H2O Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 I see we are already getting into freak out model run to model run mode. Just let it happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 any rain and I mean any will be welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 any rain and I mean any will be welcome Sure would. This may be the driest I've seen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 any rain and I mean any will be welcome Drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Drizzle frazzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Euro gives you 2". About 1.8 for me. Entire 95 corridor between 1.75 - 2.1". 1" line runs west of fdk and jyo....with a sick gradient near....winchester... shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 42.8F. Coolest low yet. Beautiful morning in the desert, with the cacti in-bloom and all..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 42.8F. Coolest low yet. Beautiful morning in the desert, with the cacti in-bloom and all..... Mindblowing contrasts, it's 67 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 The 4km NAM (06z) is way off on the precip shield south of Richmond. The RR/HRRR have a nice shield moving north during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 In which way? The 4km NAM (06z) is way off on the precip shield south of Richmond. The RR/HRRR have a nice shield moving north during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Mindblowing contrasts, it's 67 here. Global Warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Global Warming. How else can the ocean be this warm in late September at 39N. +AMO tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Good grief man, please stop polluting our forum with global warming bait posts. Just stop already. I think I can speak for all of us. It's become predictable and tiresome and nobody wants it here. There's a a proper place already designated for it. Rgem showing a decent swath through the area. Nothing crazy but a good soaker after a very dry month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Had the car thermometer dip to 42 in Lineboro and 44 in Mt. Airy this morning on the way into work. Felt nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Good grief man, please stop polluting our forum with global warming bait posts. Just stop already. I think I can speak for all of us. It's become predictable and tiresome and nobody wants it here. There's a a proper place already designated for it. Rgem showing a decent swath through the area. Nothing crazy but a good soaker after a very dry month. It's not like my goal was to discuss AGW. WxLuvr used logic to figure it out. I just thought it was interesting and had not realized how much inland areas cooled last night. It's really not AGW entirely, mostly due to calm winds and timing of the coastal. I agree 100%, my attention will be focused on the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Mindblowing contrasts, it's 67 here. That is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 24, 2014 Author Share Posted September 24, 2014 Low of 50.5 inland, and 52.9 on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 My Davis barometer presently reads 30.45, JYO is reporting 30.49 at the last ob. And rain is coming? Go figure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Yesterday Ian posted a HiRes NAM total precip map. Where can I find that? Is a pay site the only place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z NAM gives DC 2.5", ripping through tomorrow morning. Leesburg Jackpot. Hagerstown fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 The NAM is changing run to run. Throw that junk out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 The NAM is changing run to run. Throw that junk out. It has definitely jumped around but if it holds with wet solutions today the toss factor decreases significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Yesterday Ian posted a HiRes NAM total precip map. Where can I find that? Is a pay site the only place?Yeah it's pay site. Weatherbell models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 so has the GFS. so has most other deterministic guidance (other than the Euro). Run-to-run continuity for this event has been ugly across the board. Yes, the NAM is probably too wet. And the GFS runs are probably too dry. In this type of event, ensembles can help a lot, and the SREF has been very consistent with well over 0.5" in the DC area and possibly exceeding 1". The NAM is changing run to run. Throw that junk out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Certainly. I shouldn't have gone with the usual 'crap on the NAM' board theme. so has the GFS. so has most other deterministic guidance (other than the Euro). Run-to-run continuity for this event has been ugly across the board. Yes, the NAM is probably too wet. And the GFS runs are probably too dry. In this type of event, ensembles can help a lot, and the SREF has been very consistent with well over 0.5" in the DC area and possibly exceeding 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Yesterday Ian posted a HiRes NAM total precip map. Where can I find that? Is a pay site the only place? Here for free though: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallhires.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 SMH... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 lol hires_t_precip_washdc_16.png WOW! So West Anne Arundel: 0.10 and SouthEast Anne Arundel close to an Inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 IMBY forecast: 0.05" to 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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