Bob Chill Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Both the GEFS and Euro Ens push the 850 0c line into northern MN/ND late next week. Maybe flurries at MN's hometown? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 sounds awesome. leaving the miserable east coast humidity would be a dream come true for me. Have a kid move to Colorado....But, he did it the hard way like snownut, knew one person that is close to an hour away. I'm near Breckenridge visiting son this week, it is currently 69/22 This am was warmest since I've been here, 42, most in mid 30's and a HEAVY frost Monday am. NOT looking forward to returning tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 3, 2014 Author Share Posted September 3, 2014 76 on the water, 72 inland. Thinking my low will be 63 on the water, and 60 inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Have a kid move to Colorado....But, he did it the hard way like snownut, knew one person that is close to an hour away. I'm near Breckenridge visiting son this week, it is currently 69/22 This am was warmest since I've been here, 42, most in mid 30's and a HEAVY frost Monday am. NOT looking forward to returning tomorrow. travel safely and dress lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Mid-upper 80s and DPs in the low 70s is disgusting if you are doing anything other than sitting near water. And LOL at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 My WxBug radar has imaginary storms everywhere...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Sucks we missed 90 yesterday. We tie 2009's total tomorrow assuming we get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 We might be done after Saturday. Gets pretty hard as we get further into Sep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Went and got outside because it wasn't too bad out and here's a shot of the Roanoke Valley from earlier this afternoon. Was able to watch some pulse storms fire up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 4, 2014 Author Share Posted September 4, 2014 We might be done after Saturday. Gets pretty hard as we get further into Sep. Have you seen the 12z Euro and 12z GFS? Looks like deep fall with lows in the 40s and 50s on the 14th. I've noticed that the Euro runs a little warm in our region, so when it shows low 50s as far east as the Bay, you know the air is gonna be chilled. Regarding the Euro running warm: The night it hit 56 here in August, the Euro was showing low 60s, while the GFS was low 50s. The GFS turned out to be closer to the actual low, although still off. This is the way it's been since the start of the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 The polar vortex is coming back! (j/k) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 5, 2014 Author Share Posted September 5, 2014 Weren't we JUST talking about an aoa September? I'm sure it still ends up on the warmer side, but I think mid-month may contain a cool shot. The CFSv2 is looking like JB's September forecast: Cool in the West, and warm along the East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 74/73 here in Oakton. Nasty humid out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 The 00 and 06z NAM throw a wrench into the idea that Monday will be a dry day. GFS disagrees. SREF looks somewhat wet. WPC precip maps do show some rain here in the Monday-Wednesday period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Autumnpocalypse front on schedule for next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Autumnpocalypse front on schedule for next Friday. Everyone, hurry to the grocery stores........ for your favorite fall brews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Got back into Greensboro from Denver late yesterday afternoon after pilot played dodge'em t-storms last 30 minutes. Landed and upper half of plane 'fogged' over from humidity coming thru ventilation system so much so that flight attendant had to make an announcement of what was happening....people were panicking thinking there was a fire! My only though was 'great, back to nasty' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Everyone, hurry to the grocery stores........ for your favorite fall brews Great idea. Windows open with a breeze and temps falling through the 50s is most definitely fall/pumpkin beer time. Front looks legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Great idea. Windows open with a breeze and temps falling through the 50s is most definitely fall/pumpkin beer time. Front looks legit. departures.png Been dying to sit on my patio on a cool fall evening and sip my Sam Adams Octoberfest and take my little girl to pick apples (not at the same time obviously). Currently about 247F heat index. That front can't get here soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Great idea. Windows open with a breeze and temps falling through the 50s is most definitely fall/pumpkin beer time. Front looks legit. Euro ensembles look less impressive for our neck. Core of the cool air slides down the east slope of the rockies and western plains and then takes it's time getting here. Front clearing us is likely but there will be a lot of modification before it gets here. Based on the h5 mean it has a look of a reinforcing shot in the 15th through 20th timeframe with the lowest heights centered a good bit further east. Pretty far out of course but the look implies an extended period of killer Sept weather. We'll probably end up with some + days late next week before the front. Can we make up for the big + anoms we've been racking up by the end of Sept? I doubt it for now but a taste of fall seems to be incoming. Yay!One thing that I found interesting is the pv relocates back to the area between hudson and gl. Looks like last winters pattern in some ways. Redux? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Euro ensembles look less impressive for our neck. Core of the cool air slides down the east slope of the rockies and western plains and then takes it's time getting here. Front clearing us is likely but there will be a lot of modification before it gets here. Based on the h5 mean it has a look of a reinforcing shot in the 15th through 20th timeframe with the lowest heights centered a good bit further east. Pretty far out of course but the look implies an extended period of killer Sept weather. We'll probably end up with some + days late next week before the front. Can we make up for the big + anoms we've been racking up by the end of Sept? I doubt it for now but a taste of fall seems to be incoming. Yay! One thing that I found interesting is the pv relocates back to the area between hudson and gl. Looks like last winters pattern in some ways. Redux? LOL I expect highly modified cP air this time of year. If we get a -8ish day with the first batch, I'll be pleasantly surprised. The possible 2nd front does look more focused on our area. Either way, some low 70s/low 50s kind of days are beautiful for September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 I expect highly modified cP air this time of year. If we get a -8ish day with the first batch, I'll be pleasantly surprised. The possible 2nd front does look more focused on our area. Either way, some low 70s/low 50s kind of days are beautiful for September. Yea, you aren't kidding. Low-mid 70's with deep blue skies and non-existent humidity is what we all live for this time of year. I can see the upper 40's for the close in burbs being possible if we get lucky with a good radiational cooling night or 2. I haven't found this heat stretch to be a big deal at all and I've spent some good time outside. I was out from 4-7pm last night and while I was sweating some it was pretty bearable. We may be done with 90 or above for the year after Saturday. At least until mid December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Yea, you aren't kidding. Low-mid 70's with deep blue skies and non-existent humidity is what we all live for this time of year. I can see the upper 40's for the close in burbs being possible if we get lucky with a good radiational cooling night or 2. I haven't found this heat stretch to be a big deal at all and I've spent some good time outside. I was out from 4-7pm last night and while I was sweating some it was pretty bearable. We may be done with 90 or above for the year after Saturday. At least until mid December. It is more bearable with the less-direct sun and significantly shorter days. However, it still really stinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 It is, um, "awful" out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 22nd day of 90+ in DC. 09/10 redux here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Another FN 90 here today too. Tomorrow looks certain to be another. I can't believe we're going to rack up 5 FN 90s this week We only had 8 going in to Aug 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 5, 2014 Author Share Posted September 5, 2014 87/74 now. Pretty bad out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 I'm not sure what day is worse. Today or last Monday. It's horrible out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 88/77. Guh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 High of 86 at home before some rain/storms rolled through. Down to 79 but with a DP of 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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