ravensrule Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I was going to take a shot at Flacco, but I'll just say it could be worse--he could be a Cowboys fan Hard to take a shot when he has a ring and has been to the playoffs 5 out of his 6 years in the NFL. And oh yeah, he had the best postseason of any QB ever 2 years ago. Low expectations man. But Gruden is pass happy and they are going to run a hurry up offense. We'll see if RG is a real QB pretty quick. Receiving core is the best in years (at least on paper). This will give RG a chance to scramble without having the entire LB core chasing him. I just love the NFL season as a whole. I watch every night game as well. Ob: 12 raindrops and cloudy I think he is a real QB but because he runs to often he will get constantly banged up. He should do a lot more selective running, he may have some struggles at first but in the long run it will help him a ton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 Wow 82/54? Another windows open night tonight. (see football talk in banter thread ) Weird, I guess I need a new station...reading 74/65 right now Most nearby wxbugs are u70s/lo60s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Heh...that dewpoint depression is odd given DCA's riverside location. Could be vegetation related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Not sure if anyone else uses this, but this is a great product from the NWS. It displays obs and other information. http://preview.weather.gov/edd/?lat=40.329452873812926&lon=-75.73059082031124&zoom=6&ql=FFFFFFTFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF&ml=&bm=Google_Terrain&lsr=F&lfc=F&rt=obs&rf=major|moderate|minor|action&ht=F&pid=N0Q&sf=GOES_Infrared&ri=15&obs=TFTTFFFFFFTFFFFT&is=1&ou=mph&od=-50&ships=F&cluster=T&radO=0.75&satO=0.75&hazO=0.55&tropO=0.7&ndfdO=0.7&ndfdR=Continental_US&ndfdF=Maximum_Temperature_%28%C2%BAF%29&ndfdT=12&ndfdTS=&f100=F&lviz=F&fullscreen=F&fxt=Point_%28Text_Only%29&ppd=24&pdy=3&satf=60&obsync=F&owv=F&flavor=Advanced&tfo=&tfd=&tfw=null&ht=F&hd=F&ho=null&hf=null&hb=F&ot=Meteorological_Observation&hvt=F&sht=T&uwl=F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Not sure if anyone else uses this, but this is a great product from the NWS. It displays obs and other information. http://preview.weather.gov/edd/?lat=40.329452873812926&lon=-75.73059082031124&zoom=6&ql=FFFFFFTFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF&ml=&bm=Google_Terrain&lsr=F&lfc=F&rt=obs&rf=major|moderate|minor|action&ht=F&pid=N0Q&sf=GOES_Infrared&ri=15&obs=TFTTFFFFFFTFFFFT&is=1&ou=mph&od=-50&ships=F&cluster=T&radO=0.75&satO=0.75&hazO=0.55&tropO=0.7&ndfdO=0.7&ndfdR=Continental_US&ndfdF=Maximum_Temperature_%28%C2%BAF%29&ndfdT=12&ndfdTS=&f100=F&lviz=F&fullscreen=F&fxt=Point_%28Text_Only%29&ppd=24&pdy=3&satf=60&obsync=F&owv=F&flavor=Advanced&tfo=&tfd=&tfw=null&ht=F&hd=F&ho=null&hf=null&hb=F&ot=Meteorological_Observation&hvt=F&sht=T&uwl=F Really cool. I especially like the elevation data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Really cool. I especially like the elevation data. Yeah, I spend wayyyyy too much time using it for that. I find myself starting in MD, then somehow ending up in AK lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Cool stuff. Thanks. No problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 55F for the low. Sweet. Looking forward to that first morning in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I love driving to work in the morning with the windows down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Ensembles and ops agree that the overall below normal temp regime continues all the way through next weekend. A decent shot of cool/dry canadian air in about a week that may hang through next weekend. After that there is good agreement that conus flow flattens and we enter a period of weak ridging with aob temps. Definitely not a heatwave but a warm look as we approach the last week of the month. Now, do I believe that we go warm for a bit? We're probably at the breaking point of a 45 day lw pattern. It's hard to believe this overall pattern has existed since July 1st. I mean this is summer after all. This kind of amplification and pattern in the conus is usually reserved for the other 3 seasons: IF we do actually go zonal/ridging will it be part of an overall change with legs? This is the first summer I've actually meddled with lr week+ outlooks but if this was winter I would expect a shift for a time. We're going to be in between 45-60 days of persistent ec troughing. That's a pretty typical winter duration when we have persistence before a reshuffle. June of this year was the other way around from the pattern since July 4th weekend. Lowest heights centered in the west and higher heights in the east: Just for fun and a total wag but I'm going warm to close august and maybe most if not all of Sept. And I hope i bust horribly of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Ensembles and ops agree that the overall below normal temp regime continues all the way through next weekend. A decent shot of cool/dry canadian air in about a week that may hang through next weekend. After that there is good agreement that conus flow flattens and we enter a period of weak ridging with aob temps. Definitely not a heatwave but a warm look as we approach the last week of the month. Now, do I believe that we go warm for a bit? We're probably at the breaking point of a 45 day lw pattern. It's hard to believe this overall pattern has existed since July 1st. I mean this is summer after all. This kind of amplification and pattern in the conus is usually reserved for the other 3 seasons: since july 1st.JPG IF we do actually go zonal/ridging will it be part of an overall change with legs? This is the first summer I've actually meddled with lr week+ outlooks but if this was winter I would expect a shift for a time. We're going to be in between 45-60 days of persistent ec troughing. That's a pretty typical winter duration when we have persistence before a reshuffle. June of this year was the other way around from the pattern since July 4th weekend. Lowest heights centered in the west and higher heights in the east: juneh5.JPG Just for fun and a total wag but I'm going warm to close august and maybe most if not all of Sept. And I hope i bust horribly of course. Nice post. FWIW, Joe Bastardi agrees with your outlook. Also, did you happen to see the 00z GFS 2m temps for mid-August? It shows upper-20s in the mountains lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Certainly been a persistent longwave pattern for awhile, although most of that anomaly is from the winter. Helped my parents have beautiful weather for their Alaskan cruise (warm and sunny). A warm September isn't too bad if it doesn't involve any 90F+ days. 90F days in September are #theworst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Yea wxusaf, it's been crazy since January. Even going back to late Nov it was showing it's face. We've had a break in May/June but it totally reasserted itself. IMO- even "if" it breaks down, it won't likely be an anomalous long string of 90's in Sept. DCA's average max is 84 at the beginning and 74 at the end. Zonal in Sept is nice. AOA but low humidity. We haven't ridged out in a long time now. I think the multi year se ridge we had recently got old and died and a young gun is taking it's time replacing.lol There are some nasty records for the month though. 101 in 1980 and the 50's had some big heat. I'm not implying that it isn't easy to roast in Sept. Every day of the month is plenty capable of 90+. If it happens this year I will be sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I wouldn't mind a warm September as long as we get some cold shots, with maybe a few first 40s. Back to obs: The low last night wasn't too impressive, coming in at 60.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Yea wxusaf, it's been crazy since January. Even going back to late Nov it was showing it's face. We've had a break in May/June but it totally reasserted itself. IMO- even "if" it breaks down, it won't likely be an anomalous long string of 90's in Sept. DCA's average max is 84 at the beginning and 74 at the end. Zonal in Sept is nice. AOA but low humidity. We haven't ridged out in a long time now. I think the multi year se ridge we had recently got old and died and a young gun is taking it's time replacing.lol There are some nasty records for the month though. 101 in 1980 and the 50's had some big heat. I'm not implying that it isn't easy to roast in Sept. Every day of the month is plenty capable of 90+. If it happens this year I will be sad. Even if it does happen, heatwaves in September are way easier to tolerate than in July. Shorter days and cool nighttime temperatures after even the warmest days make it seem like summer is barely holding on. Personally, I wouldn't mind a slightly above normal September and (snow-less!) October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Yea wxusaf, it's been crazy since January. Even going back to late Nov it was showing it's face. We've had a break in May/June but it totally reasserted itself. IMO- even "if" it breaks down, it won't likely be an anomalous long string of 90's in Sept. DCA's average max is 84 at the beginning and 74 at the end. Zonal in Sept is nice. AOA but low humidity. We haven't ridged out in a long time now. I think the multi year se ridge we had recently got old and died and a young gun is taking it's time replacing.lol There are some nasty records for the month though. 101 in 1980 and the 50's had some big heat. I'm not implying that it isn't easy to roast in Sept. Every day of the month is plenty capable of 90+. If it happens this year I will be sad. I delivered this message to the Bermuda ridge awhile back and so far its been knowing its place: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I delivered this message to the Bermuda ridge awhile back and so far its been knowing its place: l3m8id.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Yea wxusaf, it's been crazy since January. Even going back to late Nov it was showing it's face. We've had a break in May/June but it totally reasserted itself. IMO- even "if" it breaks down, it won't likely be an anomalous long string of 90's in Sept. DCA's average max is 84 at the beginning and 74 at the end. Zonal in Sept is nice. AOA but low humidity. We haven't ridged out in a long time now. I think the multi year se ridge we had recently got old and died and a young gun is taking it's time replacing.lol There are some nasty records for the month though. 101 in 1980 and the 50's had some big heat. I'm not implying that it isn't easy to roast in Sept. Every day of the month is plenty capable of 90+. If it happens this year I will be sad. CFS has been holding on to a warm September as well, although today's map looked better. I definitely hope we don't go AOA for September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Nice post. FWIW, Joe Bastardi agrees with your outlook. Also, did you happen to see the 00z GFS 2m temps for mid-August? It shows upper-20s in the mountains lol. Give it two weeks or so, and then Joe Bastardi will be calling for a cold September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I wouldn't mind a warm September as long as we get some cold shots, with maybe a few first 40s. Back to obs: The low last night wasn't too impressive, coming in at 60.5. With the way the EPAC and WPAC have been this season with Typhoon activity, I think we should see more cool shots in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Friggin boring weather for August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Cooling a lot faster tonight than it did last night. About 3 degrees ahead of last night. Maybe I can finally snag that mystic 59... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Preview of the winter precip cut offs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 1.07" of much needed rain so far since midnight. Lots more on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Good, didn't want rain anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Bright sunshine and not a cloud to be seen. Carbon copy of last weekend's busted forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 forecast up to late last night was 77F cloudy with showers today. forecast now is mostly sunny and low 80s. what a maddening place to live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 I didn't know where to post this, but here it goes. The CFSv2 is now beginning to show a slightly below average September. The first week of the month starts out average to slightly above average, but then it starts showing some -2 to -3 degree departures later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 forecast up to late last night was 77F cloudy with showers today. forecast now is mostly sunny and low 80s. what a maddening place to live. The forecast the last couple days has been for mostly sunny all weekend in my area. I could go for some rain, but mostly sunny and dry low 80s is fantastic for early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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