Ginx snewx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 The haves and the have nots. Ugly this map might be the worst I have ever seen, Kevin explain to me how ISP gets 13 inches in 1 day and is below normal? i actually ended at or slightly above normal, seriously flawed data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Avg on temps and well above normal precip, Been a wet summer up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 this map might be the worst I have ever seen, Kevin explain to me how ISP gets 13 inches in 1 day and is below normal? i actually ended at or slightly above normal, seriously flawed data Lol good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Here's a better depiction with ISP fixed..Either way Eastern 2/3 of SNE ..very very dry and way below for summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Even better. Last 30 days. http://water.weather.gov/precip/?yesterday=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 LOL, no you didn't...not even close. You had all those storms while I sat here watching cirrus. What is your JJA total? Honestly. 10.62" here...FWIW about 3" below my normal. All those storms?? I'll have to do official tally but it's around 5-6 inches.. The only good rain all summer was that storm in August where everyone had 2+ Almost twice that here...did you miss a bunch of thunderstorms or something? If I ignore everything below a half inch, I still have over 8": 6/13-14: 0.87 6/25-26: 0.48 7/2-3: 0.55 7/3-4: 0.70 7/4-5: 0.85 7/14-15: 0.55 7/15-16: 0.90 7/27-28: 1.13 8/12-13: 0.46 8/13-14: 1.84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Last 30 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Desert dry here over the past 45 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Here's a better depiction with ISP fixed..Either way Eastern 2/3 of SNE ..very very dry and way below for summer map is still wrong ORH 114% of normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 It looks like the hemispheric pattern will be such that western ridging redevelops and some good cold shots penetrate into the Plains and Midwest. It may lose intensity as it moves east, but the pattern will change near and after mid month. Also, we should see more favorable conditions for WPAC Typhoons towards the end of the month as the subsidence from MJO wave moves east. That also will change the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Reservoir in Randolph is lower than I have ever seen it. Expect tighter restrictions coming soon. I also noticed riding on the train this week that some of the marsh ponds in Dedham along the Providence/Amtrak line are completely dry - just mud flats at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 The GFS shows a very active pattern taking shape in about ten days. Numerous tropical systems with the ridge in a favorable position for plenty of tropical moisture up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Wonder if that cold shot in Midwest next week will generate rains in the east ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 That is one beast of an elevated supercell in northern Wisconsin this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Wonder if that cold shot in Midwest next week will generate rains in the east ?looks likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 6z GFS slightly below to average @ 2m past Saturday. 850's hover around normal. Ensembles agree. Definitely a cooler pattern than we have had this recent week or so upcoming. Clear trof over the east on the 500mb anomalies. Clearly the coolest temperatures never make it this far east I don't think. 0z euro looks like it would be more active here. Warm air to our south, colder air coming in from Canada. Tighter gradient between leads me to believe we would see some storms etc as we head on into september. Doesn't look like the ridge in the west goes anywhere towards the end of the run either. 0z euro ensembles are very similar to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 The GFS shows a very active pattern taking shape in about ten days. Numerous tropical systems with the ridge in a favorable position for plenty of tropical moisture up this way. Interestingly enough, gfs ensembles do hint of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 euro op has development off Africa too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 this map might be the worst I have ever seen, Kevin explain to me how ISP gets 13 inches in 1 day and is below normal? i actually ended at or slightly above normal, seriously flawed data Haha yeah, all of NVT is also slightly wetter than normal for JJA I believe even if August was below normal precip. That map makes it look dry here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Scooter HP fetish on the GFS next week. In all seriousness, pretty big changes in the models, esp GFS as the ridge north of Maine at 500mb is now a trough helping to develop a very chilly rain..esp NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 First snows next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 So refreshing to see. Get this wretched pattern out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Scooter HP fetish on the GFS next week. In all seriousness, pretty big changes in the models, esp GFS as the ridge north of Maine at 500mb is now a trough helping to develop a very chilly rain..esp NNE. Flakes above 4,000' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 IDK about snow but this would sure be a drought buster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Flakes above 4,000' I took this photo yesterday for Scooter... the picnic tables are set-up and ready for snow . Every time I see the picnic tables either here or on the otherside by the Gondola I get a good chuckle. 20% chance they see snow in September (2 out of 10 years for the Co-Op). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Nice Great White shark attack on two kayakers off the Mass coast yesterday...they called them "exploratory bites." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 A few miles north of Messenger. He better be careful or a Great White will latch onto the tires of the John Deere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Nice Great White shark attack on two kayakers off the Mass coast yesterday...they called them "exploratory bites." image.jpg image.jpg Apparently they were observing seals off Plymouth! A week or two ago a beach just north of there in Duxbury was closed because of a great white sighting. I think they needed bigger kayaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Was it JAWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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