gymengineer Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Recon finding a slightly stronger system than I expected. Yeah, the winds got bumped up in the intermediate advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=iloh1 Right on the water there are no buoys reporting from offshore sadly that I can find anyways this one is located right on the water near the Hilo airport.....so it should read close to what the airport is reporting updates every 6 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Julio likely to be upgraded to a Major with the next full package Advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Much stronger than I thought Significant Wind Levels... Level Wind Direction Wind Speed 1003mb (Surface) 110° (from the ESE) 75 knots (86 mph) 991mb 115° (from the ESE) 84 knots (97 mph) 971mb 110° (from the ESE) 79 knots (91 mph) 964mb 120° (from the ESE) 87 knots (100 mph) 955mb 120° (from the ESE) 80 knots (92 mph) 946mb 120° (from the ESE) 80 knots (92 mph) 936mb 120° (from the ESE) 73 knots (84 mph) 903mb 125° (from the SE) 65 knots (75 mph) 850mb 135° (from the SE) 69 knots (79 mph) 697mb 140° (from the SE) 68 knots (78 mph) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Hopping a plane to Kona on Saturday morning for CAT response for work. Will be interesting to see the varying impacts around the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 The winds up on those mountains should be interesting to observe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texankitcat Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Jim Cantori said the Kona side will stay dry due to the Mountains. LMAO! He clearly doesn't have a clue what he is talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texankitcat Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Hopping a plane to Kona on Saturday morning for CAT response for work. Will be interesting to see the varying impacts around the island. Really? You are going to have to report what you find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Really? You are going to have to report what you find. Definitely will. I'm going to do a first-pass drive-by of a random selection of residences that my company insures to further refine our claims and loss projections. We call it our triage process. I went down to MS/LA for Isaac a couple years ago so this will be my second one. Should definitely be interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Either way, it will be interesting to see how Iselle interacts with the terrain of the big island. A direct hit will destroy the inner core of Iselle. However, Hawaii is probably not big enough to destroy the entire low-level circulation. Expect to see some pretty significant jumping in the center fixes post-landfall as the low-level circulation tries to reorganize on the lee side of the highest terrain. This is what I'm looking forward to watching unfold since this is rather unprecedented. It's going to be absolutely fascinating to see what happens when it hits the big island and 14,000 feet of mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 This is what I'm looking forward to watching unfold since this is rather unprecedented. It's going to be absolutely fascinating to see what happens when it hits the big island and 14,000 feet of mountain. Chris, Please check your PM's. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texankitcat Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 This is what I'm looking forward to watching unfold since this is rather unprecedented. It's going to be absolutely fascinating to see what happens when it hits the big island and 14,000 feet of mountain. I am anxious to see this unfold as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 A 78 mph gust was recorded already on Mauna kea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 A 78 mph gust was recorded already on Mauna kea. That location is exaggerated though due to its location......it came from here CFHT - highly exaggerated wind speed from an elevated tower compressed between two domes This should be a good place to watch the Army base at 6300 ft http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHSF.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 That location is exaggerated though due to its location......it came from here CFHT - highly exaggerated wind speed from an elevated tower compressed between two domes This should be a good place to watch the Army base at 6300 ft http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHSF.html Here are some observations from other summit locations http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/current/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Is there anyone other than TWC doing live field coverage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I am anxious to see this unfold as well. This is what I'm looking forward to watching unfold since this is rather unprecedented. It's going to be absolutely fascinating to see what happens when it hits the big island and 14,000 feet of mountain. definitely will be interesting. and given that the storm is moving towards the west, basic dynamics based on the movement across the mountains I think says a bit of a jump to the north (poleward) on the lee-side for Iselle. but does that jump happen at this low a latitude with a tropical-based system compared to more baroclinic systems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 A few more webcams from The University of Hawaii at Hilo: http://hilo.hawaii.edu/campuslife/webcams.php and looking into Hilo Bay: http://www.kapohokine.com/hiloWebCam2.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 definitely will be interesting. and given that the storm is moving towards the west, basic dynamics based on the movement across the mountains I think says a bit of a jump to the north (poleward) on the lee-side for Iselle. but does that jump happen at this low a latitude with a tropical-based system compared to more baroclinic systems? I recall this happening with a typhoon crossing a mountainous region of Taiwan, and forming a lee cyclone on the coast (i've been looking for this, but can't find it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I hate to say it, but I think it's starting to move WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 That location is exaggerated though due to its location......it came from here CFHT - highly exaggerated wind speed from an elevated tower compressed between two domes http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHSF.html I disagree that it's a bad location, the telescopes are 250 yards apart and it is by far the most exposed station of the cluster. All the other stations are likely more or less in turbulent flow than than this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I hate to say it, but I think it's starting to move WSW. DVORAK fixes show it continuing WNW. At this pace, it will make landfall, likely as a low end Category 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I hate to say it, but I think it's starting to move WSW. That's good news, north would be bad for more land and more people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Timmer also has his live stream up on TVN. Looks like he is beachside in downtown Hilo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 According to the latest advisory, Iselle is moving at 280 degrees, or just a touch north of west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Julio is now the fourth major hurricane of the EPAC season. Iselle still holding on as a Category 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yellow Evan Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 "I lowered the advisory intensity to 65 knots because the various RECON intensity estimate techniques in the 23Z pass gave 66 kt, 67 kt, and 68 kt, with 90% of a max flight level wind of 72 knots giving 65 knots. This made going with 70 kt in the 00z intensity a stretch, but we round up slightly for the sake of safety and likely undersampling. Since the pressure continues to rise slowly, and the satellite and radar presentations of the system looking increasingly sheared, I could not justify retaining the 70 knot intensity at 03z. If you are finding that the CPHC webpage is slow, you should try hitting refresh. Many times we find that people are getting old info on the page because their browser is loading from the cache. There have been many times I've been on the phone with people insisting the page is old when I'm looking at the our page from the office and it's current. The goal here is to publish the complete advisory package by :45, but the discussion almost always goes last as we put together our thoughts. The package is not officially "late" until synoptic + 3 hour."-from Storm2k on Iselle's weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texankitcat Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Timmer also has his live stream up on TVN. Looks like he is beachside in downtown Hilo. These guys are a hoot! Love that they are live streaming in route to the projected landfall location...at least it appears they are. Lots of familiar views along the way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I hate to say it, but I think it's starting to move WSW. Looks W maybe a hair N of W looking at the satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Decent but not great eye structure on Julio, eyewall not completely wrapped with strong convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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