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August 2014 Obs and Discussion


H2O

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18z gfs says bobs warmup is fruit of the loom

Looks warm and humid enough so you'll have to change your tighty whities twice a day.

We'll see how it shakes out over the next 10-14 days. Looks to me that a run of above normal is on tap as expected. I never expected a big string of 90's. Dca should score some. They've been quite rare.

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Other then the NAM last sets of models seem to have backed off for Tue. WPC highlighted risk though overnight.

 

post-1615-0-53095200-1408210515_thumb.gi

 

Wouldn't be too hard to get it back at this pt so certainly still something to watch. Especially since it's boring as stuff otherwise.

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Looks warm and humid enough so you'll have to change your tighty whities twice a day.

We'll see how it shakes out over the next 10-14 days. Looks to me that a run of above normal is on tap as expected. I never expected a big string of 90's. Dca should score some. They've been quite rare.

The briefs got even briefer

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Since the mega nino we have had, in just the last 15 years, the mega nino, mega snows, mega heat, mega hurricanes and then no hurricanes. Next up-mega cold 2014-15.

 

I think there has been one 75+ low for DCA in last 45 days.

Since June 1 I have had 41 lows in 60's (7 at 60) and 37 with lows in 40's and 50's.....hard to beat that for summer.

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IAD has had 3 double digit departure days since June 1st...all 3 are negatives. -14, -13, & -10.

Almost -5 for the first 15 days of August. Wow.

First above normal day there since July. (just barely)

 

post-1615-0-40777900-1408312157.gif

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First above normal day there since July. (just barely)

I'm at the point where I don't care what happens temp wise until Dec. Summer is basically over in my brain. Kids start school next week.

Any type of interesting weather is fine from here on. Even a heat wave. Let's get a tropical hit of some sort. That would be fun to track.

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