Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Mitch says Not so fast weenies Mitch @BerkshireWx 3m Models are likely overdone with regards to Thursday rain in #SNE. Mostly cloudy with some scattered showers is the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Mitch says Not so fast weenies Mitch @BerkshireWx 3m Models are likely overdone with regards to Thursday rain in #SNE. Mostly cloudy with some scattered showers is the way to go. Care to go double or nothing on our wager? If any of the SNE sites that we're in play record at least 0.50" on Thursday then my seats get upgraded to box seats and if not I get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Congrats all. Always good videos and discussion from Vencore http://vencoreweather.com/category/phl/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 If this were winter Kevin would be honking 8-14+ along and south of the pike...lol.and he would be right, lollies to 18, great signal Jerry it's what you were looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Thats simply not true. You did not have showers. You all mentioned A possible shower up to 95. But that would be extent of it. We all missed this one. Every single one of usuh no we talked about it Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 On second thought keep him around, I needed a good chuckle.perhaps you might think twice if you actually met him, take it from us old timers,let it go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Care to go double or nothing on our wager? If any of the SNE sites that we're in play record at least 0.50" on Thursday then my seats get upgraded to box seats and if not I get nothing.Nah I'm not ready to go there, but I do think these forecasts on here we're seeing of inches of rain and terrible conditions is too much. Won't be shocking at all to see models go back the other wAy with that big high there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 uh no we talked about it Sunday Lol, don't even engage in the hyperbole. It either "we all missed this horribly and had sunny skies" or "forecasts for inches and inches of rain"....there's nothing in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 IM forecasting sunny thur with no rain for sne area with heavy rain south of sne area . The heavy rain will stay over nj area then move out to sea . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 IM forecasting sunny thur with no rain for sne area with heavy rain south of sne area . The heavy rain will stay over nj area then move out to sea .storm cancel uncancel Blizz ,pretty solid model consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Lol, don't even engage in the hyperbole. It either "we all missed this horribly and had sunny skies" or "forecasts for inches and inches of rain"....there's nothing in between. I don't know Will. Mitch is a pretty solid met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 I don't know Will. Mitch is a pretty solid met His forecast is in-between...its a lighter rain event. Its plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 and he would be right, lollies to 18, great signal Jerry it's what you were looking fora bunch of people thought oct 2011 was a great signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 The 18z NAM is a heaping pile of crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Maybe we can cut this NYC to ORH and get the Ccb over powderfreak. Maybe some light icing orh and berks before over to rain. Maybe a 37f cold rain at logan. Might head up to stowe. If only..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Nam says great call Blizz 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 a bunch of people thought oct 2011 was a great signallot of people thought the PV would sit over AK last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Once again a huge difference between the 4k NAM and the regular NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 LOL...we warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 lot of people thought the PV would sit over AK last year.which further reinforces my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 which further reinforces my pointwe love to see fall Coastals that's for sure. Baroclinicity and a wetter pattern as we head into winter often precludes a stormy winter. We discussed this many times over the years, although not a 1 to 1 correlation fall noreasters are a great sign. A one time fluke storm was not agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 There has been many a time where while a NW trend was correct, the trend NW was too far in the 2-3 day out time period, only to re-correct itself SE as the event approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 There has been many a time where while a NW trend was correct, the trend NW was too far in the 2-3 day out time period, only to re-correct itself SE as the event approaches.Yup. We spoke of this earlier. A 1040 high doesn't just erode and allow inches of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 LOL...we warnedwait you just said 2 hours ago the NAM was junk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Man, Kevin is a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 sunny for thur no storm stays south for sne area . What is going on in here? This guy calls for big snowstorms all winter when high pressure is around, now he's saying sunny skies when a storm comes. And CTBlizz did the same thing, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Man, Kevin is a weenie.he must have missed the 18z hires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 wait you just said 2 hours ago the NAM was junkpics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 pics? picture this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 23, 2014 Share Posted September 23, 2014 Man, Kevin is a weenie. I will say, he never sits on the fence. He just hops back and forth across it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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