Shawn Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 I was thinking Cosgrove got mad and wished over and inch of ice upon many people that ended up happening. Anways to my KCAE people, all rain on the GFS for us as of 06z. Not really seeing a reason why we would get cold enough in this situation for anything else. Also, 00z Euro EPS had 0 members with Wintry weather through the whole forecast period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Looks cold and very winter like from Friday through next week. Might not get anything frozen, but I think November is just setting the table for the rest of winter and things continue to look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Looks cold and very winter like from Friday through next week. Might not get anything frozen, but I think November is just setting the table for the rest of winter and things continue to look good. I'm looking forward to the January Torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 ENS have a lot of spread, as expected. But, seems like were up for some cutters in Nov, IMO. Looking at the EURO and both GFS's I saw cutters.... and gulf lows that were way too warm thanks to some LOWs up in the Great Lakes kicking out any HIGHS to the north that would get us cold. Cold is not very impressive either. Think it may be time to pack up and come back in December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 6Z GFS doesn't get the NW burbs of ATL out of the 30's Sunday or Monday. Then we rebound into the mid 60's towards the middle of next week. Also takes us down into the low 20's for Monday morning. That's some cold stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 The picture is becoming increasingly clear that this cold shot is directed towards the middle of the nation as opposed to the SE. Perhaps the next shot will be more pointed directly at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Looking at the EURO and both GFS's I saw cutters.... and gulf lows that were way too warm thanks to some LOWs up in the Great Lakes kicking out any HIGHS to the north that would get us cold. Cold is not very impressive either. Think it may be time to pack up and come back in December... JK man... You presented the perfect opportunity, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 The picture is becoming increasingly clear that this cold shot is directed towards the middle of the nation as opposed to the SE. Perhaps the next shot will be more pointed directly at us. I don't care if it's directed more towards the middle of the nation. Highs around 45 and lows around 25 later this week is COLD by November standards. We won't get warmer than 53 or so for at least 5 straight days. Impressive for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 untitled.png JK man... You presented the perfect opportunity, though. Tombstone!! Awesome movie...New term....Miller A with potential on the models..will be a "Daisy". It was more of a mental, focus, philisophical packing up. I'll always keep checking in this stuff man. But my attention to November is diminishing....I don't know if anybody's paying attention to the temps, but I'm wondering if we'll get below average this month considering how warm it's been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Tombstone!! Awesome movie...New term....Miller A with potential on the models..will be a "Daisy". It was more of a mental, focus, philisophical packing up. I'll always keep checking in this stuff man. But my attention to November is diminishing....I don't know if anybody's paying attention to the temps, but I'm wondering if we'll get below average this month considering how warm it's been. Around here the first two days of the month were so negative that it's going to take some serious warmth to offset those two days. Combine that with a few -6 days and KATL is still solidly negative for the month I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 12z GFS has a big dog for w-NC into MA, day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Really having trouble understanding why everyone is so pessimistic. 2m temps anoms are below average for locations North of I 85 in the past several runs of the GEFS till the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 untitled.png JK man... You presented the perfect opportunity, though. Doc Holliday: Yes, but there's just something about him. Something around the eyes, I don't know, reminds me of... me. No. I'm sure of it, I hate him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 From RaleighWx's twitter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 From RaleighWx's twitter... Looked icy for suspect CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 From RaleighWx's twitter... Looks Dec 2009 esq to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Parallel GFS has the storm too, just a day or so later, really big storm. 1039H in central US. Edit: And 12z CMC has it on day 9, a little weaker and strung out, but has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Parallel GFS has the storm too, just a day or so later, really big storm. 1039H in central US. Edit: And 12z CMC has it on day 9, a little weaker and strung out, but has it. JB said this morning a major storm should develop next week middle to end of week. We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Tombstone!! Awesome movie...New term....Miller A with potential on the models..will be a "Daisy". It was more of a mental, focus, philisophical packing up. I'll always keep checking in this stuff man. But my attention to November is diminishing....I don't know if anybody's paying attention to the temps, but I'm wondering if we'll get below average this month considering how warm it's been. Yep, great movie! I hear you...don't know if we'll end up below or not. It'll feel like fall, though, with a little winter thrown in for good measure. Doc Holliday: Yes, but there's just something about him. Something around the eyes, I don't know, reminds me of... me. No. I'm sure of it, I hate him Nice! That's Latin, Darlin'. Evidently, Mr. Ringo is an educated man. Now I really hate him. So now, we got us another D10 Daisy. I really like that period for a storm. Given the H5 look on the GFS, it isn't screaming cutter to me. I like how HP is in a good spot. If, IF, that is close to correct, western zones up into the MA realistically have a shot at something frozen. This far east, we'd most likely be rain. Anyway, the pattern supports a storm. Hopefully, it is a cold one too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Nice cross polar flow on the long range models. Certainly bodes well for a reloading cold pattern. Interesting little note about the storm in the 216-240 hour range, it's actually a piece of the Aleutian low that breaks off and gets caught in the upper level flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Interesting little note about the storm in the 216-240 hour range, it's actually a piece of the Aleutian low that breaks off and gets caught in the upper level flow. Those are the best kind. Split flow off the Aleutian low / underneath western ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 From RaleighWx's twitter... I'm in. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Looking at the EURO and both GFS's I saw cutters.... and gulf lows that were way too warm thanks to some LOWs up in the Great Lakes kicking out any HIGHS to the north that would get us cold. Cold is not very impressive either. Think it may be time to pack up and come back in December... Bye-bye, see you in December...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 I'm in. LOL.But really, how many times do winter storms trend south? Christhmas '10 comes to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 But really, how many times do winter storms trend south? Christhmas '10 comes to mind. Unless there's a systematic bias in the modelling, I would tend to think they trend south just as often as they trend north, even if it oftentimes doesn't seem like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 But really, how many times do winter storms trend south? Christhmas '10 comes to mind. I'm just glad to see threats, fantasy or not. Just a couple years ago we couldn't buy a fantasy storm. To see them in novber goes to show you the pattern we are in or coming into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 Looking at the EURO and both GFS's I saw cutters.... and gulf lows that were way too warm thanks to some LOWs up in the Great Lakes kicking out any HIGHS to the north that would get us cold. Cold is not very impressive either. Think it may be time to pack up and come back in December... If you're just here expecting snow, then you might as well never visit the forum until December. I can think of a grand total of one non-minor snow event in November in my lifetime and that was event was just 2" of wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 So is it right that we have three models showing the low in the Gulf versus the Euro showing it in Tenn? That sure would be a big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 So is it right that we have three models showing the low in the Gulf versus the Euro showing it in Tenn? That sure would be a big difference.for Sunday or next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 11, 2014 Share Posted November 11, 2014 for Sunday or next week? Next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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