EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Grass mostly brown here as well(except over the septic drain field). Been exactly 2 weeks since the last significant rain event here. Looks like another 8-10 days before the next chance. That steady rain shield just offshore this morning is as near a hit as we will see for a while. Praying - probably in vain - for a shower w/ the frontal passage this evening. It's a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Odd-looking line of storms to the west. Uniform razor-thin line. Looks like it'll be here in under two hours, that is if it doesn't fall apart first. Is that the front? Much sooner than I expected, if so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 21, 2014 Author Share Posted September 21, 2014 I have no idea what happened with the low temp last night. Low IMBY was 62. BWI somehow hit 56. Places just west of me got to 58. Whatever lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Odd-looking line of storms to the west. Uniform razor-thin line. Looks like it'll be here in under two hours, that is if it doesn't fall apart first. Is that the front? Much sooner than I expected, if so. That line looks semi decent north of the MD line. I'm sure some place near Harrisburg will pick up an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 That line looks semi decent north of the MD line. I'm sure some place near Harrisburg will pick up an inch. Completely fell apart. smh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Completely fell apart. smh. I don't think that was the front. Looks like more developing....don't expect much here but ya never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Too hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Congrats Don't go south, move to a snow town. I don't think that was the front. Looks like more developing....don't expect much here but ya never know Looks very scattered in nature. We don't do well w/ frontal passages from the west anyhow. It's 86F. Making a strong run at 90F today. Unbelievable. Congrats Don't go south, move to a snow town. I'm trying, believe me. ... and thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 You will like the 12z GGEM if you want rain, 4-7" early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 I have 85/67 here. Dew seems suspect. I'm at 80.7/64. A bit too warm for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Definitely. My wife is expecting our second. She'll finish out this year teaching and probably won't return to work until our first is off to kindergarten in 3 years. Soon as we have the second income again, we are out of Stephens City. I'm trying to talk her into western MD, but she wants to go south. Lol. You should. Me & the gf are looking at buying a cheap place out in Garret County after we finish school. There are actually a few small homes for sale right on top of backbone ridge above 3100ft. Perfect for upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 88F for the high. +14F departure, and 5F over the forecast.. I made a point to stay inside all day to avoid the oven. Just went outside to water some plants... feels like the middle of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 You should. Me & the gf are looking at buying a cheap place out in Garret County after we finish school. There are actually a few small homes for sale right on top of backbone ridge above 3100ft. Perfect for upslope Sounds perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 A gust front of some sort has blown through here. Strong winds... probably gust of 35 - 40 mph. Not a drop of rain w/ it, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 22, 2014 Author Share Posted September 22, 2014 High of 81 today. I guess this kinda ruined the chance of a BN September... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 A gust front of some sort has blown through here. Strong winds... probably gust of 35 - 40 mph. Not a drop of rain w/ it, however. cold front (remember, this map updates at around 30 past the hour so what you're seeing right after I posted it is 7PM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 If we get skunked the rest of the month, which is possible, DCA will have the 5th driest Sept on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 If we get skunked the rest of the month, which is possible, DCA will have the 5th driest Sept on record. Got .03 " of rain from a 5 minute shower last evening. Grass was getting pretty brown in spots. Got a big 0.02 yesterday afternoon, at 2.33 for month, nowhere near as dry as north of me, and nowhere near the record of 0.09 for the month which happened in 1985. Aug had 4.20, July 3.67, June 4.52, just to show how much wetter it has been around here this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 Got a big 0.02 yesterday afternoon, at 2.33 for month, nowhere near as dry as north of me, and nowhere near the record of 0.09 for the month which happened in 1985. Aug had 4.20, July 3.67, June 4.52, just to show how much wetter it has been around here this summer. That's an amazing disparity. You've had more rain in each month than I've received for the entire summer + September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 That's an amazing disparity. You've had more rain in each month than I've received for the entire summer + September. Yeah, and you really don't have to go too far north for the dryness to start, a buddy in southern Highland county (about 50 miles north) is in CoCoRaHS also and here are his numbers 0.63 Sept, 2.78 Aug, 3.49 July and 3.17 June. About 1.5 inches short of me each month except July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 22, 2014 Author Share Posted September 22, 2014 I'm thinking tomorrow morning will be the coolest yet. When the Euro shows 55 for my location, it'll end up 45-46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 potentially interesting day Thursday. The GFS is a miss to the east with the heavy rain, but the 00z Euro and the 06z NAM have a nice slug of moisture spreading over our area with some healthy QPF. There is modest support for this idea in the GEFS and somewhat enthusiastic support for it in the SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 Yeah, and you really don't have to go too far north for the dryness to start, a buddy in southern Highland county (about 50 miles north) is in CoCoRaHS also and here are his numbers 0.63 Sept, 2.78 Aug, 3.49 July and 3.17 June. About 1.5 inches short of me each month except July. Is your temp really 49F right now? How is that possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 Gorgeous day outside....just fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 You will like the 12z GGEM if you want rain, 4-7" early next week. Yes please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 12Z NAM has shifted to the east leaving us dry or so it appears. potentially interesting day Thursday. The GFS is a miss to the east with the heavy rain, but the 00z Euro and the 06z NAM have a nice slug of moisture spreading over our area with some healthy QPF. There is modest support for this idea in the GEFS and somewhat enthusiastic support for it in the SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 22, 2014 Author Share Posted September 22, 2014 I bet a few spots in northern Carroll County hit 39F tonight. 12z 4km NAM shows 40F in Westminster. DCA I'm thinking gets to 52-54, while BWI is 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 Point n Click for MBY showing 45 for the low tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 22, 2014 Share Posted September 22, 2014 12z GFS is dry too. But the 12z Euro is still wet, and there is still some ensemble support for wet here, although it's not a definitive signal. Not really sure how this is going to play out. 12Z NAM has shifted to the east leaving us dry or so it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 22, 2014 Author Share Posted September 22, 2014 Clouds moving in now. I hope it doesn't hurt the chance of a decent low tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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