. The snow line is pretty high, but those spots like the local peaks that are getting snow out of this right now are likely getting hammered. You can see the frozen precipitation indicated over in the Adirondacks and along the spine of the Greens: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Its 31F at 4,000ft...and looks like 34F down at 2,100ft at Bolton and 2,300ft at Coles Pond. Down lower, still pretty warm at 38-42F. I wonder if Bolton and Coles Pond though are mixing with snow with those 34F temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 I'm sure it's a wet snow at 33F, but SLK over to -SN. KSLK 070207Z AUTO 03003KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR BKN005 OVC022 01/00 A2967 AO2 P0001 T00060000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Picked up 0.18" of liquid so far this evening, not much, but the picnic tables at 4,000ft probably have a few inches on them at 30-32F. MPV with 0.17" but for whatever reason the MVL gauge must be clogged as they've only recorded a Trace of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Picked up 0.18" of liquid so far this evening, not much, but the picnic tables at 4,000ft probably have a few inches on them at 30-32F. MPV with 0.17" but for whatever reason the MVL gauge must be clogged as they've only recorded a Trace of precip. Yeah, a similar 0.21" here – point forecast indicates ¼" to ½" of liquid expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Apparently there's a HADS site on 2nd CT Lake now. http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base.cgi?stn=SECN3&time=GMT http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/station_total.cgi?stn=SECN3&unit=0 We're slowly working our way up to the border crossing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Apparently there's a HADS site on 2nd CT Lake now. http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base.cgi?stn=SECN3&time=GMT http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/station_total.cgi?stn=SECN3&unit=0 We're slowly working our way up to the border crossing. omg wonder if it's solar powered since it's about 10 miles north of the nearest power line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Although its mild in the low levels...it has that feel of a cold season storm, with a steady light to moderate precipitation shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 The cloud ceiling was too low to really get an estimate of the snow line along the Winooski Valley this morning, but there's certainly snow on the ground at 2,100' at Bolton Valley, with a good amount of snow in the air. I'd guess we're looking at something in the 1,500' – 2,000' range: There's certainly been some snow up at the Octagon at 3,600' at Stowe as well, and from the camera down near the Spruce Peak Base, it looks like notable accumulations of natural snow start up around the 2,000' mark: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 I just got back from Bolton and I would say it changes over just below 1000ft (Maybe around 800ft or so), and then accumulations begin closer to the 1500 level. At the parking lot at 2000-2100 there was about an inch or so depending on which surface you looked at, and it was reasonably photogenic as it was sticking to the trees nicely. It was coming down reasonably well and unlike my first trip in October it wasn't needles, and there was decent snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 It sounds like 3-4" up above 3,000ft...I'll hike up later and find out for sure but that sounds reasonable given all the CoCoRAHS stations around the mountain picked up 0.3-0.4" of QPF. Just wasn't able to realize some of those slightly larger 0.5-0.8" liquid amounts the models were spitting out in previous days. Euro model sort of nailed it as the American models were far too wet leading up to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Coles Pond at 2,300ft looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Looks like either Roxbury or Appalachian Gap down near MRG...road goes to 2,400ft I think. From Mad River Valley's FB page: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 4" new at Whiteface Summit(~4400 is the top of the ski area, assuming that's where they measure) this morning per their Facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Snow is mixing in with the rain here in Burlington at ~380' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Here are some I took at Bolton: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Snowing here at Bretton Woods. Starting to stick at my house (1,670 ft), but it's already all white just at the end of my street (about 100 feet higher). 32F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 nice pics. time for the winter thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 I am in Williston at the moment and yes it is making efforts to changeover. It is a mix of rain and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Awesome photos! What did you take them with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2014 Author Share Posted November 7, 2014 Awesome photos! What did you take them with? A camera................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Awesome photos! What did you take them with? Nikon D300 and full disclosure there was some post processing in lightroom but I didn't try to go over the top (not debating that one again). The main factor is a really good lens I am borrowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 A camera................ You don't say? Nikon D300 and full disclosure there was some post processing in lightroom but I didn't try to go over the top (not debating that one again). The main factor is a really good lens I am borrowing. Sweet, a good lens will do that. Whatever edits you did do, you did a really good job at editing it without going over the top and making it look fake, wouldn't have known it was edited if you didn't point it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2014 Author Share Posted November 7, 2014 Nikon D300 and full disclosure there was some post processing in lightroom but I didn't try to go over the top (not debating that one again). The main factor is a really good lens I am borrowing. We like to call it enhanced imaging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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