IsentropicLift Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 82 and Sunny here in Disney World. Edit: here comes the afternoon thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Looks like a chance of some good rains Tue-Wed? Grass is burning out fast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Figures the day I head for the shore its going to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 10, 2014 Share Posted August 10, 2014 Very pleasant summer weather wise. 86F here today. Grass is quite lush here as I've got 12.8" of rain for the meteorological summer thus far. Had over 1" last weekend. Good T-storm activity the first half of summer. It's been pretty boring since late July though. Hopefully more storms and heat in the second half of August. Also I'm at 639 CDD's for the year. Seems a bit below average to date. I average 979 annually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Today's Highs TEB: faulty NYC: 88 EWR: 88 LGA: 87 JFK: 87 ISP: 88 New Brnswick: 87 TTN: 87 ACY: 85 PHL: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 The cleanup and recent dry conditions have allowed the park to remain equal or warmer than the other nyc/metro stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Clouds again plentiful over much of the area this early afternoon. Dropping temps in the last hour. 8-10-14 sat2 pm.gif Unfortunately, the clouds blocked out part of the rise of the supermoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 This has to be the one of the top 10 most "normal average" summers overall (June through August )so far in recorded history for both temps and precip in the area http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.cdus41.EWR.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 This has to be the one of the top 10 most "normal average" summers overall (June through August )so far in recorded history for both temps and precip in the area http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.cdus41.EWR.KOKX.html It really has since mid May, Despite the warmth today the cooler nights have helped to average out to normal, You wonder at some point somethings gotta give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Very pleasant summer weather wise. 86F here today. Grass is quite lush here as I've got 12.8" of rain for the meteorological summer thus far. Had over 1" last weekend. Good T-storm activity the first half of summer. It's been pretty boring since late July though. Hopefully more storms and heat in the second half of August. Also I'm at 639 CDD's for the year. Seems a bit below average to date. I average 979 annually. 12.49" here so far for summer...also running about a -2 degree departure so far for August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 12.49" here so far for summer...also running about a -2 degree departure so far for August. Yep, -1.8 temp departure here for August. I think that'll be erased though with a very warm last third of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Yep, -1.8 temp departure here for August. I think that'll be erased though with a very warm last third of the month. But we also have some real negatives coming from Tuesday through at least Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Main stations thru the first 10 days NYC: -0.9 EWR: -1.2 LGA: -1.2 JFK: -0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 1But we also have some real negatives coming from Tuesday through at least Saturday. 8/12 - 8/17 looks -3 to -6 type stuff maybe more wed/thu. 8/18 - 8/31 will have to add some strong plus departures which still looks possible according to the latest model data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Models indicating that the drier sections of Long Island could get into the area of heavier rains Tuesday night into Wednesday. PWATs are forecast surge to 2.00"+ with training of cells ahead of the triple point low possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Model data 2 to 3 weeks out is something I will not count on, never the less this summer has been much cooler than the last 4 and cooler on average than the last 10 summers which is saying something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Models indicating that the drier sections of Long Island could get into the area of heavier rains Tuesday night into Wednesday. PWATs are forecast surge to 2.00"+ with training of cells ahead of the triple point low possible. GFS_3_2014081106_F54_PWATIN_SURFACE.png Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 away from the weather took the island princess charter boat from captree last night 6-10 ocean bottom fishing and caught the pool winning fish an almost 7 pound fluke! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Thats a awesome fish..wow congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 10AM round up TEB: 82 NYC: 79 EWR: 81 LGA: 82 JFK: 80 ISP: 81 New Brnswick: 81 TTN: 77 ACY: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Nice Fluke Red. 7 pounder is a very good size fluke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Nice Fluke Red. 7 pounder is a very good size fluke. thanks a lot. it was a nice fish that's for sure, these GULP alive baits coupled with between a 3/4- 1 1/2oz. white bucktail have been lethal on the fluke this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 thanks a lot. it was a nice fish that's for sure, these GULP alive baits coupled with between a 3/4- 1 1/2oz. white bucktail have been lethal on the fluke this year! Gulp Alive is the miracle to fluke fishing. I haven't brought any bait for the past 2 years. Tip: Try 4" and 5" in the "Nuclear Chicken" color. Deadly color. Thank me later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Gulp Alive is the miracle to fluke fishing. I haven't brought any bait for the past 2 years. Tip: Try 4" and 5" in the "Nuclear Chicken" color. Deadly color. Thank me later. nuclear chicken? HMMM nuke all the fluke! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 UPTON .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDES TO THE EAST TONIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLYRETURN FLOW SETTING UP. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL ACT ON THEINCREASING MOISTURE TO PRODUCE INCREASING CLOUDS...MAINLY AFTERMIDNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD BE WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF AVG.A COMBINATION OF A PASSING 700-500 HPA SHORTWAVE...A DEVELOPING30-35 KT LLJ OVER WESTERN AREAS IN THE AFTERNOON...PW INCREASINGTO 100-150 PERCENT OF NORMAL...HIGHEST WEST...AND FORECAST OF AFEW HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE WILL YIELD INCREASING POP FROM W TO ETHROUGH THE DAY. BEST CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE OVER WESTERNZONES...WHERE POP INCREASE TO LIKELY/CATEGORICAL MAINLY W OF THEHUDSON RIVER IN THE AFTERNOON. HAVE ALSO LIMITED CHANCE OF THUNDERIN THE AFTERNOON TO WESTERN ZONES...CORRESPONDING TO HIGHESTFORECAST CAPE AND STRONGEST LOW LEVEL JET.FOR NOW APPEARS CAPE WILL BE TOO LOW TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMSWITH ONLY 20-30 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR FORECAST. HOWEVER...IF HIGHERVALUES OF CAPE ARE REALIZED...TOWARD 1000 J/KG...THAT WOULD BRINGBULK RICHARDSON NUMBERS OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR DOWN TO THE15-40 RANGE...FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. MT HOLLY THE LIKELIHOOD REMAINS FOR HEAVY RAIN. FORTUITOUSLY WE ARE ENTERINGTHIS THREAT WITH FLASH FLOOD (3"/HR) AND HEADWATER GUIDANCE (SOME ASHIGH AS 5"/HR) LITERALLY BANGING AGAINST THE CEILING. OUTSIDE OFTHE IMMEDIATE COAST, ITS BEEN A DRY AUGUST SO FAR. REGARDLESS, THISWONT TAKE AWAY FROM URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE AND POTENTIALLY SMALLERCREEK PROBLEMS AS WILL STILL BE ADDRESSED IN THE HWO. AFTER THAT,MORE UNSEASONABLY COOL AND PLEASANT WEATHER FOR AUGUST WILLRETURN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 12PM Roundup TEB: 85 NYC: 84 EWR: 84 LGA: 85 JFK: 83 ISP" 84 New Brnswick: 84 TTN: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Clouds building into the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 UPTON .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDES TO THE EAST TONIGHT...WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW SETTING UP. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL ACT ON THE INCREASING MOISTURE TO PRODUCE INCREASING CLOUDS...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD BE WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF AVG. A COMBINATION OF A PASSING 700-500 HPA SHORTWAVE...A DEVELOPING 30-35 KT LLJ OVER WESTERN AREAS IN THE AFTERNOON...PW INCREASING TO 100-150 PERCENT OF NORMAL...HIGHEST WEST...AND FORECAST OF A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE WILL YIELD INCREASING POP FROM W TO E THROUGH THE DAY. BEST CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE OVER WESTERN ZONES...WHERE POP INCREASE TO LIKELY/CATEGORICAL MAINLY W OF THE HUDSON RIVER IN THE AFTERNOON. HAVE ALSO LIMITED CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE AFTERNOON TO WESTERN ZONES...CORRESPONDING TO HIGHEST FORECAST CAPE AND STRONGEST LOW LEVEL JET. FOR NOW APPEARS CAPE WILL BE TOO LOW TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS WITH ONLY 20-30 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR FORECAST. HOWEVER...IF HIGHER VALUES OF CAPE ARE REALIZED...TOWARD 1000 J/KG...THAT WOULD BRING BULK RICHARDSON NUMBERS OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR DOWN TO THE 15-40 RANGE...FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. MT HOLLY THE LIKELIHOOD REMAINS FOR HEAVY RAIN. FORTUITOUSLY WE ARE ENTERING THIS THREAT WITH FLASH FLOOD (3"/HR) AND HEADWATER GUIDANCE (SOME AS HIGH AS 5"/HR) LITERALLY BANGING AGAINST THE CEILING. OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST, ITS BEEN A DRY AUGUST SO FAR. REGARDLESS, THIS WONT TAKE AWAY FROM URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE AND POTENTIALLY SMALLER CREEK PROBLEMS AS WILL STILL BE ADDRESSED IN THE HWO. AFTER THAT, MORE UNSEASONABLY COOL AND PLEASANT WEATHER FOR AUGUST WILL RETURN. Timing still seems to be an issue. The NAM is mostly light tomorrow and tomorrow night before dumping on us Wednesday morning. The GFS is spread out starting tomorrow morning lasting 24 hours on and off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Tropical threat in the foreseeable future with the ridge building? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Tropical threat in the foreseeable future with the ridge building? need an actual storm for there to be a threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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