Ralph Wiggum Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 We have a solid shot at something between 12/28-1/5....if that period doesn't produce then it's a really bad sign for this winter. Potential is there, but as Bastardi would say, "You can't shovel potential". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I think the righting was on the wall when the Nov QBO came in at -23.65 and continues to go deeply negative at 30mb. Tough to get a stout -NAO winter with a ripping -QBO in the fall months leading into December. Obviously too early to cancel winter but this surely was a warning sign if we bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Got down to 22F here earlier (24F now). I don't keep temperature records, but it's been a while since it was that cold overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Did you have as lousy a fall as I had? One striper from the surf....thats it. Same story from most of my buddies. Had a great spring from the surf, just not fall. Wondering if you made out better on the water? Yes the concensus here is that it was a bad season for stripers. The spring run has been more reliable than the fall in recent years. It seems that the fish bypass the cape in the fall as water temps are high then crash in Dec. I really didn't have time to get out anyway. Been hunting tho. Nice weather for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yes the concensus here is that it was a bad season for stripers. The spring run has been more reliable than the fall in recent years. It seems that the fish bypass the cape in the fall as water temps are high then crash in Dec. I really didn't have time to get out anyway. Been hunting tho. Nice weather for that. Yeah, never had much luck from North Wildwood South to Cape May in the fall. During the mullet run it's all the blues you could want, but mainly the resident 24-28" bass around. Farther North you go in the fall, the better your chances. Like I said, in the spring down in Cape May it was literally routine: wait for low tide, hook a bunker chunk, wade out 50 yards, cast, wait 15 minutes, reel in keeper striper (ranged anywhere from 32"-48"). One of the best springs ever actually. They are talking about changing the regs next year to either 1 fish at 28"+ and a slot at 20-26" or just one fish at 28"+. Now I really wish the weakies would come back. I know the spots where you can catch all the spikes you want, but those big tiderunners are a thing of the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The clouds have certainly helped this month average on the + side of normal so far... highs have been close to normal, maybe slightly above, but lows have been several degrees above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The clouds have certainly helped this month average on the + side of normal so far... highs have been close to normal, maybe slightly above, but lows have been several degrees above average. Last night was a perfect example. We never got blow freezing and not too far to the west, they were in the low 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The clouds have certainly helped this month average on the + side of normal so far... highs have been close to normal, maybe slightly above, but lows have been several degrees above average. My gas bill certainly reflects that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bliz299 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The clouds have certainly helped this month average on the + side of normal so far... highs have been close to normal, maybe slightly above, but lows have been several degrees above average. For the month through yesterday(21st) my obs. do support Ray's statement. Avg. max. of 47.3° is +0.5° while avg. min. of 34.5° is +2.6°, even though the last two mornings both had min.'s of 23°. Only got that cold because of no wind(as noted in other posts) and the sky did clear at night. As Bluescat1 touched on still been easy on the gas bill. As of 11am is is, of course, CLOUDY! Yuk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The hammer is going to drop in JAN...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 December 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishinfool Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Did you have as lousy a fall as I had? One striper from the surf....thats it. Same story from most of my buddies. Had a great spring from the surf, just not fall. Wondering if you made out better on the water? I'd say we had an ok year. We had one slob early on in the bay followed by a skunk. Then we switched to trolling out front and did well on 2 trips. The last trip out front last week we got skunked, although the fish were there and some bait I think they just had lockjaw. It was right before and after that Nor'easter a few weeks back and water temp dropped 3-4 degrees in the ocean after the storm. I had heard reports that the main body of fish moved south and were off DE now. We didn't really fish the spring on the water. I think that fishing is hit or miss sometimes and I don't like to target them during spawning/migration up the bay. Sounds like you did well in the surf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Fwiw the euro has one of the systems late next week ive been harping about. Lets do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Beautiful cold rain storm next Monday on euro, let's go for a record number of them in the month of December...lucky it's the unreliable euro day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Larry cosgrove says we get a January thaw for ten day's around mid month then we get cold. He is also sticking with his cold and snowy forecast for this winter!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Vendor thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Larry cosgrove says we get a January thaw for ten day's around mid month then we get cold. He is also sticking with his cold and snowy forecast for this winter!!!!!! So 33% of the month is a thaw...Yikes. It can snow when it is warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Latest GFS shows monster SE ridge developing through 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Sorry Forgiven, just reminding people that it exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 In order to have a January thaw, would we need some cold and snow first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 If winter is going down the toilet please let's have a 1/06 with a nuclear southeast ridge rather than a continuation of the second half of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 I'd say we had an ok year. We had one slob early on in the bay followed by a skunk. Then we switched to trolling out front and did well on 2 trips. The last trip out front last week we got skunked, although the fish were there and some bait I think they just had lockjaw. It was right before and after that Nor'easter a few weeks back and water temp dropped 3-4 degrees in the ocean after the storm. I had heard reports that the main body of fish moved south and were off DE now. We didn't really fish the spring on the water. I think that fishing is hit or miss sometimes and I don't like to target them during spawning/migration up the bay. Sounds like you did well in the surf. Kinda surprised Ray didn't say "Fish Thread"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 In order to have a January thaw, would we need some cold and snow first? Yup, and we may get some, although the duration of the potential cold seems to be shrinking from both ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 Kinda surprised Ray didn't say "Fish Thread"! lol, we probably don't have one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 lol, we probably don't have one.... lol as this is the "banter" thread it belongs here just fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 If winter is going down the toilet please let's have a 1/06 with a nuclear southeast ridge rather than a continuation of the second half of December.But, Dr. Judah Cohen promised us a raging -AO with a cold and snowy eastern US beginning Dec 20th?I want a refund Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 12/29-1/5 needs to be watched rather closely. I see the potential for 2 wintry events during that time frame based on LP setting up in a quasi 50/50 position with an attached cold front trailing down to the GOM where LP wave develops on stalled out front and heads ENE. This pattern essentially repeats for both systems. Looks like good oveunning and then maybe a coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 My brother moved to Hawaii to get away from the cold. His forecasted high temp in Kauai is 5 degrees colder than Philly on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted December 23, 2014 Share Posted December 23, 2014 winter 2014-15 starting to resemble an Italian cruise liner 1-14-12-Italian-cruise-ship-sinking_standard_600x400.jpg 12Z GFS ENIAC says time for a new pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.