jaxjagman Posted August 31, 2014 Share Posted August 31, 2014 We got a decent rain tonight,i'd say at least 2",best rain we've seen in sometime.I forgot what rain looks like when it falls so hard and you have to slow down while driving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 2, 2014 Share Posted September 2, 2014 I'm getting rocked by a juiced up summertime thunderstorm here in Marietta. Nothing severe yet but it's certainly pushing the severe limits from what I can see. It should be raining for quite a bit longer as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted September 2, 2014 Share Posted September 2, 2014 Y'all had a nice prolonged frog strangler down that way Marietta, good for you! Pretty sweet line moving through a good chunk of TN right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 I got a ton of rain last night. I'm not completely sure how much fell because I haven't set up my rain gauge since I moved last fall, but radar indicates almost 2". It definitely woke me up. Lots of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1147 AM EDT WED SEP 3 2014 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>035-041>045-040100- /O.NEW.KFFC.FF.A.0002.140903T1800Z-140904T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS- CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW- CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS- SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND... ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA... LAWRENCEVILLE...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...DECATUR 1147 AM EDT WED SEP 3 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...FROM CARROLLTON THROUGH ATLANTA AND LAWRENCEVILLE TO DANIELSVILLE. * THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * OVER THE PAST FOUR DAYS...PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA FROM DALTON THROUGH ELLIJAY TO BLAIRSVILLE RECEIVED TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. GENERALLY ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE ATLANTA METRO AREA TO THE GAINESVILLE AREA. THIS HAS CREATED WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. GULF MOISTURE OVER NORTH GEORGIA WILL COMBINE WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE AND OROGRAPHIC LIFTING IN THE MOUNTAINS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SCATTERED SLOW MOVING OR NEARLY STATIONARY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. CONSEQUENTLY...THE CONCERN FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 11/16 North Georgia just got placed in a Flash Flood Watch, Conditions are similar in the Chattanooga area and places north of there as well. It will be interesting to see if the watch is expanded northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 7, 2014 Share Posted September 7, 2014 There wasn't a stream in my backyard when we started the day but now there is. Two outflow boundaries came together right over my area to create one hell of a rainstorm. I tried to post a picture but the images are too big. Damn iPhone takes too high quality a picture apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted September 13, 2014 Author Share Posted September 13, 2014 What a awesome day,cloud cover never really broke and we stayed generally in the mid 60's today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 Another beautiful night last night. I removed the secondary freestanding a/c unit from the window and inturn opened the bedroom window overnight for the first time this season. Low of 54 overnight, yesterday the high was 77 with mainly sunny skies and breezy conditions. At least two more days like that on tap. Perfection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted September 24, 2014 Share Posted September 24, 2014 43 yesterday morning, 45 this morning. Pretty much right on schedule. Upper 30s usually arrive here by the end of this month or the first week of next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 2, 2014 Author Share Posted October 2, 2014 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1116 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014 VALID 021630Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THE MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS INTO THE SRN PLAINS...LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS... ...SUMMARY... WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THE STORMS SHOULD ORGANIZE INTO LINES AND LIKELY WILL PRODUCE STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO ARKANSAS AND THE OZARKS. ...SYNOPSIS... THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CNTRL U.S. WILL UNDERGO FURTHER AMPLIFICATION DURING THE DAY ONE PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO THE PROGRESSION OF MID AND UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS FROM THE CANADIAN AND NRN U.S. ROCKIES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. WITHIN THIS BROADER CYCLONIC AIR STREAM...A SIGNIFICANT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AND SEPARATE 50 KT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY...CONTRIBUTING TO A CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY STRONG HEIGHT FALLS/DCVA ALONG THE SYSTEM TRACK. AT THE SURFACE...AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM N-CNTRL OK INTO NERN KS WILL DEEPEN SLIGHTLY WHILE DEVELOPING INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ALONG A COLD FRONT SURGING EWD THROUGH THE MIDWEST. MEANWHILE...THE TRAILING PORTION OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU INTO LOWER MS VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE MIGRATORY SURFACE LOW...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NWD THROUGH OH VALLEY INTO SRN GREAT LAKES. ...MIDWEST INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... NUMEROUS ELEVATED TSTMS ARE ONGOING AS OF LATE MORNING FROM ERN KS AND MO SWWD INTO CNTRL/ERN OK WITH THIS ACTIVITY ROOTED WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR AIR STREAM ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE. 12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS WITHIN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH LOWEST 100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS RANGING FROM 14.5-15.5 G/KG OVER THE CNTRL LOW PLAINS AND OZARKS...TO AS HIGH AS 16-18+ G/KG OVER THE WRN GULF COAST INTO LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM THE WEST /REF. 12Z DDC AND AMA SOUNDINGS/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000-2500+ J/KG IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE STRONGER DAYTIME HEATING. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...EXPECT THAT ONGOING STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THEY PROGRESS NEWD THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR. BY AFTERNOON...THE INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT COUPLED WITH THE WARMING/DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT AND SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED STORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU INTO CNTRL TX. A SEPARATE BAND OF SURFACE-BASED STORMS MAY ARISE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF EARLY-DAY ELEVATED TSTMS ADVANCING EWD THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY INTO PORTIONS OF IL/IND. IN BOTH OF THE ABOVE-MENTIONED REGIMES...LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS A PREDOMINANT LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE...SUGGESTING THAT DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU SWD THROUGH THE ARKLATEX AND EWD TOWARD THE MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY WHERE THE MOST FAVORABLE OVERLAP OF VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE. TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL ULTIMATELY BE DICTATED BY THE CONVECTIVE MODE. WHERE MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAN EVOLVE...THE PRESENCE OF THE VERY MOIST/LOW-LCL BOUNDARY LAYER AND MODESTLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SUGGEST A RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES. THE THREAT FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH/LOWER MS VALLEY EWD INTO THE TN VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A FAIRLY EXPANSIVE QLCS ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ..MEAD/GRAMS.. 10/02/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 2, 2014 Author Share Posted October 2, 2014 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 545 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WESTERN KENTUCKY NORTHERN LOUISIANA EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN TENNESSEE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 3, 2014 Author Share Posted October 3, 2014 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 521 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1010 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 TORNADO WATCH 521 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC025-029-041-065-083-107-031000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0521.141003T0310Z-141003T1000Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON RICHLAND TENSAS MSC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-019-021-025-029-037-043-049-051- 053-055-057-063-071-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-095-097-099-103- 105-115-117-121-123-125-127-133-135-139-141-145-149-155-159-161- 163-031000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0521.141003T0310Z-141003T1000Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALCORN ATTALA BENTON CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH FRANKLIN GRENADA HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEAKE LEE LEFLORE LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO TNC005-017-023-039-043-047-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-085-101- 109-113-125-135-161-181-031000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0521.141003T0310Z-141003T1000Z/ TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CHESTER DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LEWIS MADISON MCNAIRY MONTGOMERY PERRY STEWART WAYNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 The line is fast approaching Memphis with multiple kinks in the line as well as tornado warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 3, 2014 Author Share Posted October 3, 2014 Looks rather breezy for you guys east of us in the morn if the HRRR is any where right 850 mb around 60 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1048 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... EASTERN TATE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 1130 PM CDT * AT 1048 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR COLDWATER...OR NEAR SENATOBIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN DESOTO...EASTERN TATE AND NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTIES. TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1044 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHERN DYER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHWESTERN OBION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... * UNTIL 1130 PM CDT * AT 1044 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR COOTER...OR NEAR STEELE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CARUTHERSVILLE...DENTON...STEELE...SHADE...STUBTOWN...CANADY... COVINGTON...COTTONWOOD POINT...TYLER AND REELFOOT LAKE STATE PARK. TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1028 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN DYER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... NORTH CENTRAL LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 1115 PM CDT * AT 1028 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES SOUTH OF MANILA... OR 7 MILES EAST OF CARAWAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DENTON... STEELE...MONETTE...BLYTHEVILLE...GOSNELL...LEACHVILLE...LUXORA... MANILA...COTTON PLANT...GILBERT...TEMPLES CORNER...COVINGTON... TYLER AND HERMONDALE. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BIG LAKE. MISSISSIPPI AR- 1026 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTY... AT 1025 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLIGAN RIDGE...OR NEAR CARAWAY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LEACHVILLE... CARMI...WHISP...WALTERS...VAIL...MILLIGAN RIDGE...JOLLIFF STORE... MANDALAY AND LENNIE. TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1020 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 1100 PM CDT * AT 1020 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR JOINER...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ASHPORT... FT PILLOW...FULTON...COVINGTON...BASSETT...JOINER...LUXORA... MARIE...OSCEOLA...WILSON AND FORT PILLOW STATE PARK. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR SUNK LAKE AND THE CHUTE. TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1016 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... NORTH CENTRAL TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 1100 PM CDT * AT 1016 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DYESS...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEPANTO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO KEISER... LUXORA...OSCEOLA...WILSON AND FORT PILLOW STATE PARK. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR SUNK LAKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Not much talk yet from the NWS for tornado potential in Nashville, but the tor watch has extended east to Clarksville and Dickson now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 3, 2014 Author Share Posted October 3, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1808 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1150 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN LA/WRN...CENTRAL AND NRN MS...NWRN AL...WRN AND MIDDLE TN...AND WRN KY CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 519...521... VALID 030450Z - 030645Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 519...521...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...SOME SIGNIFICANT GUSTS...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES PERSISTS ACROSS WW 521 AND THE NRN PART OF WW 519. AS STORMS EXIT THE NRN PART OF WW 521 BETWEEN 06-07Z...A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT INTO MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL SHOULD LIMIT THE EWD EXTENT OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL ISSUANCE OF A NEW WATCH. DISCUSSION...STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IS PRESENT ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE LOWER TN VALLEY...WHILE INSTABILITY REMAINED THE GREATEST WITH SWD EXTENT INTO CENTRAL/SRN MS AND LA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS WEAKER ACROSS NRN MS...WRN TN AND WRN KY...STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO COMPENSATE FOR THIS LIMITING THERMODYNAMIC FACTOR THROUGH AT LEAST 07Z. AND...STRONG 0-1 KM SRH /300-400 M2 PER S2/ PER GWX AND HPX VADS WITHIN A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT...ESPECIALLY FROM NRN MS TO WRN KY. THE PORTION OF THE QLCS MOVING INTO CENTRAL/SRN MS WAS TRACKING ESEWD AT 30-35 KT. GIVEN STRONGER INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION...A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR AN EMBEDDED QLCS TORNADO THREAT PERSISTS ACROSS THIS PORTION OF WW 521. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Thankfully a non-event here, more wind this afternoon than when the actual line went through just now in Nashville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 The line just fell apart this morning as expected and we had just a few showers. It is easy to see the cold front this morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Rains pushed through around 8:30-9:30AM ET here in Marietta. There is no cold push yet but that looks to be four-five hours away when the west and NW winds will scour away the clouds leaving us with a spectacular weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 4, 2014 Author Share Posted October 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 49 this morning with breezy conditions. Looking for 39 tonight which would tie a record low!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machetemoonlight Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Got down to 45 officially here in Chattanooga, plenty of low 40s and upper 30s in outlying areas. Wore a sweater out this morning for the first time this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 It was 25F on Mt Leconte this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 4, 2014 Author Share Posted October 4, 2014 Nice day here,some good wind gust at times probably about 20-30 mph.Don't think we'll hit 62,predicted high.Got this off of Nashville's disco this morn CLIMATE...RECORD LOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING OCTOBER 5TH IN NASHVILLE IS32 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1968. THE AVERAGE DATE OF THE FIRST 32DEGREES IN THE FALL IS OCTOBER 28TH. LAST YEAR (2013) THE FIRST 32DEGREE READING IN THE FALL CAME ON OCTOBER 25TH. THE EARLIEST WEHAVE EVER HAD A 32 DEGREE TEMPERATURE IN THE FALL WAS BACK ONOCTOBER 2ND 1984. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted October 5, 2014 Share Posted October 5, 2014 It is now 34F at my house nw of Knoxville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 5, 2014 Share Posted October 5, 2014 Went down to 38 at KMGE in marietta, Ga. I didn't think this cold shot was strong enough to bring 30s here but it was. The GFS underestimated the cold here. That is a change from the last couple seasons where the GFS was often too cold by a few degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 5, 2014 Author Share Posted October 5, 2014 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1146 AM CDT SUN OCT 05 2014 VALID 051630Z - 061200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... CORRECTED FOR GENERAL THUNDERSTORM LINE ...SUMMARY... A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT FROM PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEY AREAS. ISOLATED HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY A FEW OF THE STORMS OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. ...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO MID/LOWER MS VALLEY... A LARGE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TODAY...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE PLAINS. WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS. ONE OF THESE FEATURES OVER WY/CO WILL ROTATE INTO OK/TX/AR LATE TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A RISK OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE INCONSISTENT ON EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE...BUT IT APPEARS AT LEAST A STORM OR TWO WILL FORM AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG AN AXIS FROM NORTH-CENTRAL TX INTO CENTRAL AR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL IN THOSE STORMS THAT FORM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 7, 2014 Author Share Posted October 7, 2014 Best storm would come at 130 this morning.Thunder right on top of us woke everyone up that with some p-sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Had another good shower/storm last night. All this rain caused a big rockslide just up the road in Scott County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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