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jaxjagman

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I somehow got missed again today. My 2 day total is a whopping 0.05". A coworker in Cleveland recorded 3.6 inches in 45 minutes this afternoo on his jobsite. The data states that is almost a 500 year storm. It knocked out power to most of Cleveland as well.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
510 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BARREN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NORTH CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 540 PM CDT

* AT 506 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF GLASGOW...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST
  AT 15 MPH.

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TORNADO WARNING
TNC189-030045-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0002.150703T0018Z-150703T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
718 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 718 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LEBANON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...TORNADO.

 

Looks like its headed towards Brush Creek if it holds together

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Pretty sure I verified severe warnings both Saturday and Sunday afternoons. Quite strong winds with both storms. My parents house got hit by lightning with the Sunday storm. Ruined about 4 grand in electronics and blew apart the eave of the roof where it hit. This is the 3rd time their house has been hit. They plan to install lightning rods when they get the roof repaired.

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Picked up some unexpected heavy rain here in NE Hamblen Co. Today. Really it came out of nowhere, but btwn 6-7 PM we had almost 2in of rain here at the house. Looks like it was very isolated though, as the southern and western part of the county didn't get as much.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1717
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN/ERN MS...NRN/WRN AL...MIDDLE/WRN
   TN...SERN AR

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

   VALID 191730Z - 192000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...TSTMS AFFECTING THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE
   POTENTIAL TO POSE A RISK FOR PRODUCING ISOLATED TO PERHAPS WIDELY
   SCATTERED DMGG WIND GUSTS. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...THE
   ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF
   THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

   DISCUSSION...WITHIN A NIL-CAPPING...RICH-TROPOSPHERIC-MOISTURE
   REGIME SAMPLED BY AREA 12Z RAOBS...CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
   DEVELOP AND SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE
   NRN EXTENT OF THE LEADING EDGE OF A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS OVER THE
   CNTRL GULF COAST IS SPREADING NEWD THROUGH THE VICKSBURG MS AND
   JACKSON MS AREAS TO THE PINE BELT...AND WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING
   NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
   VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION DEEPENING IN ADVANCE
   OF THIS ACTIVITY IN TANDEM WITH DIURNALLY INVIGORATED PBL
   CIRCULATIONS INTO NRN MS. FRONTAL ASCENT OFFERED BY A BAROCLINIC
   ZONE PROGRESSING SEWD ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH MAY ALSO OFFER EVENTUAL
   DEVELOPMENT OF SFC-BASED CONVECTION FOLLOWING ONGOING ANA-FRONTAL
   ACTIVITY PROVIDED ADDITIONAL PRE-FRONTAL SFC DIABATIC HEATING.

   JACKSON MS...MEMPHIS TN...AND NASHVILLE TN VWPS ARE SAMPLING
   AROUND-30-KT MID-LEVEL SWLYS WITH MODERATE 1-2-KM-AGL FLOW /20-30
   KT/ THAT MAY SUPPORT NEWD-MOVING COLD POOLS OFFERING A RISK FOR
   STRONG TO PERHAPS DMGG WIND GUSTS -- ASSISTED BY VERTICAL TRANSPORT
   OF RELATED HORIZONTAL MOMENTUM IN CONVECTION. LOCAL MULTICELL
   CLUSTERS EMANATING FROM AMALGAMATING COLD POOLS WOULD LOCALLY
   ENHANCE SUCH POTENTIAL...AS MLCAPE AROUND 1000-2500 J/KG SUPPORTS
   SOME INTENSE UPDRAFTS. PW VALUES AROUND 2.0-2.3 INCHES PER GPS DATA
   IMPLY THAT WATER-LOADING WILL FURTHER AUGMENT WET-MICROBURST
   POTENTIAL.

   REGARDLESS...EARLIER RAOBS INDICATE POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES...WHICH MAY BE A SUBSTANTIAL DETERRENT TO THE OVERALL SVR-TSTM
   THREAT. FURTHERMORE...WATER-VAPOR LOOPS IMPLY A DEARTH OF UPWARD
   MOTION AT THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...REDUCING OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN A
   WW-WARRANTING SVR RISK. REGARDLESS...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE
   MONITORED THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND A WW COULD BE NEEDED IF A MORE
   ORGANIZED SVR RISK WERE TO BECOME APPARENT.

   ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/19/2015

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1722
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0328 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL KY/MIDDLE TN AND SOUTHEAST
   INDIANA/SOUTHWEST OH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

   VALID 192028Z - 192230Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   EAST-CENTRAL KY AND MIDDLE/EASTERN TN INTO SOUTHEAST
   INDIANA/SOUTHWEST OH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. A SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED LINEAR CLUSTER OF STORMS IS
   SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL KY/SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND
   MIDDLE TN AT MID-AFTERNOON...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
   CENTRAL/NORTHERN KY SEMI-FOCUSED NEAR A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED
   MODIFYING EARLY-DAY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THE AMBIENT AIR MASS IS
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION WITH 80S/70S F
   TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS RESPECTIVELY CONTRIBUTING TO UPWARDS OF
   1000-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. OVERALL FORCING/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS NOT
   PARTICULARLY STRONG ACROSS THE REGION...BUT LATEST WSR-88D VWP DATA
   FROM NASHVILLE SHOWS AROUND 35 KT OF 0-6 KT SHEAR AMID A BROADER
   CORRIDOR OF MODESTLY STRONG/UNIDIRECTIONAL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN
   THE LOWEST 3-6 KM. SCENARIO WILL SUPPORT THE PERSISTENCE OF MODESTLY
   ORGANIZED LINEAR CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS
   THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE
   OVERALL LIMITED SCOPE/MAGNITUDE OF THE SEVERE RISK WILL PRECLUDE A
   WATCH ISSUANCE.

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