Spartman Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Maxed out at 74F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Failed to hit 60F again in MKE. Interestingly, more than half our highs this month have been in the 50s or 80s. Typically September does not experience big temp swings compared to the spring months, 60s and 70s are much more common than flipping between the 80s and 50s. Interesting month except in the thunderstorm department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Maxed out at 62°. Mostly cloudy all day. 7 day forecast doesn't look bad at all. Month is about -1.1° here, month to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 You're up pretty high for that area. The surface of Lake Superior is about 602 ft. You'll get some orographic lift where you're located. Looking forward to your picture posts in the future! Was jealous last winter with the snow depths at your house. This winter there will need to be weenie warnings posted with your pics. Congrats on the new house... So when is the house warming party?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Was jealous last winter with the snow depths at your house. This winter there will need to be weenie warnings posted with your pics. Congrats on the new house... So when is the house warming party?? He's going to have snow on the ground by Thanksgiving most likely. Talk about an area that has a extended snow pack every winter. --- Chillin' off into the low 50s late this evening. Seemed to have lost the clouds for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Eh? DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKNWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0103 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014VALID 201200Z - 211200Z...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER GREATLAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST......SUMMARY...STRONG TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURINGSATURDAY OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST REGIONS. A FEW OFTHE SEVERE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS. OTHER STRONG TOISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLEFROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIESTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN....SYNOPSIS...PROGRESSIVE AND MODESTLY AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL EXIST FROMTHE NORTHERN PLAINS EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND ONSATURDAY. A LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY CROSSING THE NORTHERNROCKIES WILL MOVE EAST TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY ANDTHEN UNDERGO FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAYAS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE IMPULSE ACCELERATES SOUTHEAST OUT OFSOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADINGDISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN WI/LOWERMI AND PARTS OF INDIANA/IL COINCIDENT WITH DAYTIMEHEATING/DESTABILIZATION AND STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS.A CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW NOW TAKING SHAPE OVER CA IS FORECAST TO DRIFTINLAND/EASTWARD THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ON THEEASTERN FLANK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPINGE UPON ANTECEDENTSUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN....LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER MIDWEST...SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD ALONGAND AHEAD OF A MODEST COLD FRONT SPREADING SOUTHEAST FROM THE UPPERMS VALLEY AND NORTHERN LOWER MI. LIFT ALONG THE FRONT SHOULDINCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS DEVELOPOVER WI/LM. RELATIVELY STOUT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOWSHOULD AID MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST/LOWERMI...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS LIKELY CLIMBING INTO THE LOW-MID 60S FBY AFTERNOON. WHILE EARLY DAY STORMS MAY STRUGGLE FROM LACK OFSTRONGER SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION...SUFFICIENTLY STEEPMID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7 C/KM MAY EXIST ACROSS SOUTHERN WI TOSUPPORT STRONGER UPDRAFTS AND PERHAPS HAIL. STRONGER DESTABILIZATIONAPPEARS LIKELY TO EVOLVE FROM MS VALLEY EASTWARD TO NORTHERN IL/INDTHROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A CORRIDOR OF SBCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 800-1200J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND CO-LOCATED WITH STRENGTHENINGUNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 35-40KT COULD SUPPORT THEDEVELOPMENT OR MORE ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT STORMS FROM THE IL/WIBORDER EAST TO NORTHERN IND AND LOWER MI. THIS ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVEINTO FAST-MOVING LINE SEGMENTS AND OR A FEW SUPERCELLS THROUGH THEEARLY EVENING HOURS. DESPITE A CONTINUATION OF LIFT ALONG THEADVANCING FRONT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED HIGH WIND AND SEVERE HAILTHREATS ARE LIKELY TO WANE BY EVENING AS EASTWARD-MOVING STORMSENCOUNTER DIMINISHING INSTABILITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 i've been looking forward to saturday all week...should be a nice quick hitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 I was hoping for Sat to be on the water for the last session of the year. By the wind forecast it looks to be too windy, another wasted nice day of the 2014 boating season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 i've been looking forward to saturday all week...should be a nice quick hitter Already in winter mode I see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Too lazy to make a thread for a day but ingredients are there if ongoing/clouds don't ruin it. Maybe a WNW flow supercell or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Capping looks to be an issue tomorrow. Big warm nose centered at 875 mb at mid day on the 12z NAM sounding. 4 km NAM is very sparse with coverage until the southeast CWA later in the day. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Capping looks to be an issue tomorrow. Big warm nose centered at 875 mb at mid day on the 12z NAM sounding. 4 km NAM is very sparse with coverage until the southeast CWA later in the day. Sent from my SM-G900V yeah it's pretty pronounced on the 12z NAM fcst soundings west of here at 21z but it's gone at 0z. Won't know much till a morning vis sat loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 yeah, 4km NAM is sparse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 yeah, 4km NAM is sparse Looks like it hits MI pretty nicely though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Very nice day today. Wind off the lake slightly is cutting temps a bit areas within a couple miles of the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Northern half of MN now in a slight risk for tomorrow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 SPC chuckin me deep for here tomorrow RIGHT-MOVING CELLS WILL EXPERIENCE GREATER LEVELS OF SRH AND WITH A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE AS WELL CONDITIONAL ON SUPERCELLULAR STORM MODE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Afternoon outlook didn't sound too concerned about capping although it mentioned weak forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 Typhoon winds this afternoon.. Been watching this..."Indian" summer for sure: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted September 19, 2014 Share Posted September 19, 2014 SPC chuckin me deep for here tomorrow RIGHT-MOVING CELLS WILL EXPERIENCE GREATER LEVELS OF SRH AND WITH A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE AS WELL CONDITIONAL ON SUPERCELLULAR STORM MODE. Weenie run of the day is definitely the 12z SPC WRF. Nice northwest flow supercell across northern IL later in the day with high hourly max updraft helicities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Managed to reach 72° today. Very pleasant out tonight - 65°/46° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Topped out at 75F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Northern Minnesota today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 For the 12z update, the SPC expanded the Slight Risk area eastward to DEtroit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Hoping the storms will hold off until after the Michigan game... Although it'd be especially ironic since the marching ban is supposedly doing a weather-themed half time show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 In galena, il area....wasn't expecting much in the way of storms here today...but the skies have cleared somewhat and it is getting pretty warm and muggy out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Looking good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Hoping the storms will hold off until after the Michigan game... Although it'd be especially ironic since the marching ban is supposedly doing a weather-themed half time show Looking at the HRRR, numerous thunderstorms are possible in SE Michigan after 20-21z. CAPE will be 500-1000 J/kg with wind shear of 35-40 knots. Maybe a better chance for severe weather in Indiana. Dew points are a little higher in Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 after a brief popup, it looks like i'm in the clear with storms setting off just south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted September 20, 2014 Share Posted September 20, 2014 Meso discussion out from SPC concerning possible svr t storm watch for northern/central IL and northern IN. Prob 40% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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