Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 76 with an intense microburst. Gusting 60-70 microburst microburst currently. You are not allowed to complain for the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Looks like the axis of heavy rain is setting up Over the eastern half of Wake Co. I would not be surprise to see some flood advisories soon. How do storms know where Hwy 1 is. Seems like every storms sets up just east of Hwy 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Just about 1" for today now, and heavier showers just kicked in. Don't often hear about a deformation band this time of year. Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion: #0355 (Issued at 223 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2014 ) MPD Selection MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0355NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD223 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2014 AREAS AFFECTED......SE VIRGINIA/EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY VALID 081823Z - 082323Z SUMMARY...FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEASTVIRGINIA IN VICINITY OF A COASTAL BOUNDARY OR SURFACE TROUGH ANDMAY ALSO OCCUR WITHIN THE DEFORMATION ZONE LIFTING NORTHWARD WITHTHE LOW OVER SOUTH CAROLINADISCUSSION...EXTREME RAIN RATES OF 2 TO AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES PERHOUR CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ON A MICRO-SCALE IN VICINITY OF COASTALBOUNDARY OR SURFACE TROUGH OVER SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA NEAR THE NORTHCAROLINA BORDER WHERE MAINLY WARM RAIN PROCESSES ARE OCCURRING. ON A MESOSCALE/SYNOPTIC-SCALE...THE SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHCAROLINA WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WHICH SHOULDALLOW FOR A DEFORMATION ZONE TO PIVOT NORTHWARD WITH THE LOWAFFECTING MOST OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. HI-RES GUIDANCEINCLUDING THE HRRR SHOW THE TROUGH OVER SOUTHEAST VIRGINIAREMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY OR POSSIBLY DRIFTING NORTHWARD...WITHSIMILAR RAIN RATES LIKELY CONTINUING ACROSS A VERY SMALL AREA. GIVEN THE LONG DURATION OF RAINFALL ALONG WITH ALREADY REDUCED FFGVALUES...THESE RATES WILL LIKELY EXCEED GUIDANCE RESULTING INFLASH FLOODING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 337 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NASH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WARREN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... EASTERN HARNETT COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT * AT 333 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS AREAS OF SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. THIS RAIN IS OCCURRING OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN SOME LOCATIONS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 630 PM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...NASHVILLE...LOUISBURG...LILLINGTON... WARRENTON...WAKE FOREST...GARNER AND FUQUAY-VARINA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS FARM AND COUNTRY ROADS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 You are not allowed to complain for the next 7 days.Ok lol. It was a complete white out. 1.94 in my backyard in 30-40 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Looks like the axis of heavy rain is setting up Over the eastern half of Wake Co. I would not be surprise to see some flood advisories soon. And there it is: FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 337 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2014 NCC069-085-101-127-183-185-082230- /O.NEW.KRAH.FA.Y.0114.140908T1937Z-140908T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JOHNSTON NC-NASH NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-FRANKLIN NC-HARNETT NC- 337 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NASH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WARREN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... EASTERN HARNETT COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT * AT 333 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS AREAS OF SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. THIS RAIN IS OCCURRING OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN SOME LOCATIONS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 630 PM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...NASHVILLE...LOUISBURG...LILLINGTON... WARRENTON...WAKE FOREST...GARNER AND FUQUAY-VARINA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS FARM AND COUNTRY ROADS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Ok lol. It was a complete white out. 1.94 in my backyard in 30-40 minutes. Nice. Any damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Nice. Any damage?Nothing significant. Just a few tree branches down in my area. Not close to that storm in June where there was significant tree and powerline damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Another .58" in 30 minutes. 2.47" storm total. Looking at the airport observations, it started raining this morning around 3:30AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 NWS radar estimates have my house between 5-6", and it hasn't updated in a while. It's still raining, though the heavy stuff appears to be all done for the event. I'm going to ask Santa for a rain gauge for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WESTERN WILSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... EASTERN WAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 1030 PM EDT * AT 436 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN FALLING OVER SATURATED GROUND. THE SHOWERS WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXTENDED FROM BENSON TO GARNER EASTWARD TO WILSON AND GOLDSBORO. THE AREA OF SHOWERS WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... CLAYTON... ESPECIALLY AROUND THE LITTLE CREEK AREA ALONG HIGHWAY 42... AND ALONG OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN TOWN. OTHER LOCATIONS THAT MAY SEE FLOODING INCLUDE... BENSON... GARNER... KNIGHTDALE... SMITHFIELD... SELMA... GOLDSBORO... AND THE CITY OF WILSON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES MAY FALL IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED 2 TO LOCALLY 5 INCHES THUS FAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Well, I thought it had let up, but it's still pouring. Over 1"/hr rates. Ditches are full and the water is overflowing into the streets. All of the yards have standing water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Well, I thought it had let up, but it's still pouring. Over 1"/hr rates. Ditches are full and the water is overflowing into the streets. All of the yards have standing water. Radar in motion 'appears' to show you're getting wrap-around rain now. We're still on the inflow side of the low, I guess. crazy system. Wouldn't this have been fun in the winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Radar in motion 'appears' to show you're getting wrap-around rain now. We're still on the inflow side of the low, I guess. crazy system. Wouldn't this have been fun in the winter? Haha, yeah that'll never happen. Congrats PGV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 We have had .65 so far today. Currently 77, dew point 75. Currently there is a Tornado warning for Onslow country just to the northeast of Jacksonville near Pumpkin Center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Tornado confirmed on the ground between Jacksonville and Maysville. Damage confirmed by local news station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 It went right over my house on kellum.. Unfortunately I left 5 mins prior to go out to eat lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Solak, it is pouring again. I thought we were done, but it has back-built west. We may end up with another inch. It is coming down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Yay, us! .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...AS OF 723 PM MONDAY......FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FROM CLINTON TO RALEIGH TO WARRENTON... EASTWARD...RADAR INDICATED A WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST JOHNSTON COUNTY. THIS LOW PRESSURE WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE NNE. SEVERAL BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE BEEN CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW CENTER... MAINLY ON THE EAST AND NORTH SIDE WHERE THE BEST ATLANTIC INFLOW CONTINUED. THIS INFLOW WAS BEING LIFTED UP AND OVER THE COASTAL FRONT LOCATED FROM RALEIGH TO ROANOKE RAPIDS. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN ON THE ORDER OF 0.5 TO 0.75 IN THE BANDS OVER SAMPSON... WAYNE... JOHNSTON... EASTERN WAKE... AND NOW INTO NASH... FRANKLIN AND HALIFAX COUNTIES. THIS WAS FALLING OVER AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED LOCALLY 6+ INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WILL BE LARGER THAN WHAT IS TRULY NEEDED. HOWEVER... THE STATEMENTS WILL TRY TO HONE IN ON AREAS THAT BECOME PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS ON A MORE LOCALIZED BASIS. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT SHOULD LINGER FOR AT LEAST 3-6 MORE HOURS... LONGER NE ZONES... GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE CIRCULATION ON RADAR AND THE INFLUX OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE UP AND OVER THE WARM FRONT FROM RDU TO RWI TO ROANOKE RAPIDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Cold Rain - still moderate rain over here as well. Another .43" since 6:00. Puts us over 3" since this morning. Makes me glad we missed out on those big storms y'all just to the West and East got yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Cold Rain - still moderate rain over here as well. Another .43" since 6:00. Puts us over 3" since this morning. Makes me glad we missed out on those big storms y'all just to the West and East got yesterday. Yeah, I haven't seen this much water around here since the Big Wet of last summer. We're in the jackpot zone on this one. The max bullseye on the Doppler estimate is literally right over my area. Over 6" now for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0357NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD732 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEASTERN VA/EASTERN NC/FAR NORTHEASTERN SC... CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE VALID 082332Z - 090402Z SUMMARY...HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN FALLING IN AN OVERRUNNINGFASHION ACROSS MUCH OF NC AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN VA. SOME OF THEMORE ENHANCED CONVECTION HAS NOW FOCUSED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO AMESOSCALE LOW WHICH IS SLOWLY TRACKING TOWARD THE NORTH AND EAST.EXPECT THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST 04Z. DISCUSSION...THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWED A FAIRLY SHARPMOISTURE GRADIENT IN PLACE ALONG THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WITH PWATSIN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES FROM SOUTHEASTERN VA DOWN ALONG COASTALSECTIONS OF NC/SC. THIS HAS BEEN THE LOCATION OF A WELL DEFINEDBAROCLINIC ZONE WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY IN NATURE. MUCH OF THEONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEEN SEEN NORTH AND WEST OF THISBOUNDARY WHERE OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN COMMONPLACEACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NC. MOST RECENTLY SOME OF THE ACTIVITY HASBECOME ENHANCED BY A MESOSCALE LOW WHICH IS DRIFTINGNORTHEASTWARD. EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO OCCUR IN THEVICINITY OF THIS LOW. SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND A VERY MOISTTROPOSPHERE WILL HELP CONTRIBUTE TO THE CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVYRAINFALL FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE IS A PRETTY STRONG SIGNALIN THE CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS THAT HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULDPERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WILL ALLOW THIS MPD TO CONTINUEUNTIL 04Z WITH THE THREAT BEING REEVALUATED AS NEWER GUIDANCEARRIVES.RUBIN-OSTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Light to moderate rain for the last hour. 2.01 so far for the day. Jacksonville getting hammered currently. The day wouldn't be complete without that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Cold Rain.... this anywhere around you? From the RAH Facebook page... Rain totals so far south of Garner (near McCullers) is 9.1 inches. We dumped 3.5 inches out of the gauge this morning after last night's storm and another 5.6 when I returned home from work this evening. This is some system! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Cold Rain.... this anywhere around you? From the RAH Facebook page... Rain totals so far south of Garner (near McCullers) is 9.1 inches. We dumped 3.5 inches out of the gauge this morning after last night's storm and another 5.6 when I returned home from work this evening. This is some system! Yup...just a couple miles away. Rainfall looks to be dissipating in my area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 We have gotten 1.01" today. Another Tornado warning for a radar indicated tornado just to the west of me and I never even knew it. oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Tornado confirmed on the ground between Jacksonville and Maysville. Damage confirmed by local news station. Seen this report http://www.witn.com/home/headlines/Hot-And-Sticky-With-Isolated-Storms-Across-Eastern-Carolina-On-Friday-274002961.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 858 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2014 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT FOR JOHNSTON...WESTERN WILSON...EASTERN WAKE AND WAYNE COUNTIES... AT 851 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING FROM EASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WESTERN JOHNSTON INTO SOUTHERN WAKE COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING FROM COATS CROSSROADS AND FOUR OAKS TO CLAYTON AND FUQUAY-VARINA. TO THE NORTH AND WEST ACROSS MUCH OF RALEIGH AND CARY... ONLY MINOR FLOODING WAS REPORTED. HOWEVER... FLOODING AT NIGHT IS TOO DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR WERE DETECTED WITH THIS BAND BY DOPPLER RADAR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WAS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND WILL FALL ON SATURATED GROUND. RADAR INDICATED THAT 6 TO 8 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL HAD ALREADY FALLEN IN NORTHWEST JOHNSTON COUNTY NEAR CLAYTON. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL RUNOFF RAPIDLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 .72" in last 90 minutes. Total since 3:30AM - 4.08" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 It's radar-estimated, but I found 6.64" in Cleveland area (halfway between Clayton and Benson) and 7.52" in Princeton area of Johnston County. Hate that I'm missing out on this event because I don't think JoCo have gotten this much rain since I moved in 5 years ago. Just to clarify that 6.64" measurement was in middle of dark red mass, not a pink pixel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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