dailylurker Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Interesting.. I just went and did some research on the subject. You are correct. A dry late summer/early fall help enhance the fall color. Looks like we're set up for good color. I just need a storm. I get so bored with sunny days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 We also do not want any big storms prior to the leaves changing because it would prematurely bring leaves down to the ground Let's wait til late October and then bring on the storms. Interesting.. I just went and did some research on the subject. You are correct. A dry late summer/early fall help enhance the fall color. Looks like we're set up for good color. I just need a storm. I get so bored with sunny days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 We also do not want any big storms prior to the leaves changing because it would prematurely bring leaves down to the ground Let's wait til late October and then bring on the storms. Fine. I'll just paint a room and watch it dry for a while lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 06z GFS is as boring as it gets. 0.17" of precip over the entire 16 day run and no wind above 10mph. Some 40s for lows next week though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 18, 2014 Author Share Posted September 18, 2014 Low of 52.5 inland, and 55.5 on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 To date @ KOKV: Highs: +0.1F Lows: +1.1F Almost turned the tables on the torch start to the month. Should be solidly below normal by this time next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 I wonder what's the driest Sep. on record? Got 0.17" so far, and chances for anything significant through the eom don't look good. I've lost track a bit now, but I'm pretty sure I'm still close to 3" here since May 16. I wish local climo data existed (and it would need to be as local as mby), because I'd bet good money that I've never seen a drier 4-month stretch in my cognizant lifetime. Granted I've only lived in Stephens City for 4 years... maybe this place has always been a desert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 To date @ KOKV: Highs: +0.1F Lows: +1.1F Almost turned the tables on the torch start to the month. Should be solidly below normal by this time next week. IAD is exactly "average" as of yesterday. BWI is +1.6F and DCA is +3.3F. BWI will probably be very near normal in a week's time if not a touch below. DCA probably won't be able to erase the big + departures from the first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 I got home from work and noticed the ground is soaking wet. Not sure how much rain fell, but it looks like a lot. Even a little flooded spot in the yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 18, 2014 Author Share Posted September 18, 2014 I got home from work and noticed the ground is soaking wet. Not sure how much rain fell, but it looks like a lot. Even a little flooded spot in the yard. Got .01" up here. Radar earlier showed a decent shower pass through your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 18, 2014 Share Posted September 18, 2014 I saw it on radar. Didn't look very impressive. Once I got home. I couldn't believe how soaked it is. 2 miles down the road it's completely dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Way out in fantasy land, but several recent GFS runs and several GEFS members have shown a tropical system making landfall in LA/TX/MS coastline and then getting pulled northward in a broad trough and then dumping rain on us early in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Way out in fantasy land, but several recent GFS runs and several GEFS members have shown a tropical system making landfall in LA/TX/MS coastline and then getting pulled northward in a broad trough and then dumping rain on us early in October. H5 definitely looks favorable on all models for that type of scenario. Favorable in the sense that the door may be wide open, not that I think it's going to be easy for a storm to form. Once we get beyond next week's cool shot, it looks like the eastern half of the country will be under the influence of broad ridging for a decent period. It looks like the pattern is really going to shift for a time as the GOA low spins and trough digs off the west coast. ETA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 BWI will probably be very near normal in a week's time if not a touch below. DCA probably won't be able to erase the big + departures from the first week. I'm wondering if BWI will finish the month above or below- I'd say the chances are about equal right now. It looks like the weekend might give some decent positive departures but then next week would have negative days again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 I'm wondering if BWI will finish the month above or below- I'd say the chances are about equal right now. It looks like the weekend might give some decent positive departures but then next week would have negative days again. I'd take the over. Unless the period is wet, the last 5+ days of the month are looking AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 12z GFS turns the Northeast Metro into a Desert, less than 0.15" all run from Richmond to Boston and within 150 miles of 95. Less than 0.10" for Trenton, NYC, and Boston. Cape Cod basically doesn't get a drop. While the Panhandle of Texas gets flooding rains. HP just never leaves the Northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 I'm liking the dry conditions....very little mowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted September 20, 2014 Author Share Posted September 20, 2014 Low of 59 inland and on the water. When clouds are in place the two readings are the same. On clear nights, the inland sensor (near an old golf course) cools much faster than the station on the water, sometimes with lows as much as 3 degrees cooler. For some reason this stuff interests me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 75.6/60, not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 79F here. I find it quite uncomfortable in the sun. Terrible timing for the brief warm-up. Monday looks spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Beautiful day. As long as you don't try to do yard work in jeans, it's perfectly fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 79F here. I find it quite uncomfortable in the sun. Terrible timing for the brief warm-up. Monday looks spectacular. Lol, there's nothing wrong with temps today. Dry, m/u 70s are to die for...we'll be plenty cold in 5-8 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Only problem with this stretch is if you just had a bunch of sod installed. My water bill is going to be horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Lol, there's nothing wrong with temps today. Dry, m/u 70s are to die for...we'll be plenty cold in 5-8 weeks. 81F for the high. It could always be worse here, but +6F is certainly NOT to die for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Only problem with this stretch is if you just had a bunch of sod installed. My water bill is going to be horrible. My grass has been completely burned up now for almost 2 weeks. I refuse to spend the money to water the grass; it has to fend for itself. However, I've had to resort to watering my shrubs, something I last did in summer of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Meh http://www.weather.gov/lwx/ZoneSplits2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 Foggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 My grass has been completely burned up now for almost 2 weeks. I refuse to spend the money to water the grass; it has to fend for itself. However, I've had to resort to watering my shrubs, something I last did in summer of 2010. You need to move out of Death Valley, it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 My grass has been completely burned up now for almost 2 weeks. I refuse to spend the money to water the grass; it has to fend for itself. However, I've had to resort to watering my shrubs, something I last did in summer of 2010. Grass mostly brown here as well(except over the septic drain field). Been exactly 2 weeks since the last significant rain event here. Looks like another 8-10 days before the next chance. That steady rain shield just offshore this morning is as near a hit as we will see for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21, 2014 Share Posted September 21, 2014 You need to move out of Death Valley, it seems Definitely. My wife is expecting our second. She'll finish out this year teaching and probably won't return to work until our first is off to kindergarten in 3 years. Soon as we have the second income again, we are out of Stephens City. I'm trying to talk her into western MD, but she wants to go south. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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