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September Obs.


mackerel_sky

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It is amazing to me how the exact same spot on the Wake/Johnston Co line can get a storm 3 days in a row...5 miles from me, and I get nothing. 3 days in a row.

You've just been Waycrossed! I'm sorry ! :)

81 and dry

Edit: we were suppose to get some kind of sea breeze front or disturbance heading this way to provide the trigger for storms this afternoon, let me tell you how that went..... Went well if you wanted dry! :)

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You've just been Waycrossed! I'm sorry ! :)

81 and dry

Edit: we were suppose to get some kind of sea breeze front or disturbance heading this way to provide the trigger for storms this afternoon, let me tell you how that went..... Went well if you wanted dry! :)

Haha! How do you get a sea breeze?? A lake or pond breeze maybe....

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Well, the storms are popping as the boundaries collide --- we're going to miss them, but someone in the general triangle area going to get something. Fun stuff to watch develop.

 

I got some storms again last night and decent rain. Had three rounds of rain yesterday. One in the afternoon, another in the evening around 6:30, and some hard rain last night around midnight.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

AS OF 1130 AM FRIDAY...

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS APPEARS TO BE

CENTERED OVER NORTH-CENTRAL SC PER 15Z WV IMAGERY...WITH THE

WESTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE BEGINNING AT A

LATITUDE NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER. THUS...ANY SMALL AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE

ENERGY WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ALONG AND NORTH OF THE NC/VA BORDER

THROUGH TONIGHT...AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL LARGELY BE ABSENT

ASIDE FROM THE POSSIBILITY OF A SUBTLE DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN

THE RIDGE OVER THE CAROLINAS AND/OR THE POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL

AMPLITUDE WAVE GRAZING NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE STATE. FORCING FOR

ASCENT WILL BE CONFINED TO SHALLOW CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SEABREEZE

IN SE PORTIONS OF THE STATE...DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ON THE SLOPES OF

THE MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN NC....AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. A

HOMOGENEOUS...SEASONABLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL

TODAY...WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF UP TO ~2000 J/KG DURING PEAK HEATING.

WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...EXPECT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO BE TIED TO

THE SEABREEZE IN THE SOUTHEAST...ISOLD MOUNTAIN CONVECTION DRIFTING

EASTWARD INTO THE FAR NW PIEDMONT ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF

THE RIDGE...AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM EITHER OF THE AFOREMENTIONED

REGIONS. WILL CONTINUE TO INDICATE A 20-30% CHANCE DURING PEAK

HEATING...HIGHEST NW AND SE AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WITH CHANCES

DIMINISHING WITHIN SEVERAL HRS AFTER SUNSET. HIGHS SLIGHTLY ABOVE

NORMAL IN UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...LOWS IN LOWER 70S. -VINCENT

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