powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 A friend sent this from Elmore, VT, town next to Stowe/Morrisville. Looks like a nice coating. Wish I was home to have seen the first lower elevation snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 I would have driven somewhere had I not been obligated here. We had some rain and snow mixed before it ended last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 The white really distracts from the blah of stick season Still sitting on 28F with a nice NW breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Sugarbush...beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Good snow now [ http://weather911.net/capture2.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Good snow now [ [url=http://weather911.net/capture2.jpg]http://weather911.net/capture2.jpg Nice dude! Throw image tags on that to embed the image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Sugarbush...beautiful. That's a gorgeous Sugarbush shot with the clouds and light on the new snow. There's nothing to report in terms of accumulation down here in the Winooski Valley, and I'm not seeing any notable white in the lower (~1,000' or so) hills below around here, but the higher hills up around 2,000' are showing some white. At Bolton Valley there's definitely a nice coating at the 2,000' level based on the image from the Bolton Valley Web Cam: It looks like the next opportunity for snow will be toward the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Stowe at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 CON gusting to 44mph. Just hit 34mph imby. ASH had a 47mph earlier. 37.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 BTV gusting mid-/upper 30s... MVL gusting 30-35mph is pretty darn breezy for the bottom of the valley. Summit gusting in the 40s but I'm surprised it's not higher, must be well mixed to be seeing not much difference in winds between 4000ft and some lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Peak wind from the north was only 31mph, but I am protected by trees in that direction. Nice to see Cardigan 3120' snow capped. I can see Ragged 2280' does not have snow but in the distance I can see Sunapee is snowcapped. We had a bit of mix last night but not enough that I can say "first flakes". Rainfall total was only .14" Heavy falling oak leaves all day so now the forest is about totally bare except my apple trees which are curiously still green as is the grass. Still no 32F for me but that will change in the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Looks like 1/2" will do it. Windy as heck now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 The next event of interest for us is late in the week into Saturday. Personally I think the synoptic part is certainly rain with this system, but the current tracks of the GFS and EURO (while very different) both result in an upslope snow threat following the low passage. Right now it's progressive so the snow potential is limited by upslope flow duration. BTV has a nice AFD explaining the potential: A DEEPER/STRONGER MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY REGION ON THURSDAY...BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING NEWD ACROSS NY/NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAP CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SWRN ATLANTIC...RESULTING IN DEVELOPING RAIN ACROSS OUR REGION LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY...AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. IT/S WORTH NOTING THAT THE 12Z ECMWF SOLUTION IS CONSIDERABLY TO THE EAST WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS LONG ISLAND INTO SERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF RESULTS IN COLDER VERTICAL TEMPERATURE PROFILES THAT WOULD YIELD A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SOLUTION IS PRESENTLY A SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURE FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLE AND THE 00Z NWP MODEL SUITE...BUT WE/LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND ASSOCIATED AFFECTS ON QPF AND PRECIPITATION TYPE. BASED ON 12Z GFS RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM OF 1-1.5" ARE POSSIBLE...AND HAVE ALREADY INDICATED POPS OF 65-75 PERCENT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPR 40S TO LOWER 50S THU/FRIDAY...WITH LOWS REMAINING MILD THU NIGHT AS WELL (UPR 30S TO LOWER 40S). PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. IT DOES APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE SOME UPSLOPE SNOW POTENTIAL IN DEVELOPING NW FLOW AS LOW DEPARTS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WE/LL HAVE TO SEE HOW THE SYSTEM EVOLVES...BUT THE 12Z GFS SUGGESTS SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND CENTRAL TO NORTHERN GREEN MTNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 The next event of interest for us is late in the week into Saturday. Personally I think the synoptic part is certainly rain with this system, but the current tracks of the GFS and EURO (while very different) both result in an upslope snow threat following the low passage. Right now it's progressive so the snow potential is limited by upslope flow duration. BTV has a nice AFD explaining the potential: A DEEPER/STRONGER MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY REGION ON THURSDAY...BEFORE SLOWLY LIFTING NEWD ACROSS NY/NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAP CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SWRN ATLANTIC...RESULTING IN DEVELOPING RAIN ACROSS OUR REGION LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY...AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. IT/S WORTH NOTING THAT THE 12Z ECMWF SOLUTION IS CONSIDERABLY TO THE EAST WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS LONG ISLAND INTO SERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z ECMWF RESULTS IN COLDER VERTICAL TEMPERATURE PROFILES THAT WOULD YIELD A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SOLUTION IS PRESENTLY A SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURE FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLE AND THE 00Z NWP MODEL SUITE...BUT WE/LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS AND ASSOCIATED AFFECTS ON QPF AND PRECIPITATION TYPE. BASED ON 12Z GFS RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM OF 1-1.5" ARE POSSIBLE...AND HAVE ALREADY INDICATED POPS OF 65-75 PERCENT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPR 40S TO LOWER 50S THU/FRIDAY...WITH LOWS REMAINING MILD THU NIGHT AS WELL (UPR 30S TO LOWER 40S). PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. IT DOES APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE SOME UPSLOPE SNOW POTENTIAL IN DEVELOPING NW FLOW AS LOW DEPARTS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WE/LL HAVE TO SEE HOW THE SYSTEM EVOLVES...BUT THE 12Z GFS SUGGESTS SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND CENTRAL TO NORTHERN GREEN MTNS. I was just about to post about this. The euro looks somewhat promising. I am always up for an upslope chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Mansfield snow depth from this system went from 0" to 3"... 1.4" of snowfall found it's way into the precipitation can, resulting in 3" of snow depth. I doubt this is the start of any permanent snow cover though given the forecast temps this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Mansfield snow depth from this system went from 0" to 3" in today's report. 1.4" of snowfall found it's way into the precipitation can, resulting in 3" of snow depth. Reverse compaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Reverse compaction.Thermal expansion when the snow gets very hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Mansfield snow depth from this system went from 0" to 3"... 1.4" of snowfall found it's way into the precipitation can, resulting in 3" of snow depth. I doubt this is the start of any permanent snow cover though given the forecast temps this week. Agreed; I don’t think that amount of snow would persist through the upcoming days. However, by the end of the week we'll certainly be getting close to the mean start date for the Mansfield snowpack (11/16) as I calculated for that post from a couple of weeks back. Heck, we're already in the window of 1 S.D. (approximately 11/2 – 11/30) for the snowpack start date now, so anything from here on out would be pretty common. With the way the pattern looks, if an event comes through in the next week or so that puts down an inch or two of liquid as snow or other frozen precipitation, that certainly could persist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I took this photo on Friday. I have no idea what cultivar of acer rubrum this is, but it's been commonly planted locally in new developments over the past 10 years. For a maple, they're always bizarrely late to peak, even later than oaks. They're always spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 29F. Finally dropped below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Huge temp bust last night....MOS had teens and low 20s in most spots...like 14-16F at BML and HIE, with 17-19F at MVL. Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 4.75" snow total yesterday. Lost power for ~6 hours. Snow froze solid overnight. The view this morning from my wx cam: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Min 28F Sadly that's the coldest yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 4.75" snow total yesterday. Lost power for ~6 hours. Snow froze solid overnight. The view this morning from my wx cam: Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I took this photo on Friday. I have no idea what cultivar of acer rubrum this is, but it's been commonly planted locally in new developments over the past 10 years. For a maple, they're always bizarrely late to peak, even later than oaks. They're always spectacular. DSCN0042.JPG There's one like that on Sand Hill (Northern Avenue) in Augusta. It was at peak week before last but still had 75% of its leaves this past Friday - much fewer today after 3-4" paste plus gales. In 2005, the worst year for colors in my memory, it was the only tree I saw with decent reds (which peaked about Nov 1) and its reds were better than merely "decent." Only 0.5" at my place. We missed a couple inches Saturday by 3-4F, then miseed yesterday by 20+ miles. Too early in the season to be disappointed, though. Also concerned about access for our green certification audit tlomorrow thru Thurs. One targeted timber harvest site lies 5 miles east from (and about 400' higher than) Topsfield's 15.8" obs, several others from just north of BGR to Grand Lake Stream probably got a foot or more. Only the Cutler harvests seem safe. Wash Cty points on/seaward of Route 1 reporting 1-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 46/8 Slap on the Jergens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 300ft...BTV 48/14 750ft...MVL 45/11 1200ft..MPV 42/10 29F at 4000ft Good lapse rates today, solid 5-6F per 1000ft. Also last night and this morning was first solid below zero wind chills above 3,000ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 The Euro looks like crap this afternoon with the end of the week system way too far inland. If it keeps trending that way we could end up with a lakes cutter LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Huge temp bust last night....MOS had teens and low 20s in most spots...like 14-16F at BML and HIE, with 17-19F at MVL. Not even close. image.jpg Yeah couldn't even get below 34F here lol. MAV for SLK had 9F a couple of days ago and 11F when I was doing the package Sunday afternoon. What a FAIL, low was 24F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 The Euro looks like crap this afternoon with the end of the week system way too far inland. If it keeps trending that way we could end up with a lakes cutter LOL. That one was always going to be a rainer. Only chance for snow has been upslope after the fact. The follow up system in Sun/Mon/Tues timeframe has potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.