EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 57.5F/ 53F here in Clarksburg. 7th <60F low of this J/J/A so far. Very nice. Interesting stat. I'm surprised that number isn't higher. Last night was the 25th <60F low here during the JJA period. 10 in June, including a low of 46F on June 1, 10 in July, including a low of 50F on July 30, and 5 so far this August. I don't have the time to research other summers, but I'd be surprised if that's happened many more times in the semi-recent historical record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Still pretty far out but yea, looks like a string of +3 to 5's is a fair guess. Maybe a but warmer. Not really a big deal. I welcome it as well. The heart of summer is gone and we have much more pleasant temps in the books than brain melting days. No matter what happens, this summer has been as close to perfect as you can ask for. Windows open tonight again. My wallet loves nights like this. FWIW, next week Accuwx forecast for here now doesn't show even a single 90. Highest temp is 87 on Thursday. The only 90 on the entire forecast is now on the 24th (90F). I'm sure it'll still change from here, but right now it's a far cry from the week of mid-upper 90s it showed a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 It somehow got down to 57 here. I'm pretty happy lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 FWIW, next week Accuwx forecast for here now doesn't show even a single 90. Highest temp is 87 on Thursday. The only 90 on the entire forecast is now on the 24th (90F). I'm sure it'll still change from here, but right now it's a far cry from the week of mid-upper 90s it showed a few days ago. I don't recall seeing any forecast or modeled mid- to upper-90s for next week. Maybe 90 or so for a day or two, but nothing more than that. Either way, I have no issues at all with that being knocked back to upper-80s and a chance of storms. As long as I don't get brutal heat the week after when I'm down in Hilton Head, I'm good. It'll almost certainly be humid and right around 90 during the day and 76 at night, but more than that and it gets pretty nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Got down to 56 at the closest PWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 I'm not surprised. That has been the pattern this summer. Modeled big heat becomes heat and modeled heat becomes garden variety warmth. I suppose it's better this way. Warm days, decent nights. Indeed, big heat has been getting powned most of this summer. Except for being locally very dry, this has been as nice a summer can get in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Zwyts must be loving this summer down there. What a nice reprieve after the oven you had since 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Got down to 56 at the closest PWS. I don't recall seeing any forecast or modeled mid- to upper-90s for next week. Maybe 90 or so for a day or two, but nothing more than that. Either way, I have no issues at all with that being knocked back to upper-80s and a chance of storms. As long as I don't get brutal heat the week after when I'm down in Hilton Head, I'm good. It'll almost certainly be humid and right around 90 during the day and 76 at night, but more than that and it gets pretty nasty. It was discussed in the 90 degree tracker thread. On Aug 7, the Accuwx LR had a solid week of mid and upper 90s on tap for next week. Others cast their doubts on such an outcome and it appears - thankfully - they may be proven correct. I'd love to be able to say I had zero 90 degree days in August 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Radar is in what is called "Clear air mode" it makes the radar highly sensitive. It also reduces wear and tear on parts. What you're seeing there is likely things like bugs, ground backscatter, weak boundaries, etc. Totally normal. Thanks for the explanation. I figured it was something like that, I've just never seen it so expansive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 I'm not surprised. That has been the pattern this summer. Modeled big heat becomes heat and modeled heat becomes garden variety warmth. I suppose it's better this way. Warm days, decent nights.I really haven't even seen any modeled big heat all year. The false signal last month looked like basic above normal stuff. Low to mid 90's iirc but it went poof. The upcoming pattern is fairly zonal so hp's will still be able to work across to our north at times. But they'll be pac origin and not from way up into our northern neighbor's real estate. Pattern still looks fairly stable so it's noteworthy in the sense that it could end up being the longest stretch of normal to above temps since June (assuming it verifies). It's pretty cool(pun intended) that IAD/BWI haven't had a single above normal day since July 23/27 respectively. And we'll add to that streak before breaking it. Pretty amazing when you think about it. Euro ensembles have been advertising the warmest air to mostly stay west of the apps so the middle of the country may end up being warmest relative to normal. The temp anom maps on both the gefs and euro ens show the possibility of hp to push a ne flow into our region. Nothing is showing candian air though so even with that it won't be easy to get cool again. This is all d8+ stuff so no confidence on any specifics. Just tossing ideas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 A very autumn-looking day out there with these dark clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Interesting stat. I'm surprised that number isn't higher. Last night was the 25th <60F low here during the JJA period. 10 in June, including a low of 46F on June 1, 10 in July, including a low of 50F on July 30, and 5 so far this August. I don't have the time to research other summers, but I'd be surprised if that's happened many more times in the semi-recent historical record. It actually is as I was basing that off of crusty memory and I have been out of town on leave for 3 of the last 10 weeks. I went back and checked my actuals and it's been <60F 17 times. It must have been quite cool when I was out of town. KFDK is at 20 times in J/J/A and KGAI is at 12 but they have a 10 day break in their data in June so it is likely more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Only 73. Great weather. I'm hoping this south wind dies out before night so it can actually get into the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Low of 53, high has been 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Had some interesting clouds and even brief drizzle today. Fall like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Was in.Davis earlier today. Tops of some maples are already changing color and there was a chill in the air....along w a stiff breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 This has been the best Spring ever. I wonder what summer will be like? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 NWS going 57 at DCA.. would be first 50s in Aug in 10 years. I kinda doubt that myself, but eh. 62? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 NWS going 57 at DCA.. would be first 50s in Aug in 10 years. I kinda doubt that myself, but eh. 62? I think 60-62 sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 NWS going 57 at DCA.. would be first 50s in Aug in 10 years. I kinda doubt that myself, but eh. 62? They don't really correct for the ASOS location. 60/61 could be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 IMBY low today 54.9 High 79.9 currently 66.9 53 DP 61% h question? if say the humidity was @ 30% would it feel real cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Contest time: Pick the low at DCA. 61 I say 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Contest time: Pick the low at DCA. 61 71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Rule #1 about weather in this area: never go low at DCA. I'll go 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 I'll stick with 62 tho a 63 might be better given where we are now. Honestly a 65 wouldn't surprise me there. Well, continued wind thru the night should offset some of its usual issues.. the river is like 70-75 tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Feels like mid-September out there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 54 glorious degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 55/53 this morning..can see my breath. DCA torching, as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 50F for the low. DP of 46. I thought we'd be able to pull of 40s, but just missed. Still, just a wonderful evening yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 DCA torching, as usual. Shhh, you'll wake tinman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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