Gilbertfly Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 looks to stay south and west of our area Agree...unless something really formidable can blow up and do it's own thing away from the boundary Cyclone and Hawkeye's turn? they're due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 could still see something go up with the lake breeze later but yeah, this looks like an event for our friends out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Almost a straight vertical line on the gauge at Lafayette. Forecast crest was raised into minor flood but still looks like the river is rising quicker than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Current height of the East Branch DuPage River here in Bolingbrook has moved into #8 on it's all time list and is still rising as heavy rains from up north this morning continue to work their way down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Had a great lightning show to my north and ne last night where I knew the more intense storms would be located precip wise. Only a little over an inch here in nw Hancock County ne of Indpls. Blackford county certainly takes the honors with this episode. Will be interesting to see what happens tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 In June 2008, we received a report of 10.71" from Edinburgh, but it was declared unofficial and did not break the state record. I cannot remember the source of that report though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 In June 2008, we received a report of 10.71" from Edinburgh, but it was declared unofficial and did not break the state record. I cannot remember the source of that report though. I found a 10.94" report from the Edinburgh fire department...does that ring a bell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 We can probably safely say the top two are bunk (and the West Lafayette one at the bottom, note the date ), but here's a list of the highest one-day precipitation totals for all climatological sites in Indiana. Not sure how official these are of course. Data from here: http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 And just for the heck of it, the Illinois list. We know #1 is legit on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 I found a 10.94" report from the Edinburgh fire department...does that ring a bell? Not really. The highest we recorded was the 10.71" as our archive page shows: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ind/?n=june0708flood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 still remember the aurora day like it was yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wakingrufus Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 still remember the aurora day like it was yesterdayMe too! Every other flood seems slightly unimpressive after seeing that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 23, 2014 Author Share Posted August 23, 2014 Concerning the Blackford County measurements, I can't vouch for the 10"+ reading, but I know the CoCoRaHS member who reported the 9.70" reading. He is a retired firefighter and his son is the EMA director in Blackford County. Another interesting happening from down there, a house caught on fire today in the northern part of the county and Conservation Officers had to take firefighters by boat and actually fight the fire from the boats because flood waters surrounded the house. I am 56 years old and know the area and have NEVER seen flood waters there. Simply amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 My local river nearing some rare air.... You can see where the combo of Thursday morning's heavy rain here locally....then this mornings heavier rains upstream have provided a 1 - 2 punch on the East Branch... Every time a new forecast gets put out, the river seems to rise above it within the next reading or 2...(judging by the list, I'm guessing it doesn't go back extremely far...but at least 18 years) here are the record historical crests...the dates are fairly memorable most likely for most in and around LOT.... Historical Crests(1) 25.54 ft on 04/18/2013(2) 24.04 ft on 09/14/2008(3) 23.75 ft on 07/18/1996(4) 22.55 ft on 02/22/1997(5) 22.11 ft on 10/14/2001(6) 21.42 ft on 01/13/2005(7) 20.94 ft on 01/24/1999(8) 20.61 ft on 05/08/1998(9) 20.32 ft on 08/28/2004(10) 20.16 ft on 04/21/2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Some decent CAPE with a limited cap in front of that line coming out of Iowa... I know forcing gets weaker as it goes east and should cause it to weaken... but still looks decent thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 we'll see if it can leave a boundary for the lake breeze to work with later but my convective chances look sketchy today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 23, 2014 Author Share Posted August 23, 2014 Although SPC is saying that a watch is unlikely, I've got feeling that loLAF is going to get crushed. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1602 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1118 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS INTO WRN INDIANA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 231618Z - 231815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE WITH STORMS OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE PROBABILITY OF A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH ISSUANCE STILL SEEMS LOW...BUT TRENDS IN STORM COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS CONVECTION PERSISTS WITH A BAND OF FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE NOW PROGRESSING AROUND/THROUGH THE CREST OF MID-LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE SPREADING EASTWARD INTO THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA THROUGH THE 18-19Z TIME FRAME...BUT THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS BECOMING FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE LINE ADVANCING NEAR/NORTH THROUGH EAST OF PEORIA...AIDED BY INFLOW OF SOMEWHAT WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR. AS INHIBITION FOR VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS /WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70SF/ CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH INSOLATION ...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF CONVECTION OR SUBSTANTIVE NEW DEVELOPMENT APPEARS PROBABLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS OR TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE PEORIA/BLOOMINGTON/DECATUR AREA. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF WEAK TO MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES... SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER WELL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES...IS SUPPORTING SIZABLE CAPE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION LOADING. THIS COULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASING RISK FOR STRONG DOWNBURSTS...AND PERHAPS AN EXPANDING/STRENGTHENING SURFACE COLD POOL. WITH DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW FIELDS TRANSITIONING FROM LIGHT WESTERLY TO LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS ILLINOIS INTO INDIANA...THE TENDENCY MAY BE FOR STRONGEST STORMS TO EVENTUALLY TAKE ON A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY PROPAGATION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HORUS. ..KERR/MEAD.. 08/23/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 nice CAPES and little cap in front of the line... talk about a ridge rider....kinda fun to watch the extended radar loop on this one going back to last night EDIT: very high frequency to the lightning north of Freeport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Nice band on radar crossing Route 39 and headed east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 It got intensely muggy in front of that line...1 to 2 inches looks plausible with some non severe winds Hard to tell exactly....but looks like some sort of lake breeze or lake boundary has made it to the western edge of cook county...could see some interesting action there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 More storms blowing up ahead of the line as it approaches Aurora... Cell blowing up to my SW, near Romeoville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Can't tell if there is a funky little notch in NW Kendal County....anyone else seeing it? EDIT....NM it's gone now....prolly just a little outflow interaction as the new storms started blowing up in front of the main line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 we'll see if it can leave a boundary for the lake breeze to work with later but my convective chances look sketchy today terrible call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Hard to tell exactly....but looks like some sort of lake breeze or lake boundary has made it to the western edge of cook county...could see some interesting action there not so much interesting as just bad luck for areas hit hard yesterday.... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 117 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014 .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... 115 PM CDT LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING EAST INTO THE CHICAGOLAND AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THIS HAS SHOWN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND WITH LESS LIGHTNING...DESTABILIZATION ACROSS NORTHWEST IN...EASTERN IL...AND INTO THE SOUTH CHICAGO METRO THE PAST FEW HOURS SHOULD AID IN THE ACTIVITY TO AT LEAST PERSIST WITH HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. IN ADDITION...CONVERGENCE FROM THE SYSTEM OUTFLOW AND THE LAKE BREEZE HAS ALREADY FIRED A FEW ADDITIONAL CELLS AND THAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO OCCUR IN SUBURBAN AREAS THROUGH 2-3 PM. THE AREA OF STORMS ALSO SHOULD FURTHER SLOW AS IT RUNS INTO THE MARINE LAYER. THIS MAY CAUSE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES TO PERSIST OVER THE SAME URBAN AREAS FOR A WHILE...INCLUDING THOSE THAT WERE HIT HARD LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL BE MONITORING CLOSELY. SEVERE THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL...WITH MAINLY THE FAR SOUTHEAST CWA BEING THE ONE AREA THAT COULD SEE AN ISOLATED FLARE UP TO THAT LEVEL. NOW THAT AREAS HAVE BEEN RAIN COOLED...WILL ADJUST TEMPERATURES CONSIDERABLY DOWNWARD THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Had some solid boomers and heavy rainfall as the line moved through rockford. Very nice summertime storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Another solid storm here. Pulsed up nicely just before getting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 terrible call That's the nature of MCVs when they ride around these heat ridges... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Looks like it's about 9:00pm at Wrigley right now. Katie bar the door, it gonna rain there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Moderate street flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2014 Share Posted August 23, 2014 Moderate street flooding Best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.