Guest Pamela Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Pretty unreal until you realize something similar happened in 1990s Chicago. Probably would have been a good deal worse w/o the a/c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Top-5 morning weather today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Every year since 1950 has hit 90 at Newark. LGA only made it to 88 in 2008 and NYC had no August 90's in 1986, 1982, 1963, 1950 and earlier years. Coolest August highs at Newark since 1950: 91...2013 91...2008 92...2004 92...2000 90...1986 90...1982 90....1981 91....1978 91....1974 92...1969 90....1967 91....1965 92....1963 92....1954 92.....1952 91.....1951 92.....1950 so in other words this could be considered another extreme event for all stations to go along with the record rainfall in selected locations in the region in August 2014 - unfortunately these types of extremes along with most others that occur are impossible to predict in advance......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Beautiful outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 so in other words this could be considered another extreme event for all stations to go along with the record rainfall in selected locations in the region in August 2014 - unfortunately these types of extremes along with most others that occur are impossible to predict in advance......... Both the Euro and GFS have a warmer push for the last few days of the month with S to SW winds and 850's of 16C+. So it's still possible that Newark could sneak a 90 in right before the month ends. But we'll have to see if the models hold serve or back off like they have several times this summer with the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Both the Euro and GFS have a warmer push for the last few days of the month with S to SW winds and 850's of 16C+. So it's still possible that Newark could sneak a 90 in right before the month ends. But we'll have to see if the models hold serve or back off like they have several times this summer with the heat. I don't buy into any warmth at all-we've seen that all summer only to back off as we get within 5-7 days. Look at the end of this week-models had 90's for several runs and verification is going to be in the mid to upper 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 I don't buy into any warmth at all-we've seen that all summer only to back off as we get within 5-7 days. Look at the end of this week-models had 90's for several runs and verification is going to be in the mid to upper 70's. It would be one of the more impressive cool summer records if Newark could put up the first August with no 90 degree days since at least 1950. Coolest August highs at Newark since 1950: 89...2014...so far 91...2013 91...2008 92...2004 92...2000 90...1986 90...1982 90....1981 91....1978 91....1974 92...1969 90....1967 91....1965 92....1963 92....1954 92.....1952 91.....1951 92.....1950 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 I don't buy into any warmth at all-we've seen that all summer only to back off as we get within 5-7 days. Look at the end of this week-models had 90's for several runs and verification is going to be in the mid to upper 70's. We're talking about only 8 days from now and also nothing extreme just upper 80s..a few 90s...but averages dropping into the low 80s by then so would be +5 to +8 for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 While still well within fantasy range the global models are coming into agreement on the development of a tropical system by the end of this week. Today's 12z GFS takes the system westward through the Caribbean, eventually interacting with both Jamaica and Cuba. Then the system moves NW towards the eastern gulf as the ridge holds strong over the eastern United States. This system is of particular interest to our area because the ridge should be sliding offshore as the system pulls northward. The combination could result in an abundance of tropical moisture surging up the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 The 0z Euro ensemble mean suggested the op run was overdone with heat ridge in the east at 240hr. The GFS and it ensembles, also have an over amplfied MJO bias in phases 8 or 1. Which is likely is resulting strong tropical cyclone solutions: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 The Euro ensemble mean backing off on the warmth at 12z could possibly mean no 90 at Newark before the month is over. That residual troughing along the East Coast has been a familiar theme this summer. It would be pretty funny if Central Park was the only site that could produce a 90 for August. August Highs so far: NYC...90 LGA...89 JFK....87 EWR..89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 19, 2014 Share Posted August 19, 2014 Right now im at the point where im hoping this -EPO sticks around and we get a weak el nino come winter. Current models show the warm pool near alaska not going anywhere anytime soon so thats comforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Boy, you know the weather's boring when there hasn't been a single post today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Boy, you know the weather's boring when there hasn't been a single post today. Been checking out the tropics forums. Things are going to get more interesting along those lines even if our weather is zzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 20, 2014 Share Posted August 20, 2014 Been checking out the tropics forums. Things are going to get more interesting along those lines even if our weather is zzzzzz. Tell me about it! Let's hope something develops soon so we can all stay occupied. I'm a snow weenie at heart, but that's still a few months away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 A very cool August. All that talk about some heat during the last two weeks of August was another epic fail but not surprising. September looks to have a progressive pattern. No major chili but no major heat. Perhaps slightly milder then average? Seems like summer did end by the 3rd week of July, not that it really started all that much anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 there are not many hot Augusts when there is a developing el nino... July and August were at the long term average since 1870...June was above average but not by a lot... year...June July Aug.. Ave.. 1957..74.3 77.7 73.6...75.2 1963..70.9 76.4 72.1...73.1 1965..70.1 74.3 73.2...72.5 1968..69.7 77.3 76.0...74.3 1972..67.9 77.2 75.6...73.6 1976..73.2 74.8 74.3...74.1 1982..68.6 77.9 73.2...73.2 1986..71.6 76.0 73.1...73.6 1991..74.1 77.7 77.1...76.3 1994..75.2 79.4 74.0...76.2 1997..70.9 75.8 73.3...73.3 2002..71.4 78.8 77.7...75.6 2004..71.2 74.5 74.2...73.3 2006..71.0 77.9 75.8...74.9 2009..67.5 72.7 75.7...72.0 2014..72.4 76.1 74.5...74.3 estimated Aug... average 1980- 2009..71.7 76.8 75.8...74.8 average 1870- 2009..70.9 76.1 74.5...73.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 This week was summery for sure...it does not hsve to be 90s to be summer...it was a warm humid week with highs low to mid 80s with sun...sure sounds like summer to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 This week was summery for sure...it does not hsve to be 90s to be summer...it was a warm humid week with highs low to mid 80s with sun...sure sounds like summer to meHuh? There's been one or two days about average at best this week with moderate humidity when long range models had around 90 or above. Enjoy those 70's for the next several days. So much for the dog days of August this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Its been in the mid 80s imby for highs this week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 NEXtreme is "special" He has only one thing to say ... reminds me of the SNE drive by poster who does two things, predicts blizzards and calls for a repeal of the seat belt law. I think I am on the AGW side of the debate primarily because the people on the other side (Bastardi, et. al.) are totally insufferable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Temp departure here for August running at -3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 He has only one thing to say ... reminds me of the SNE drive by poster who does two things, predicts blizzards and calls for a repeal of the seat belt law. I think I am on the AGW side of the debate primarily because the people on the other side (Bastardi, et. al.) are totally insufferable. Dont forget henry margusity, hes down there as well in credibility in the weather field . I will say this summer for sure did not feel like it started IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 He has only one thing to say ... reminds me of the SNE drive by poster who does two things, predicts blizzards and calls for a repeal of the seat belt law. I think I am on the AGW side of the debate primarily because the people on the other side (Bastardi, et. al.) are totally insufferable. Oh, forgive me for not talking about the "heat" we've had this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Oh, forgive me for not talking about the "heat" we've had this summer. It's been fairly normal. The only real negative departures we've had were in this month. Most stations are around normal for June and July when compared to the warmest 30 year climate block, 1980-2010. Maybe you're just used to expecting 30 days above 90 when that's simply not normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 i'll be impressed when we get a 4 year string of -3 julys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Lol I hear everyone going around saying this is one of the coolest summers ever...omg...june was above july a tad below and only august cooler...its hasnt been that bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 It's been fairly normal. The only real negative departures we've had were in this month. Most stations are around normal for June and July when compared to the warmest 30 year climate block, 1980-2010. Maybe you're just used to expecting 30 days above 90 when that's simply not normal. So true. I think with all the hot summers that we went through during recent years, this summer has given a lot of us a bit of culture shock. Myself included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 21, 2014 Share Posted August 21, 2014 Lol I hear everyone going around saying this is one of the coolest summers ever...omg...june was above july a tad below and only august cooler...its hasnt been that bad Most of July's heat was in the first ten days so its been a pretty cool stretch since then... I posted earlier about the lack of 70+ lows since mid July and many stations are close to record territory for least 90 degree days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.