AvantHiatus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 You can blame the recent +NAO, lack of high lattitude blocking and the overall progressive nature of the pattern. When you're dealing with a positively tilted trough and strong flow it's very difficult to get a coastal up here. We run into this problem all the time during the winter months. Even though the energy was potent, it really had no room to slow down and amplify the pattern. Worked out pretty nicely last March down here. I'm tired of the SNJ specials tho... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 you should know his game by now So what do you think temps will be like from Saturday through Monday since your an expert? I was only stating what all Mets and NWS are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Worked out pretty nicely last March down here. I'm tired of the SNJ specials tho... 09-10 has to probably be ranked up near best winter of all time in your backyard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 09-10 has to probably be ranked up near best winter of all time in your backyard? Snowiest winter on record. I blame AGW and the resulting insane -NAO we had during that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 So what do you think temps will be like from Saturday through Monday since your an expert? I was only stating what all Mets and NWS are saying. Doubt we see any sub 70 degree days unless we get an overcast day. Forecasts are saying low 70s..which will be bumped up to mid 70s in the normally warmer spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 There's no huge mechanism for great below normal departures right now and probably none for above either except this Thursday of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 There's no huge mechanism for great below normal departures right now and probably none for above either except this Thursday of course. Cool weather this time of year is almost always overdone as it tends to moderate considerably. We're getting to where average highs will be in the mid 70s so high of 70-73 is no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Cool weather this time of year is almost always overdone as it tends to moderate considerably. We're getting to where average highs will be in the mid 70s so high of 70-73 is no big deal. Could become the coldest period until Halloween if the CFS verifies. I have noticed a reoccuring pattern since late August where the cold fronts fail to materialize beyond 6 days out. This is perhaps due to the massive WAR sitting out in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Weather wise September is probably one of the dullest months out there especially if the tropics are dead but it's also one of the most pleasant months of the entire year. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s is ideal weather for many once outside the beach and pool season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Didnt Yanks say this week was going to be rainy and cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Summer is always boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Didnt Yanks say this week was going to be rainy and cool it's cloudy and cool. Stop trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Could become the coldest period until Halloween if the CFS verifies. I have noticed a reoccuring pattern since late August where the cold fronts fail to materialize beyond 6 days out. This is perhaps due to the massive WAR sitting out in the Atlantic. We want sept and october to be above normal especially well north and west of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Could become the coldest period until Halloween if the CFS verifies. I have noticed a reoccuring pattern since late August where the cold fronts fail to materialize beyond 6 days out. This is perhaps due to the massive WAR sitting out in the Atlantic. What is the Skill Level for this forecast. A week ago it showed the MidWest below normal for Oct., didn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 The latest Euro weeklies keep the ridge anchored to our east for the rest of the month so more of the same with easterly flow tempering the warmth and cool potential. Thursday could be the last chance for Central Park to hit 85 for the rest of the month. Overall pattern looks like typical mid to late September temperatures for our area. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/09/08/monthly-ecmwf-run-ridge-stays-nearby/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Showers moving in off the ocean over Monmouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 it's cloudy and cool. Stop trolling This. Winterwarlock quit trying to start stuff on this forum. Yanks puts himself out there in a field that is not exact. Come up with something better than that crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Welcome to Autumn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Enjoy it while it lasts...highs in the low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Onshore flow is beginning to moisten up in the metro as drizzle and showers moving in http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Enjoy it while it lasts...highs in the low 70s. Beautiful days, comfortable nights. It's the simple things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 The 18z NAM now just barely misses the coast with the rain tomorrow morning. Another 50 mile shift NW and it's pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Since when is partly sunny and 76 cool for september Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Since when is partly sunny and 76 cool for september The shore is 68 and overcast with on and off drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 The shore is 68 and overcast with on and off drizzle So is the rest of the state of NJ, maybe a little warmer. Nobody believes that he's partly sunny. It brightened up here around 3:00 for about ten minutes but the visible loop shows the overcast moving back in as the next low attempts to come up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 The shore is 68 and overcast with on and off drizzle 76 degrees here, feels like Miami on a bad day. Watch out for that low, it's over water now and might make a run for warm core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 9, 2014 Share Posted September 9, 2014 Since when is partly sunny and 76 cool for september Central Park was -5 for the high today. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 73 1244 PM 94 1915 78 -5 73 MINIMUM 63 616 AM 48 1883 63 0 57 AVERAGE 68 70 -2 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 10, 2014 Share Posted September 10, 2014 Sorry but was partly sunny for a couple hours and yes I did hit 76..make that 77 .check smq or whatever the abbreviation is...so no troll here bit the ones tryong to dispute me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 10, 2014 Share Posted September 10, 2014 Leave it to the easterly flow to limit the temperature potential like we saw happen in August. NYC 7 81 65 73 2 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 12 50 M M 2 17 50 8 75 65 70 -1 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 7.7 14 70 M M 1 21 60 9 73 63 68 -2 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 7.9 15 70 M M 8 23 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 10, 2014 Share Posted September 10, 2014 Calgary is having nice snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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