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September 2014


Rtd208

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Why is NE Pa under a shelter in place warning? Lol we need one of these this winter.

PAC089-201200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SHELTER IN PLACE WARNING

PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE MOUNT HOLLY NEW JERSEY

RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

806 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE

PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE.

THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE ARE ASKING ALL RESIDENTS OF BARRETT

AND PRICE TOWNSHIPS TO SHELTER IN PLACE IMMEDIATELY.

PLEASE DO NOT GO OUTDOORS AND REMAIN AWAY FROM WINDOWS OR OPENINGS

TO THE OUTSIDE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

$$

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Why is NE Pa under a shelter in place warning? Lol we need one of these this winter.

PAC089-201200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SHELTER IN PLACE WARNING

PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE MOUNT HOLLY NEW JERSEY

RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

806 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE

PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE.

THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE POLICE ARE ASKING ALL RESIDENTS OF BARRETT

AND PRICE TOWNSHIPS TO SHELTER IN PLACE IMMEDIATELY.

PLEASE DO NOT GO OUTDOORS AND REMAIN AWAY FROM WINDOWS OR OPENINGS

TO THE OUTSIDE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

$$

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2014/09/19/manhunt-continues-for-suspect-in-pa-barracks-shooting/

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After some warm weather this weekend, it'll cool down for early next week with some rather low lows Monday night and the it looks above normal to perhaps well above later in the week and next weekend. The above departures from earlier this month did manage to fall substantially but given the warm coming up and to end the month I would bet some places will still finish at +2 or beyond. 

 

Things also look bone dry for the next two weeks so any early leave change will be contributed to stress along with the natural foliage progression. Besides that one 10-15 minute downpour a couple Saturdays ago and some light rain in the morning once, we've barely seen much rain.

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After some warm weather this weekend, it'll cool down for early next week with some rather low lows Monday night and the it looks above normal to perhaps well above later in the week and next weekend. The above departures from earlier this month did manage to fall substantially but given the warm coming up and to end the month I would bet some places will still finish at +2 or beyond. 

 

Things also look bone dry for the next two weeks so any early leave change will be contributed to stress along with the natural foliage progression. Besides that one 10-15 minute downpour a couple Saturdays ago and some light rain in the morning once, we've barely seen much rain.

 

Agree with the warmest days (peak) likely occurring 9/26 - 9/28

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some warm spells 80 degrees or higher for three straight days for late September and October...

following is a list of years with at least three straight days 80 or better for late Sept. and on...2005 had three form the 21st-23rd but it was the end of a long warm spell...
Year..consecutive 80+ Max.
1881..9/23-9/28......6...91
1891..10/3-10/5......3...86
1895..9/20-9/23......4...97
1898..10/3-10/5......3...81
1905..9/28-9/30......3...88
1914..9/20-9/24......5...95
1920..9/23-9/26......4...88
1921..9/28-9/30......3...87
1922..9/30-10/3......4...88
1927..9/30-10/2......3...90
1930..9/20-9/26......7...87
1934..9/23-9/27......5...83
1941..9/21-9/23......3...91
1941..10/4-10/6......3...94
1946..9/25-9/27......3...83
1946..10/4-10/7......4...87
1948..9/27-9/29......3...84
1949..10/9-10/12....4...88
1950..10/1-10/3......3...86
1951..9/19-9/23......5...85
1954..10/1-10/4......4...86
1954..10/11-10/14...4...87
1959..9/21-9/24......4...90
1959..9/27-9/30......4...83
1959..10/4-10/6......3...88
1961..9/22-9/25......4...90
1965..9/21-9/23......3...88
1968..9/17-9/26....10...87
1968..10/1-10/3......3...85
1970..9/21-9/26......6...94
1972..9/25-9/27......3...86
1980..9/21-9/23......3...94
1984..9/23-9/25......3...86
2004..9/21-9/23......3...82
2007..9/25-9/27......3...87
2007..10/4-10/8......5...87
2010..9/22-9/25......4...89


1959 had three periods three days or more above 80.
1968 had two but it also had the longest streak for late September with 10.
 

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More intense storm offshore than models showed today. :

northeast.vis2.gif

pmsl.gif

And So much for the 80 plus degree weather today... that was certainly a bust. Perhaps next weekend we can squeeze out an 80? Looks like most spots will end up around normal for the month, a far cry from the "no doubt a well above normal month" talk by some during the first week.

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And So much for the 80 plus degree weather today... that was certainly a bust. Perhaps next weekend we can squeeze out an 80? Looks like most spots will end up around normal for the month, a far cry from the "no doubt a well above normal month" talk by some during the first week.

 

Much of the eastern half of PA is at or above 80 this evening. If not for the cloud deck from the storm offshore, we would have easily been reaching it across much of the tri-state, even with the light onshore flow. But all things considered (and you have to consider all things in meteorology) it was for naught. Dews in the mid 60s (even some 70 dewpoints in Brookhaven and Westhampton Beach the last hour) certainly making it feel less September like.

 

All about timing today, if we had swung a few hours sooner ahead of the FROPA, it would have cleared out, winds would have taken more southwesterly, scoured out the low level moisture from last nights rains, and 80s would have been widespread - it was conceivable. Wouldn't call it a bust.

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Much of the eastern half of PA is at or above 80 this evening. If not for the cloud deck from the storm offshore, we would have easily been reaching it across much of the tri-state, even with the light onshore flow. But all things considered (and you have to consider all things in meteorology) it was for naught. Dews in the mid 60s (even some 70 dewpoints in Brookhaven and Westhampton Beach the last hour) certainly making it feel less September like.

 

Been a few of instances this September/last few weeks where clouds lingered or clearing was delayed.   Ridge looks to remain in the east over the next week to 10 days.  Some onshore flow below the ridge should limit more warmth but suspect between the 26 and 30th a warm day (80+) or two may be in the cards.  Sep looks to finish solidly on the plus side.

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And So much for the 80 plus degree weather today... that was certainly a bust. Perhaps next weekend we can squeeze out an 80? Looks like most spots will end up around normal for the month, a far cry from the "no doubt a well above normal month" talk by some during the first week.

johnny one note

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