Thundersnow12 Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Lol 12z GFS gets 850's down to below 0 here at 240hrs and even colder up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Lol 12z GFS gets 850's down to below 0 here at 240hrs and even colder up north. depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Lol 12z GFS gets 850's down to below 0 here at 240hrs and even colder up north. Good... we have a chance at early season frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Good... we have a chance at early season frost. Yeah just what we need after a late start to spring, an early killing frost. That sure is good for growers and the economy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 wow, people already with 240 GFS "output". the lol at the beginning of his post was your clue to take it seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Yeah just what we need after a late start to spring, an early killing frost. That sure is good for growers and the economy... 10 days out would put us around mid month. The frost would be about 10-20 days early if it happened. My average first frost is Oct 1st -Oct 10th.. So, that would be early. I'm not sure if that would be a killing frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 10 days out would put us around mid month. The frost would be about 10-20 days early if it happened. My average first frost is Oct 1st -Oct 10th.. So, that would be early. I'm not sure if that would be a killing frost. Lots of frost around here in farm land don't happen until late October/Early November because of the lake. That early of a frost would be devastating here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 3, 2014 Share Posted September 3, 2014 Wow, that's a really significant "cold" shot for mid-September! Crazy seeing the top 1/2 of MN below -5*C 850mb temps! Hanging around 78* right now with a SE wind. Meanwhile the RPM is showing a thunderstorm complex for SE WI and extreme NE IL for tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Barring any convection/convective debris issues, Detroit has at least one last shot at 90*F or greater Thursday and Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Lol 12z GFS gets 850's down to below 0 here at 240hrs and even colder up north. Good... Said only Jonger1150... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 heck of a northwoods cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Wow, that's a really significant "cold" shot for mid-September! Crazy seeing the top 1/2 of MN below -5*C 850mb temps! Hanging around 78* right now with a SE wind. Meanwhile the RPM is showing a thunderstorm complex for SE WI and extreme NE IL for tomorrow morning. hi-res NAM has been showing something similar but i expect a more rapid weakening than advertised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 True Alek, that'd be one intense squall line for early in the morning in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Topped out at 85F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Getting side swiped by the line with that monster cell attached. Amazing light show east of here in NW WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 hi-res NAM has been showing something similar but i expect a more rapid weakening than advertised Probably be a heavy rain event with some lightning. Something to look out for when I get up in the morning. 4km NAM http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/rad20.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Probably be a heavy rain event with some lightning. Something to look out for when I get up in the morning. WPC agrees: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 WPC agrees: Their 7 day precip map may end up being laughable, it has a small area of 5"+ in SE Wisconsin with a max of around 5.7" for its estimated precip in the next week. We'll see how it pans out, I think we'll see a couple inches of precip on the average, but they are going full bore on the heavy rain potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Like the area really needs more rain... 4km NAM, 0z run is not as impressive with a line. Line is really cranking up near Eau Claire right now. High 81° today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Tonight's complex will miss well to the northeast of here/QC late tonight/tomorrow morning. Next event will be some decaying sloppy seconds late tomorrow night that will evolve out of MN/IA. Sort of looking forward to the cool weekend with football starting back up this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Alek was right regarding the N Wisconsin squall line, it is losing its punch considerably already. Now it looks like what to watch for will be a batch of WAA showers and storms around daybreak for both the Milwaukee and Chicago areas. It will likely bring a potential for heavy rain and may affect temps later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Have 92 in the point for tomorrow. 00z 4km NAM says 94. Either way it's looking like a good shot at 90, and will more than likely be it for the year. So far up to this point have only had 4 90+ days in 2014. 1 in June, 1 in July, and 2 in August. In contrast we had 4 in May 2012 alone lol. Had 48 90+ days in 2012, with many of those 100+. 2012 and 2014 are both extremes at both ends of the scale respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 hi-res NAM has been showing something similar but i expect a more rapid weakening than advertised Bad call Great light show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Heavy rain with lightning here. Pretty good show! I think the area can forget about 90° today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 yeah, looks like another 90 bust in the making best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 Didn't expect the stuff that blew up out near Des Moines to thrive like it did. Getting a lot of CG action around this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 I saw an interesting tweet this morning regarding NWS Gaylord issuing more Tornado warnings this year than NWN Norman OK! I wonder the last time that ever happened?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 yeah, looks like another 90 bust in the making best climo Lol, it is getting a little pathetic how badly the local mets here are rooting for 90F and continually forecasting exactly 90F, only to likely bust again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 More monster cells doing work in the Northwoods this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 4, 2014 Share Posted September 4, 2014 That storm near Hayward is quite the doozy, both on radar and with reports (80mph winds and baseball size hail). Obs last hour there were 64F and foggy. Not exactly your typical severe environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.