TalcottWx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 I see hints of this cool pattern attempting to change late month, but euro ensembles sort of squashes any attempt with lowering heights over the midwest sliding southeast towards the northeast us as the ridge in the west starts to rise once again. GFS ens 6z has negative anom's over us pretty much until +15 days out too. Any hoo, I think we see a warm up around the beginning of October, probably pretty transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 I noticed Debby Drought-lover hasn't posted about last night's Euro run.Becayse I think it's wrong for Sat nite. I don't seeing support for that. Seems to me most of rain is NYC south. Maybe a few showers into CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 72 hrs out with a secondary surface low near LI and a primary over NNE, could see rain limited to southern sne for sure. Wouldn't lock it up yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Transition zone for up here late Saturday, Euro has heavier showers with the secondary and GFS is weak with next to nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Becayse I think it's wrong for Sat nite. I don't seeing support for that. Seems to me most of rain is NYC south. Maybe a few showers into CT? Euro Ensembles on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 The jury may still be out up in New England for Saturday night but closer down towards NYC looks rather wet. Tuesday looks very interesting on the Euro as a fairly amplified trough goes negative tilt and our first potential noreaster' of the season forms south of Long Island. Some weak phasing actually occurs between the disturbance coming out of the deep south and northern stream energy swinging through the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Euro Ensembles on boardI'd be careful if I were you. A few showers into S Ct.. Sure. I'd be cautious about calling for an inch or more of heavy rain statewide without support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 I'd be careful if I were you. A few showers into S Ct.. Sure. I'd be cautious about calling for an inch or more of heavy rain statewide without support The Euro ensemble mean has widespread activity in all of New England for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 The Euro ensemble mean has widespread activity in all of New England for Saturday.That doesn't mean a thing. Expect PM run to back way off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 I'd be careful if I were you. A few showers into S Ct.. Sure. I'd be cautious about calling for an inch or more of heavy rain statewide without support Thanks for the meteorology tips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Sweet, rain showers. Franklin County is the MA precip jackpot this summer. Surely that will end come winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 That doesn't mean a thing. Expect PM run to back way off Have you seen the amplitude of the trough that we're working with? A stronger system makes sense here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Have you seen the amplitude of the trough that we're working with? A stronger system makes sense here.Nyc south sure. In a dry , drought pattern why go wet ? Let's wait before calling for inches of rain to Montreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Thanks for the meteorology tips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Nyc south sure. In a dry , drought pattern why go wet ? Let's wait before calling for inches of rain to Montreal We're undergoing a pattern change. Wave lengths are increasing, the northern stream jet is starting to drop further south. We're going to be talking about synoptic mesoscale systems rathern than pure convection which is always a crap shoot. At the temperature gradient increases over the next few weeks, model scores will improve thanks to baroclinic zones which are largely absent during the warm season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 11, 2014 Author Share Posted September 11, 2014 Sweet, rain showers. Franklin County is the MA precip jackpot this summer. Surely that will end come winter. Don't let that be the case. Please don't. Chilly day 63.4/63 with rn- . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Around 0.40" of rain so far today...nice consistent 0.1"/hr soaking. Yesterday's runs of the WRF4 had some orographic enhancement in this area and it's 0.5" estimate looks like it'll be close. BTV getting downsloped with only 0.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 11, 2014 Author Share Posted September 11, 2014 Around 0.40" of rain so far today...nice consistent 0.1"/hr soaking. Yesterday's runs of the WRF4 had some orographic enhancement in this area and it's 0.5" estimate looks like it'll be close. BTV getting downsloped with only 0.1". You guys up north are getting the lion's share. .04" here. 63.9/63. It sure is cold inside the Pit. Much cooler than outside. Shawl's needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Looks like mild and boring as zonal flow ends September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Looks like mild and boring as zonal flow ends September.Month number 4 in a row of this. Hope it ends before winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 About to put on the AC here... Sunny, 76/66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 About to put on the AC here... Sunny, 76/66 Same here. Not cool at all 77/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Very light rain here in AUG at present, and had some moderate showers earlier. Probably 1/4" or less in total, and since it looks from radar that it was about the same at my place, it might raise my 4-week precip by 50%, though still under an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Cool, raw day up here today. Slowing warming into the upper 60s though, but most of the day was low/mid 60s with showers. 67F right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Hope everyone tested their heaters out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Not a drop. And Awt Saturday dry breeds dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 11, 2014 Author Share Posted September 11, 2014 Cool, raw day up here today. Slowing warming into the upper 60s though, but most of the day was low/mid 60s with showers. 67F right now. Pretty much the same here. Mid-late afternoon we nudged up, topping at 69.1 thus far. 69.0/67 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 It's summery. Ok for a spell but obviously transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Foliage gonna be hideous this year. Dull and brown. Big leaf drop in today's wind and warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 It's summery. Ok for a spell but obviously transient. Sunsets before 7 now, heat needed this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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