WidreMann Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 09/10 was a good pattern, but I don't remember it being huge for snow around here. Your new avatar is good. I like the old one better though. You change them too much! In Chapel Hill we got almost 8" of snow and sleet from the January storm. That was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 You guys are a mess. This is clearly going to be a South Georgia and NFL winter along with coastal Carolinas and Gulf Coast. A 1989ish Christmas type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 You guys are a mess. This is clearly going to be a South Georgia and NFL winter along with coastal Carolinas and Gulf Coast. A 1989ish Christmas type storm. Metal, I thought it was supposed to be an NBA winter. To be fair, I don't remember why. NFL winter sounds more wintry for some reason. So, I hope you are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm going to make a BOLD prediction. MBY will get accumulating snowfall this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm going to make a BOLD prediction. MBY will get accumulating snowfall this winter. SJ, 1. I'm all in for your prediction. 2. I'll see your bold prediction and make my bolder prediction. KATL will get accumulating snowfall this winter. Two of the last three winters didn't have that. So, it is indeed bold. PS: This is a serious prediction. I'm seriously all in for 0.1"+ SN/IP at KATL some time this NDJFM! I'm tempted to say there will be 2+ of these 0.1"+ events, but that is too bold for my blood this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 SJ, 1. I'm all in for your prediction. 2. I'll see your bold prediction and make my bolder prediction. KATL will get accumulating snowfall this winter. Two of the last three winters didn't have that. So, it is indeed bold. PS: This is a serious prediction. I'm seriously all in for 0.1"+ SN/IP at KATL sometime this NDJFM! I'm tempted to say there will be 2+ of these 0.1"+ events, but that is too bold for my blood this early. I think we are due for a November snow or ice event. I don't remember in my entire lifetime having accumulating snow or ice in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 09/10 was great for folks east of 40 and west of 40. Seemed liked everyone in the middle while not getting screwed just couldn't cash in. Based on everyone's awesome analysis I don't think it's a stretch to say we have a real shot of again seeing snow on or around Christmas day. I really think it's a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 OPI is -2.75 today. The AO is near neutral and looks to rise solidly positive before the end of the month. But again, I wonder if the missing satellite data has any implications on this forecast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 You guys are a mess. This is clearly going to be a South Georgia and NFL winter along with coastal Carolinas and Gulf Coast. A 1989ish Christmas type storm. I'm going to lmao if that is the case. If so since I don't live in NC no more I guess I will go to Waycross to go snow chasing. Not impossible though. Look at last year when parts of Southern AL and FL panhandle got snow. Also been a few years since its happen.. but Southern AL around Atmore to be specific received a few inches of snow from a low longitude storm track back in 2010 IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm going to lmao if that is the case. If so since I don't live in NC no more I guess I will go to Waycross to go snow chasing. Not impossible though. Look at last year when parts of Southern AL and FL panhandle got snow. Also been a few years since its happen.. but Southern AL around Atmore to be specific received a few inches of snow from a low longitude storm track back in 2010 IIRC. Snow chasing!? You know you live in the Deep South when you see that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 09/10 was great for folks east of 40 and west of 40. Seemed liked everyone in the middle while not getting screwed just couldn't cash in. Based on everyone's awesome analysis I don't think it's a stretch to say we have a real shot of again seeing snow on or around Christmas day. I really think it's a possibility. I think the past few years even when the Triangle did have a good winter, points to the west and east still got more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I think the past few years even when the Triangle did have a good winter, points to the west and east still got more snow.Problem with the Triangle is when there are western or eastern winter storms, we're usually on the (frozen / precip) edge of each. The one good thing is we're usually in the "game" for both types of storms; even though we get lots of disappointments. There are lots of past storms where we have been the prime focal point, but I do agree it's been awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 09/10 was great for folks east of 40 and west of 40. Seemed liked everyone in the middle while not getting screwed just couldn't cash in. Based on everyone's awesome analysis I don't think it's a stretch to say we have a real shot of again seeing snow on or around Christmas day. I really think it's a possibility. Wait, 40 runs east and west. How can you be east, west and in the middle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 SJ, 1. I'm all in for your prediction. 2. I'll see your bold prediction and make my bolder prediction. KATL will get accumulating snowfall this winter. Two of the last three winters didn't have that. So, it is indeed bold. PS: This is a serious prediction. I'm seriously all in for 0.1"+ SN/IP at KATL some time this NDJFM! I'm tempted to say there will be 2+ of these 0.1"+ events, but that is too bold for my blood this early. Do you happen to know what percent of winters KATL gets accumulating snowfall? For MBY, it's somewhere close to 100%, hence my bold prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Wait, 40 runs east and west. How can you be east, west and in the middle? I think what Burger meant was between I-85 and I-95 has been fringed a lot the past 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Do you happen to know what percent of winters KATL gets accumulating snowfall? For MBY, it's somewhere close to 100%, hence my bold prediction. For RDU, we have been skunked roughly 10 times in the past 130 years. Would be funny if we got skunked this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 It's getting frustrating that we can't sustain any warming when over 0.5, I guess the good news is that since mid-Aug it's been on the uptrend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Does the 0.5 reading need to stay there or higher for a month to be official? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 For RDU, we have been skunked roughly 10 times in the past 130 years. Would be funny if we got skunked this year. No, it wouldn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Does the 0.5 reading need to stay there or higher for a month to be official? average .5 a month for three months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm going to go into winter fail mode in March! If I have not had a snow or ice event by then, it may be time to panic! Most everything is just voodoo and crystal ball hocus pocus. I remember it being said last year that with the pattern the way it was we would not get any big events over 2-3 inches, but then look what happened in Feb!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I'm going to go into winter fail mode in March! If I have not had a snow or ice event by then, it may be time to panic! Most everything is just voodoo and crystal ball hocus pocus. I remember it being said last year that with the pattern the way it was we would not get any big events over 2-3 inches, but then look what happened in Feb!! I remember last February well. I didn't get anything over 2 or 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 I remember last February well. I didn't get anything over 2 or 3 inches.We got this: http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20140213/accum.20140213.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 We got this: http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20140213/accum.20140213.gif It must have fallen and melted while I was sleeping. No way I had 6" of snow on the ground at any time last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 It must have fallen and melted while I was sleeping. No way I had 6" of snow on the ground at any time last year.This is what it looked like in Raleigh: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 average .5 a month for three months Thanks. Not sure if this was posted, but the following link has some good info. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Do you happen to know what percent of winters KATL gets accumulating snowfall? For MBY, it's somewhere close to 100%, hence my bold prediction. I think it is near 75% of them. I'll check later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Does the 0.5 reading need to stay there or higher for a month to be official? To be official, there needs to be five trimonthly averages in a row of +0.5+. So, it could easily be March or even April before we're told that it has been made official retroactively back to autumn/winter. However, we'd have a good idea well before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 For RDU, we have been skunked roughly 10 times in the past 130 years. Would be funny if we got skunked this year. I'm not aware of any times GSO has been skunked, though I wouldn't be surprised if it's happened at some point. I think there might have been a year in the mid-1990s where we only got a dusting of snow, though. Even in the God awful winter of 2011-2012, we scored with the February 19th storm with 1.9". I think it is near 75% of them. I'll check later. I am surprised it is that high. Interesting. The average snowfall is around 2", correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Are we ever going to get an update on snow cover again? Where do we stand and how do we look to finish off the month??! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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