Indiana Fall 2014

[Chicago WX]

November 4, 1991 had a high of 27. 

 

Looking ahead to next Tuesday (18th), the record low max is 20.  That's gonna be tough but probably won't be too far away.

 

I guess I should have been more clear, those are the earliest first sub-30˚ max temps of the season. Left that "first" part out. 

[IWXwx]

I feel that IND is going to make the top 10 coldest Novembers list this year. Temps look to start moderating in about a week, but still not close to normal.

[Hoosier]

I guess I should have been more clear, those are the earliest first sub-30˚ max temps of the season. Left that "first" part out. 

 

 

Sorry, I overlooked that.

[Chicago WX]

I feel that IND is going to make the top 10 coldest Novembers list this year. Temps look to start moderating in about a week, but still not close to normal.

 

Decent chance. We'll see where they're at on the 20/21st to get a good idea. Should be a relatively big departure by then.

 

Sorry, I overlooked that.

 

Nah, you're good...it's my bad. I didn't put in the "first" part when I originally wrote the post. 

[Chicago WX]

November snowfall up to 12.6" at SBN after yesterday's over-performer (total through 7:00AM today). Below are all the Novembers in South Bend's recorded history that had a monthly total of 12" or more. Period of record: 1894 to 2014.

 

30.3" in 1977

23.4" in 1951

21.6" in 1976

20.5" in 1911

17.8" in 1930

17.5" in 1900

16.5" in 1894

16.3" in 1971

16.2" in 2008

16.2" in 1966

15.3" in 1996

15.2" in 1989

15.0" in 1929

15.0" in 1895

14.5" in 1898

13.5" in 1964

12.8" in 1953

12.6" in 2014 thru 7:00am 11/14

12.6" in 1972

12.6" in 1950

12.1" in 1937

12.0" in 1913

 

The 12.3" recorded yesterday was 4th highest November calendar day snowfall.

 

18.0" on Nov 2, 1911

14.6" on Nov 25, 1977

12.5" on Nov 26, 1925

12.3" on Nov 13, 2014

9.8" on Nov 23, 1970

[Chicago WX]

IND dropped to 17˚ this morning. This is well ahead of schedule and one of the earliest first sub-20˚ temperatures of the season for Indianapolis. Last November made the list below, beating Nov 2014 by one day. And on the opposite side of things, January 30, 1932 is the record holder for the latest first occurrence. 

 

11-02-1951 • 16˚

11-04-1991 • 17˚

11-04-1966 • 18˚

11-04-1879 • 18˚

11-05-1995 • 18˚

11-07-1971 • 16˚

11-08-1976 • 17˚

11-10-1957 • 17˚

11-10-1933 • 19˚

11-11-1950 • 19˚

11-11-1943 • 18˚

11-12-1986 • 17˚

11-12-1920 • 16˚

11-12-1911 • 14˚

11-12-1894 • 19˚

11-13-2013 • 18˚

11-13-1940 • 19˚

11-14-2014 • 17˚

11-14-1969 • 17˚

11-14-1916 • 17˚

11-14-1900 • 18˚

 

Longterm median date of the first sub-20˚ temperature: November 29

Longterm mean date of the first sub-20˚ temperature: November 28

 

Period of record: 1871-2014

 

Lowest minimum temperatures for November 14:

11˚ in 1986

16˚ in 1976

16˚ in 1940

17˚ in 2014

17˚ in 1969

17˚ in 1916

[Chicago WX]

SBN dipped down to 10˚ overnight/this morning. Close but no cigar for the daily record minimum temperature.

 

November 15 lowest min temps for South Bend: 

8˚ in 1940

10˚ in 2014

13˚ in 1905

14˚ in 1933

15˚ in 1916

 

LAF got down to 14˚ this morning (as of 7:00am)...which makes for the 2nd 15˚ or lower temp of the month.

 

Most number of days with a 15˚ or lower min temp in November at LAF: 

5 days in 1976 and 1991

4 days in 1964

3 days in 1986 and 2013

2 days in 1970, 1977, 1984, 1996, 2000, 2005, 2008, and 2014

[IWXwx]

LAF should be able to tack on two more 15° or lower min temps this week (Monday and Tuesday nights) to tie with '64. Too bad that there probably won't be snow cover to aid in drops or Wednesday night could tie with '76 and '91. Pretty impressive cold temps with no snow.

[Chicago WX]

November snowfall events of 1.0"+ for Indianapolis since 1884. In total, there have been 52 of them. On average, about 1 every 2.5 years. But, the last one was back in 1997. Long overdue I guess.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Hoosier]

Obviously there's missing data issues when dealing with LAF but checking November records, it looks like there's only been 2 November days with a high in the teens in the past 50 years...November 21, 1964 and November 29, 1976.  For Tuesday, 00z MET has 20 and the raw NAM 2m temps have been suggesting upper teens.  Looks like we'll have a little bit of snowcover and if we can keep enough clouds around, I think there's a shot to pull it off.

[Chicago WX]

Obviously there's missing data issues when dealing with LAF but checking November records, it looks like there's only been 2 November days with a high in the teens in the past 50 years...November 21, 1964 and November 29, 1976.  For Tuesday, 00z MET has 20 and the raw NAM 2m temps have been suggesting upper teens.  Looks like we'll have a little bit of snowcover and if we can keep enough clouds around, I think there's a shot to pull it off.

 

WL COOP has pulled it off 7 times.

 

11-30-1929

11-27-1930

11-28-1930

11-29-1955

11-18-1959

11-24-1970

11-30-1976

 

With a longer and consistent record, it's been done 11 times for Indianapolis.

 

11-29-1872

11-21-1880

11-22-1880

11-28-1887

11-30-1929

11-27-1930

11-24-1950 (High of 9˚)

11-28-1955

11-30-1958

11-17-1959

11-29-1976

[Hoosier]

WL COOP has pulled it off 7 times.

 

11-30-1929

11-27-1930

11-28-1930

11-29-1955

11-18-1959

11-24-1970

11-30-1976

 

With a longer and consistent record, it's been done 11 times for Indianapolis.

 

11-29-1872

11-21-1880

11-22-1880

11-28-1887

11-30-1929

11-27-1930

11-24-1950 (High of 9˚)

11-28-1955

11-30-1958

11-17-1959

11-29-1976

 

 

If IND could do it, they'd miss the earliest sub 20 occurrence by just 1 day.

 

And that high of 9 in 1950 is insane.  Put that on the "records likely to be safe for a really long time" list.

[Chicago WX]

If IND could do it, they'd miss the earliest sub 20 occurrence by just 1 day.

 

And that high of 9 in 1950 is insane.  Put that on the "records likely to be safe for a really long time" list.

 

Yeah, the Nov 1950 temp is pretty crazy.

[Chicago WX]

Coolest first halves of November for Indianapolis. Period of record: 1871-2014.

 

1) 35.0˚ in 1976

2) 35.1˚ in 1991

3) 36.7˚ in 1995

4) 36.8˚ in 1951

5) 37.5˚ in 1996

6) 38.9˚ in 1997

7) 39.0˚ in 1910

8) 39.3˚ in 1979

8) 39.3˚ in 1943

10) 39.4˚ in 2014

10) 39.4˚ in 1933

 

 

November 2014 mean average temperatures and departures-to-date for the Indiana climo sites through 11/15:

 

Evansville (EVV): 42.1˚ -7.6˚

Fort Wayne (FWA): 39.1˚ -5.6˚

Indianapolis (IND): 39.4˚ -7.6˚

South Bend (SBN): 38.6˚ -5.4˚

 

Bloomington (BMG): 39.4˚ -7.8˚

Goshen (GSH): 38.8˚ -4.8˚

Indianapolis Eagle Creek (EYE): 39.8˚ -7.4˚

Lafayette (LAF): 38.3˚ -8.0˚

Muncie (MIE): 40.0˚ -6.0˚

North Webster (IWX): 38.7˚ -5.8˚

Shelbyville (GEZ): 40.8˚ -6.0˚

Terre Haute (HUF): 39.3˚ -7.3˚

[Chicago WX]

Earliest first sub-20˚ maximum and sub-10˚ minimum temperatures of the season on record for Indianapolis. Fairly rare territory if they can pull off either or both tomorrow. Current p&c forecast over the airport is 19˚/9˚.

 

[Chicago WX]

IND hit 9˚ this morning, which ties 1880 for the 2nd earliest first sub-10˚ temp of the season.

 

EVV hit 9˚ as well, which is now the record for the earliest first sub-10˚ temp for Evansville.

 

1) 11-18-2014

2) 11-24-1950

3) 11-29-1929

4) 11-30-1964

4) 11-30-1958

 

Min temp as of 7:00am, as well, was 9˚ at FWA. This is the second earliest on record for Fort Wayne.

 

1) 11-17-1959

2) 11-18-2014

3) 11-23-1950

4) 11-26-1977

4) 11-26-1930

 

Evansville and Indianapolis both sitting in the top 10 for coldest starts to November, through the 17th.

 

Evansville

1) 38.9˚ in 1991

2) 39.0˚ in 1976

3) 39.5˚ in 1997

4) 39.9˚ in 1951

5) 40.6˚ in 2014

6) 41.5˚ in 1995

7) 41.6˚ in 1996

8) 41.9˚ in 1979

9) 42.0˚ in 1910

10) 42.1˚ in 1959

 

Indianapolis

1) 35.1˚ in 1976

2) 36.2˚ in 1951

3) 36.5˚ in 1991

4) 36.7˚ in 1995

5) 36.9˚ in 1997

6) 37.8˚ in 2014

7) 37.9˚ in 1959

7) 37.9˚ in 1943

7) 37.9˚ in 1910

10) 38.1˚ in 1933

[Chicago WX]

Evansville and Fort Wayne pull off the daily double records for today, while Indianapolis and South Bend break their low max temp records.

 

Evansville

Max temp: 24˚ (record set, old record 28˚ in 1903)

Min temp: 9˚ (record set, old record 12˚ in 1959)

 

Fort Wayne

Max temp: 17˚ (record set, old record 24˚ in 1903)

Min temp: 9˚ (record set, old record 10˚ in 1959)

 

Indianapolis

Max temp: 19˚ (record set, old record 20˚ in 1880)

Min temp: 9˚ (5˚ in 1880)

 

South Bend

Max temp: 18˚ (record set, old record 26˚ in 1951)

Min temp: 10˚ (8˚ in 1959 and 2008)

[Chicago WX]

Yesterday's average temperatures for EVV, FWA, IND, and SBN and where they rank on each one's respective coldest November days list.

 

Evansville: 16.5˚ - tied for 6th coldest day on record

 

Fort Wayne: 13.0˚ - 9th coldest day on record

 

Indianapolis: 14.0˚ - tied for 18th coldest day on record

 

South Bend: 14.0˚ - tied for 12th coldest day on record

 

 

Evansville is tied for their 2nd coldest start to November on record, through 11/18. Indianapolis is in 3rd place...Fort Wayne in 9th place...and South Bend in 11th place.

 

Evansville

1) 39.1˚ in 1951

2) 39.3˚ in 2014

2) 39.3˚ in 1997

4) 39.6˚ in 1976

5) 40.2˚ in 1991

 

Fort Wayne

1) 33.9˚ in 1951

2) 35.0˚ in 1997

2) 35.0˚ in 1976

4) 35.1˚ in 1991

5) 35.3˚ in 1995

9) 36.1˚ in 2014

 

Indianapolis

1) 35.4˚ in 1951

2) 35.6˚ in 1976

3) 36.5˚ in 2014

4) 36.6˚ in 1997

5) 37.0˚ in 1995

 

South Bend

1) 31.8˚ in 1951

2) 34.0˚ in 1959

3) 34.8˚ in 1995

4) 34.9˚ in 1997

4) 34.9˚ in 1991

4) 34.9˚ in 1976

4) 34.9˚ in 1908

11) 35.5˚ in 2014

 

Period of record for each city:

Evansville: 1897-2014 

Fort Wayne: 1897-2014

Indianapolis: 1871-2014

South Bend: 1894-2014

[Chicago WX]

November 2014 mean average temperatures and departures-to-date, through 11/18. These should be the peak departures for the month, as the torch cometh this weekend.

 

Evansville (EVV): 39.3˚ -9.7˚

Fort Wayne (FWA): 36.1˚ -7.9˚

Indianapolis (IND): 36.5˚ -9.9˚

South Bend (SBN): 35.5˚ -7.9˚

 

Bloomington (BMG): 36.8˚ -9.8˚

Goshen (GSH): 35.9˚ -7.0˚

Indianapolis Eagle Creek (EYE): 36.9˚ -9.6˚

Lafayette (LAF): 35.4˚ -10.2˚

Muncie (MIE): 37.0˚ -8.4˚

North Webster (IWX): 35.5˚ -8.3˚

Shelbyville (GEZ): 38.1˚ -8.2˚

Terre Haute (HUF): 36.6˚ -9.3˚

[Chicago WX]

This was the coldest November 12-18 period on record for Evansville, Fort Wayne, Indianapolis, and South Bend. Below are the top 5 coldest mean average temperatures for 11/12-18 for each city.

 

Evansville

1) 27.8˚ in 2014

2) 31.4˚ in 1940

3) 32.1˚ in 1920

4) 32.4˚ in 1997

5) 34.4˚ in 1959

 

Fort Wayne

1) 25.0˚ in 2014

2) 26.8˚ in 1997

3) 27.4˚ in 1959

4) 27.6˚ in 1920

5) 28.8˚ in 1911

 

Indianapolis

1) 24.4˚ in 2014

2) 26.6˚ in 1880

3) 28.6˚ in 1997

4) 29.1˚ in 1920

5) 29.9˚ in 1959

 

South Bend

1) 22.9˚ in 2014

2) 23.9˚ in 1959

3) 27.1˚ in 1997

4) 27.4˚ in 1940

4) 27.4˚ in 1920

 

For a little more perspective, here are the 1981-10 normal November 12-18 mean average temperatures for each city.

 

Evansville: 46.8˚

Fort Wayne: 41.8˚

Indianapolis: 44.0˚

South Bend: 41.1˚

[Chicago WX]

Currently the 7th snowiest November on record for South Bend. Below are all of the Novembers that had at least 12.0" total...and how much snow fell for those entire seasons. 17 of the 21 had above normal season snowfall.

 

 

Of the seasons in the chart, here are the ones that are in the top 20:

1977-78: #1

1976-77: #3

1966-67: #4

1964-65: #12

1971-72: #14

[Chicago WX]

I guess I'll try to update these on a daily basis, as long as the getting is good. Torch this weekend will set things back a bit...but the 0z Euro ensembles are back to below normal through the end of the month, with a couple of good cold shots.

 

Coolest November 1-19 mean average temperature rankings for Evansville, Fort Wayne, Indianapolis, and South Bend.

 

Evansville

1) 38.4˚ in 1951

2) 38.9˚ in 2014

3) 39.5˚ in 1997

4) 40.0˚ in 1976

5) 41.0˚ in 1959

6) 41.4˚ in 1996

6) 41.4˚ in 1995

6) 41.4˚ in 1991

9) 41.6˚ in 1910

10) 43.0˚ in 1940

 

Fort Wayne

1) 33.4˚ in 1951

2) 34.8˚ in 1997

3) 35.1˚ in 1996

3) 35.1˚ in 1976

5) 35.4˚ in 2014

6) 35.6˚ in 1995

6) 35.6˚ in 1933

8) 35.7˚ in 1959

9) 36.3˚ in 1967

10) 36.5˚ in 1991

 

Indianapolis

1) 34.7˚ in 1951

2) 35.9˚ in 2014

3) 36.0˚ in 1976

4) 36.7˚ in 1997

5) 36.8˚ in 1959

6) 37.2˚ in 1995

7) 37.5˚ in 1910

8) 37.6˚ in 1880

9) 38.2˚ in 1996

10) 38.4˚ in 1933

 

South Bend

1) 31.4˚ in 1951

2) 33.7˚ in 1959

3) 34.6˚ in 1997

4) 34.9˚ in 2014

4) 34.9˚ in 1996

4) 34.9˚ in 1911

7) 35.0˚ in 1995

8) 35.1˚ in 1976

8) 35.1˚ in 1910

10) 35.5˚ in 1908

[Chicago WX]

Also, we'll see if anyone can sneak into the top 10 coolest meteorological Falls (Sep 1 - Nov 30).

 

Here's where Indianapolis ranks currently, through 11/19.

 

1) 51.2˚ in 1976

2) 53.2˚ in 1943

2) 53.2˚ in 1873

4) 53.8˚ in 1951

4) 53.8˚ in 1917

6) 53.9˚ in 1993

6) 53.9˚ in 1875

8) 54.0˚ in 1974

8) 54.0˚ in 1880

10) 54.1˚ in 2014

10) 54.1˚ in 1889 

 

And the "final list" of coolest top 10 Falls for Indianapolis (Sep 1 - Nov 30).

 

1) 48.9˚ in 1976

2) 49.9˚ in 1880

3) 50.8˚ in 1873

4) 51.1˚ in 1943

5) 51.6˚ in 1917

5) 51.6˚ in 1876

7) 51.7˚ in 1951

7) 51.7˚ in 1875

9) 51.9˚ in 1974

10) 52.0˚ in 1993

10) 52.0˚ in 1887

[IWXwx]

When you say torch, you are speaking of normal to just slightly above normal temps for about 3 days.

[Chicago WX]

When you say torch, you are speaking of normal to just slightly above normal temps for about 3 days.

 

Yeah yeah, it's all relative...in a pretty damn cold month.

[Chicago WX]

Coolest November 1-20 mean average temperature rankings for Evansville, Fort Wayne, Indianapolis, and South Bend.

 

Evansville

1) 38.0˚ in 1951

2) 38.4˚ in 2014

3) 39.8˚ in 1997

4) 40.1˚ in 1976

5) 41.1˚ in 1959

6) 41.3˚ in 1996

7) 41.6˚ in 1910

8) 41.7˚ in 1995

9) 42.4˚ in 1991

10) 42.5˚ in 1926

 

Fort Wayne

1) 33.1˚ in 1951

2) 34.8˚ in 2014

2) 34.8˚ in 1997

2) 34.8˚ in 1996

5) 35.1˚ in 1976

6) 35.5˚ in 1959

7) 35.9˚ in 1933

8) 36.0˚ in 1995

8) 36.0˚ in 1967

10) 36.9˚ in 1911

 

Indianapolis

1) 34.4˚ in 1951

2) 35.3˚ in 2014

3) 36.3˚ in 1976

4) 36.8˚ in 1880

5) 37.0˚ in 1997

5) 37.0˚ in 1959

7) 37.5˚ in 1910

8) 37.7˚ in 1995

9) 38.0˚ in 1996

10) 38.3˚ in 1873

 

South Bend

1) 31.2˚ in 1951

2) 33.6˚ in 1959

3) 34.3˚ in 2014

4) 34.5˚ in 1997

5) 34.7˚ in 1911

6) 34.8˚ in 1996

7) 35.0˚ in 1976

7) 35.0˚ in 1910

9) 35.4˚ in 1995

10) 35.9˚ in 1986

[IWXwx]

As cold as this month has been, yet none of the reporting stations will catch 1951. That year had to have been brutal!

[Chicago WX]

A couple more cold November temperature stats for Indianapolis. Every year except 2014 are monthly totals.

 

Days in November with a maximum temperatures of 32˚ or lower:

1) 12 days in 1880

2) 8 days in 1950

2) 8 days in 1903

2) 8 days in 1872

5) 7 days in 1937

6) 6 days in 1932

6) 6 days in 1871

8) 5 days in 2014 thru 11/20

8) 5 days in 1991

8) 5 days in 1959

8) 5 days in 1956

8) 5 days in 1898

 

Days in November with a minimum temperatures of 19˚ or lower:

1) 13 days in 1880

2) 9 days in 1976

3) 8 days in 1955

4) 7 days in 2014 thru 11/21

4) 7 days in 2013

4) 7 days in 1951

4) 7 days in 1903

4) 7 days in 1887

9) 6 days in 1995

9) 6 days in 1991

9) 6 days in 1959

9) 6 days in 1956

9) 6 days in 1872

[Chicago WX]

As cold as this month has been, yet none of the reporting stations will catch 1951. That year had to have been brutal!

 

For Fort Wayne, November 1976 is the month to beat...though 1951 wasn't far behind.

 

1) 33.5˚ in 1976

2) 33.7˚ in 1951

3) 34.0˚ in 1996

4) 34.2˚ in 1967

5) 34.7˚ in 1959

 

But, November 1880 is far and away the coldest. Alas, only Indianapolis has official records that go that far back. That one is probably pretty unbreakable.

 

1) 31.1˚ in 1880

2) 34.6˚ in 1976

3) 35.5˚ in 1959

3) 35.5˚ in 1872

5) 35.6˚ in 1951

[IWXwx]

Ah, okay.  I misread the post. It was for only the first 20 days of November. '51 must have had quite a warm-up the last 10 days, leading the league at every major reporting station, then getting beat out.