robertgny Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 Worst winter I can remember in a long time. There have been some duds but this one takes the cake for me. With that said I am punting on winter 2014-15. There just is no way we can muster a substantial snowstorm in this pattern. We need an Archambeault event ideally to flip the nao into a better phase. We have had perfect tracks and still cant get a storm to produce. The sick part is that I said this 6 weeks ago....the fantasy storm is a mirage this winter and always 7 days away. The writing is on the wall. If there are any threats you bet I will be here but with nothing on the horizon, im out for now. Peace Jma has a monster blizzard next weekend....HECS potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2015 Share Posted January 16, 2015 JAM is a pos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 JAM is a pos JAM is a pos The JMA had its 15 minutes of fame by being the first to sniff out the Feb 2006 storm. Maybe 9 years later it is due for another 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Worst winter I can remember in a long time. There have been some duds but this one takes the cake for me. With that said I am punting on winter 2014-15. There just is no way we can muster a substantial snowstorm in this pattern. We need an Archambeault event ideally to flip the nao into a better phase. We have had perfect tracks and still cant get a storm to produce. The sick part is that I said this 6 weeks ago....the fantasy storm is a mirage this winter and always 7 days away. The writing is on the wall. If there are any threats you bet I will be here but with nothing on the horizon, im out for now. Peace A -4F January with <5" snow would be hateful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Worst winter I can remember in a long time. There have been some duds but this one takes the cake for me. With that said I am punting on winter 2014-15. There just is no way we can muster a substantial snowstorm in this pattern. We need an Archambeault event ideally to flip the nao into a better phase. We have had perfect tracks and still cant get a storm to produce. The sick part is that I said this 6 weeks ago....the fantasy storm is a mirage this winter and always 7 days away. The writing is on the wall. If there are any threats you bet I will be here but with nothing on the horizon, im out for now. Peace yeah you have to go back all the way to 2011-12 to find a morbid winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Here you go Ralph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 looking for a few inches of snow late tomorrow up north. liked the look of the 12z gfs Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 looking for a few inches of snow late tomorrow up north. liked the look of the 12z gfs Best. yeah, this could be an interesting setup. not sure what to expect. still a couple inches of snowpack up here. and ralphie cakes, even GFS is at-least giving hints of something big for next weekend. (season not over yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Worst winter I can remember in a long time. There have been some duds but this one takes the cake for me. With that said I am punting on winter 2014-15. There just is no way we can muster a substantial snowstorm in this pattern. We need an Archambeault event ideally to flip the nao into a better phase. We have had perfect tracks and still cant get a storm to produce. The sick part is that I said this 6 weeks ago....the fantasy storm is a mirage this winter and always 7 days away. The writing is on the wall. If there are any threats you bet I will be here but with nothing on the horizon, im out for now. Peace Moe: You'll be back!!! And you, And you (to Barney). And you. Barney: Of course I'll be back, if you didn't close I'd never leave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 From Sacrus over at the NY forum TTN is-3.6 degrees through mid month and nothing so far as snow to show for it. One positive is that Lake Carnegie in Princeton is open for skating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 From Sacrus over at the NY forum TTN is-3.6 degrees through mid month and nothing so far as snow to show for it. One positive is that Lake Carnegie in Princeton is open for skating. At the 'rents...2015-01-03 0.1" 2015-01-06 1.1" 2015-01-09 0.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 FWIW, i think the storm tomorrow might start out as a period of sleet/ZR NW of Philly. Could be pretty slick in the early morning tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 FWIW, i think the storm tomorrow might start out as a period of sleet/ZR NW of Philly. Could be pretty slick in the early morning tomorrow. It could happen as far southeast as TTN. Not a guarantee, but the NAM keeps the low levels cold. I'll make a thread for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Mostly Clear in NW Chesco Temp 27.0 RH 54% DP 12.6 High Today was 29.9 with a low of 13.6 This was the 11th sub-32 day So far through today our average temp for January is 24.8 which is 6.3 degrees below average for January - if the month ended today this would be the 11th coldest January in the 122 year history here in Chester County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Worst winter I can remember in a long time. There have been some duds but this one takes the cake for me. With that said I am punting on winter 2014-15. There just is no way we can muster a substantial snowstorm in this pattern. We need an Archambeault event ideally to flip the nao into a better phase. We have had perfect tracks and still cant get a storm to produce. The sick part is that I said this 6 weeks ago....the fantasy storm is a mirage this winter and always 7 days away. The writing is on the wall. If there are any threats you bet I will be here but with nothing on the horizon, im out for now. Peace A bad winter builds character. I still expect snow and possibly big storms for the next 7-10 weeks.( in my area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 A bad winter builds character. I think you need several bad winters in a row to build character. One bad winter just makes you look forward to the next one with high expectations to balance the bad one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Worcester, PA. 25 degrees - 8:20 PM - Will be interesting to see how fast it warms up in the AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Media Delaware County partly cloudy 23 much colder than I thought 42 in Pittsburgh something I'd going to give woe 20 degree difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I think you need several bad winters in a row to build character. One bad winter just makes you look forward to the next one with high expectations to balance the bad one. Going from a good one to a bad one is no fun no matter how much character you've built! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Media Delaware County 30 dew point 26 light freezing rain everything glazed wind NNE 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Media Delaware County partly cloudy 23 much colder than I thought 42 in Pittsburgh something is going to give woe 20 degree difference I wanted to pull the freezing rain trigger last night I wished I would have thinking back to what was going on last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 SNOW WARS 2015 Philly DC NYC Boston Death Star is in orbit in northern West Chester "A long long time ago on the east coast of the United States..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 i will never understand how people pull the plug on winter when we haven't hit our snowiest month yet. Obviously some of the forecasts for a robust winter are going to bust, but pulling the plug completely?? Plus, there are some favorable signs for a pattern change as we head into February. I have always felt that people put too much weight on long-term winter forecasts, there are obviously some factors that you can look to in terms of giving you a rough idea, but it is a very inexact science and there is a lot of guesswork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Another cold miserable rain day! This could be a record winter for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Beautiful ice flows along the Neshaminy creek today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 NOBODY should complain about this winter having experienced the last few.....how else do you come up with an "average" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Pretty heavy fog here at 31 deg First Freezing fog of the season Driveway/patio still a sheet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 0z GFS makes me want to hurl, cold and sometimes witches teet cold for next two weeks and nothing but traces. Nice warming in western Canada though out towards February so maybe early spring if the gods be merciful. Yeah i know it will be different in 6 hours...different in a bad way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 0z GFS makes me want to hurl, cold and sometimes witches teet cold for next two weeks and nothing but traces. Nice warming in western Canada though out towards February so maybe early spring if the gods be merciful. Yeah i know it will be different in 6 hours...different in a bad way Only reason I am slightly intrigued by this and posted it is because the NAVGEM is usually progressive and flat so for it to be showing this sort of solution should raise an eyebrow or two: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Only reason I am slightly intrigued by this and posted it is because the NAVGEM is usually progressive and flat so for it to be showing this sort of solution should raise an eyebrow or two: I would give your point credence if there weren't so many S/W's floating around between now and then for that model to confuse itself. Doesn't take much for a model w/ a progressive bias to miss the timing of one the s/w passing through to show something like that. What I am trying to say is if there weren't so many variables on the table to "confuse itself" with the timing and such then I'd buy into the thinking you mention. There is still potential for this time period b/c all the models have something there and some of the ensembles still have a few members with an event, but time is quickly running out for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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